Keyword: exitpoll
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November 8, 2004 Myths of the Republican Mullah-cracy You can't blame Jesus for the voters' choice John Hood It took only a few hours for media talking heads to come up with an explanation for why the tax-cutting, war-mongering ignoramus George W. Bush got re-elected on Tuesday. It couldn't have been, they agreed, that the electorate truly wanted four more years of Republican domestic and foreign policies. After all, didn't John Kerry win every substantive point on the issues that really matter? Wasn't Bush an accidental, illegitimate president in the first place? Another explanation had to be found. Quickly...
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THE POLLING The new $10 million polling system used by many news organizations to predict the outcome of the presidential race had a number of problems that led to the early erroneous impression that John Kerry was heading for victory, according to a report prepared by the system's architects. The report, written by Joe Lenski and Warren Mitofsky and obtained by The New York Times, details systemic glitches that skewed the data in ways of which several news organizations, who paid tens of thousands of dollars for the service, were not aware. In some cases, the report said, survey takers...
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Actual Exit Poll EV Bush Kerry Margin Bush Kerry Margin Diff Swing States FL 27 52 47 5 49 51 -2 -7 PA 21 49 51 -2 46 53 -7 -5 OH 20 51 49 2 49 51 -2 -4 MI 17 48 51 -3 46 52 -6 -3 MN 10 48 51 -3 46 52 -6 -3 WI 10 49 50 -1 48 51 -3 -2 IA 7 50 49 1 49 50 -1 -2 NM 5 50 49 1 48 50 -2 -3 NV 5 50 48 2 48 49 -1 -3 NH 4 49 50 -1...
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RJC Analysis of 2004 Jewish Vote Shows Unmistakable Shift Toward Republicans Washington, DC... Based on several exit polls recently released, it is clear that President Bush did substantially better among Jewish voters this year than he did in 2000. From 1992 to today we've seen more than a 100% increase in the Jewish Republican vote. The trend is unmistakable: · In 1992, President Bush (41) won 11% of the Jewish vote · In 1996, Senator Dole won 16% of the Jewish vote · In 2000, President Bush (43) won 19% of the Jewish vote · In 2004, preliminary results indicate...
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Can we finaly lay to rest the quaint notion that an "exit poll" has any scientific or practical utility? It was amazing watching the MSM trying to rationlize their expensive polling data against the reality of real world poll results. Even FOX News spent most of the night fighting back the realization that their expensive exit poll data was coming well and truly unglued on the most important evening of the entire political season.
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Don't believe ANY reporting from any source that relies on the results of yesterday's exit polls. Every statistic within them is flawed. Example: Gender gap was Bush +7 for men and -7 for women, but turnout showed a +8 edge for women. This is statistically impossible given the now known results. If this BASIC number is so flawed, then NOTHING in the exit polls can be relied upon. Having said that, the MSM will continue to cite their flawed poll to support whatever 13th hour arguments they make regarding the "meaning" of this election and the "direction" Bush should govern...
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The Corner is ever so sloghtly suggesting that New Jersey could be put back in play.
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Exit poll: Florida Democratic voters angry with President Bush By John Pain The Associated Press March 9, 2004 MIAMI ? Many voters in Florida's Democratic presidential primary Tuesday said they were angry with President Bush's administration, worse off financially than they were four years ago and in favor of reducing the U.S. military presence in Iraq, according to an Associated Press exit poll. Half the voters in the battleground state that Sen. John Kerry won as expected said they were angry with Bush's administration, and their distaste was almost as great for the president's brother, Gov. Jeb Bush, the poll...
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http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,99450,00.html http://www.washtimes.com/national/20030712-104208-8767r.htm One of the greatest lies in American politics today is the idea that pandering to the illegal immigrant agenda, a group of Hispanic advocacy groups and socialist foundations, will get you the Hispanic vote and get you elected. Both Davis and Bustamante had pandered to the illegal immigrant agenda. Davis had signed into law the illegal driver’s license law (SB60) that allowed anyone from around the world to walk into the DMV and get a drivers license. Davis also lead the effort to stop Prop 187, a law that would have stopped handing out state tax money to...
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Highlights from the newly released national exit poll of voters in the Nov. 5, 2002, elections for U.S. House: _ 40 percent identified themselves as Republican, up from 36 percent in each of the two previous midterm elections. Democrats made up 38 percent of the electorate in 2002, 37 percent in 1998 and 36 percent in 1994. Self-identified political independents declined to 22 percent in 2002 from 27 percent each in 1998 and 1994. _ 49 percent of women reported voting Republican for House, up slightly from the two previous midterms (46 percent in 1998, 47 percent in 1994). _...
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