Free Republic

BOFA: 'RISKS OF A BOND CRASH ARE HIGH' Sam Ro May 31, 2013, 11:02 AM Bonds have been tumbling for most of the month, and most analysts have warned that it could get even uglier. In a note to clients yesterday titled "Bubble, Bubble, Toil & Trouble," Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategist Michael Hartnett warns that the "risks of a bond crash are high." More from his note (emphasis added): As we have argued in recent years, history shows that major breakouts in equity markets tend to coincide with major inflection points in bond yields (Chart). This is now...

I’ve been warning for weeks now that the Fed would disappoint with its September meeting. And boy did it. As I forecast, the Fed didn’t announce QE 3. In fact, it didn’t announce any new policy of note. Instead it is simply reshuffling its holdings to focus more on the long end of the bond markets. On top of this, the Fed announced it will only be moving roughly $400 billion of its portfolio around. This is the smallest major intervention the Fed has announced since it began implementing QE in 2009 (QE 1 was $1.25 trillion while QE 2 was...