Terminator is pleased:
Posted on 06/22/2020 2:08:09 PM PDT by sodpoodle
1- Basic auto repair shops will disappear. Read on to know why.
2- A gas/diesel engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical motor has only 20 parts. Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are repaired only by dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an electric motor.
3- Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them with robots
4- Your electric motor malfunction light goes on, so you drive up to what looks like a car wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee and out comes your car with a new electric motor!
5- Gas pumps will go away.
6- Street corners will have meters that dispense electricity. Companies will install electrical recharging stations; in fact, they’ve already started in the developed world.
7- Smart major auto manufacturers have already designated money to start building new plants that build only electric cars.
8-Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go away. Drilling for oil will stop. Say goodbye to OPEC! The middle east is in trouble.
9- Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day and than they use, and will sell it back to the grid. The grid stores it and dispense it to industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody seen the Tesla roof?
10- A baby of today will see personal cars only in museums. The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can handle.
11- In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. Who would have thought of that ever happening?
12- What happened to Kodak and Polaroid will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5-10 years ... and most of us don't see it coming.
13- Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you'd NEVER take pictures on film again? With today’s smartphones, who even has a camera these days?
14- Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law – that technological capacity will DOUBLE every year. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became 'way superior and became mainstream in only a few short years.
15- It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence (AI), health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.
16- Forget the book, “Future Shock”, welcome to the 4 th Industrial Revolution.
17- Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
18- UBER is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world! Ask any taxi driver if they saw that coming.
19- Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties. Ask Hilton Hotels if they saw that coming.
20- Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.
21- In the USA, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of computers, you can get legal advice (so far for right now, the basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy – compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. So, if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, (what a thought!) only omniscient specialists will remain.
22- Computer programs already help nurses diagnosing cancer, and the programs are 4 times more accurate than human nurses.
23- Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans...
24- Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars are already here. In the next 2 years, the entire industry will start to be disrupted. You won’t WANT to own a car anymore as you will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination
25- You will not need to park it. You will pay only for the driven distance and you can be productive while driving The very young children of today will never get a driver's license and will never own a car.
26- This will change our cities because we will need 90-95% fewer cars. We can transform former parking lots into green parks.
27- About 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide including distracted or drunk driving. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles. With autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million miles. That will save more than a million lives worldwide each year.
28- Some traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt. They will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.
29- Look at what Volvo is doing right now; no more internal combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year – with the 2019 models using all-electric or hybrid only, with the intent of phasing out the hybrid models.
30- Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla – and they should be. Look at all the companies offering all-electric vehicles. That was unheard of only a few years ago.
31- Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without accidents, the costs will become cheaper. Their auto insurance business model will disappear.
32- Real estate will change. If you can work from home (or from literally anywhere), people will abandon their towers to move far away to more beautiful affordable locations ...
33- Electric cars will become mainstream about 2030. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.
34- Cities will have much cleaner air as well.
35- Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean.
36- Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact. And it’s just getting ramped up.
37- Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that simply cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy.
38- Health: The "Tricorder X" will be announced this year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the Tricorder from Star Trek) that works with your phone – taking your retina scan, your blood sample, and you breathe into it. It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease. There are dozens of phone apps out right now for health.
WELCOME TO TOMORROW! – some of these actually arrived already.
Future projections and predictions tend to ignore the heart of man.
Collectivists make the same mistake.
Uh... I take photos on film. They come out better than digital in a lot of cases. Plus, I really enjoy the process of processing everything myself.
PJ’s Camera over here carries everything needed, and they do really good business.
We’re not. We go back to the Stone Age with inefficient windmills, solar panels and non-working electric motors.
Screw this BS; I won’t be giving-up my 2019 Jeep Grand Cherokee HEMI V8 anytime soon.
There are handheld RT-PCR models around $5000 now. They work with either a mucous swab or a finger stick blood sample. The need for six vials is passing.
There are manyhome test kits for various things now. Collect and mail your own samples, get results back in the mail
Very interesting. Fun the think about. Sadly, 38 points are given and 5 are suspicious.
5. “Gas pumps will go away.” Oil runs cars more efficiently than electricity. ‘Nuff said.
8. “Coal industries will go away.” Since 1980 some electricity has been produced by coal, shale and geothermal manufacturing. Coal and shale are here to stay.
23. “In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.” Yeah, right. Whatever. Computers are passive. ‘Nuff said.
26. “This will change our cities because we will need 90-95% fewer cars.” Impossible, since electrical cars will never take more than 20% of the auto market.
30. “Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla.” Please name one engineer from VW or Audi who is fearful of Tesla. ‘Nuff said.
36. “Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years.” False. Solar reached maximum efficiency in 1980 and has not improved since. ‘Nuff said.
Do you want good news? Here you go.
1. The world has enough food to feed 15 billion today and can sustain 30 billion. The 7 billion people today can live on one part of Long Island.
2. Plasma recyclers are the size of a semi truck and can do two things: recycle everything (glass, paper, batteries, tires, spent nuclear fuel) and produce electricity: every small town and city neighborhood should have one.
3. Fast integral reactors were invented by geniuses at UCSD in 1990 and are 100% clean and safe. They can run underground remotely and power 80% of every city. A major gift from God.
4. Boron is a trace mineral with the potential to power engines in cars and trucks. A $20 load of boron can run a car for ten years. Another gift from God.
5. Oil is a natural renewable substance and the world quantity of oil increases every year. Another major gift from God.
Change out the battery, like a propane tank.
No one should be afraid of electric cars putting them out of business until electric cars can take you 400 miles without needing to be recharged. And, the recharging must be done in the space for five minutes.
I think we spend the next Ice Age under a sheet of ice, with power provided by nuclear energy.
Basic auto repair shops will disappear... Lol
Because future cars won’t have axles, tie rods, brakes, bearings, transmissions, drivetrains, radiators or any other mechanical components apart from the magic electric engine?
+1
Man, this guy needs to change his bong water.
Change out the battery, like a propane tank.
You have to be of a “certain age” to remember that—or live in Japan.
Comparing the evolution of digital cameras to the rise of electric cars is stupid. getting all that power into the car quickly is a bigger problem than this guy seems to understand.
Terminator is pleased:
The very first item is wrong.
It assumes that a feature rich vehicle, just because it has an electric motor, won’t need repairs. Wrong.
Sensors - there’s “only” hundreds of them
Suspension(!) - control arms, tie rods, linkages, grommets
Electronic control units - many today have ~100, now add battery management, battery charging systems
Battery thermal management - heating & cooling systems
Moonroof/sunroof, convertible, motors and mechanisms
Bearings, brakes
Latch mechanisms, door keycodes, seat mechatronics
Infotainment systems, speakers, amplifiers
Window cracks
Smart technologies, like headlights
V2X & cloud connectivity
...and on and on
Second, if everyone had an electric car that they charged from home today - you would blow every single residential transformer. Our infrastructure can’t handle it, any transition will take time.
This is far too large of a prediction. Will some of it happen eventually? Sure, but not as quickly as many are predicting. The batteries still have a long way to go and without nuclear I’m not sure where all this energy will come from, even WITH coal.
That’s a ways off; glad I won’t be around to go thru it.
The word "much" in that statement is a bit much.
When you see a brown cloud over a city about 90% of that are particulates from dirt kicked up by the tires on the vehicles not from exhaust emissions. The tires themselves contribute to that pollution as they are gradually ground to a superfine dust.
I presume electric cars will still have tires that go 'round and 'round kicking up dust.
by the stasis that is the part of the human psyche.”
I don’t think I quite understood this stasis until I read of the people who said, as the first “talkie” movies came out : “It’s just a fad. It can’t replace silent films.” The counterintuitive aspect to that blew me away.
“I can easily drive to Sacramento in less than three hours. Amtrak takes 5-6 hours and dumps you out in a crappy part of town. Loading and unloading vehicles would add hours to the trip. Look into how well the Chunnel works. The only reason it is used is because the alternative is a boat at 13 mph.”
Driverless cars will be maddening when they won’t go faster than the speed limit. It takes forever to get anywhere when speed limits are still in place that were set for cars made in 1920.
I agree with the author on most of the points in the article.
Young children today might not ever need a drivers license. I have seen it reported that all current car manufacturers are so far behind Tesla that they may never catch up.
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