Free Republic

The Democrats’ surprisingly strong showing in the midterm elections has raised a familiar question: Did the pollsters get it wrong again? Heading into Nov. 8, polls from across the industry gave Republicans the clear edge in battleground races, as well as on the generic ballot. The data bolstered the belief among pundits that a red wave was on the rise.

According to a recent poll, reports of President Donald Trump’s demise as GOP figurehead may be highly exaggerated. The new poll from Premise Data shows that Trump leads with 65 percent of support from the field, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis with only 15 percent of support. No other probable contender gets over 7 percent. The poll results can be seen here: Big League Politics has reported on RINOs coming out of the woodwork to declare Trump as dead and non-viable in an attempt to gaslight Republican voters into ditching their heroic leader:

While lightman is busy smashing PA's demonKKKrat voting poll fraud & corruption, on Monday, Tuesday & Wednesday, please post your experiences here, listing your location and updating results for your candidates.

1. Report your turnout observations - High, Low, Meh. 2. State whether your polling place is generally GOP, DEM, or Mixed

Republican candidate and former football star Herschel Walker is leading incumbent Democratic Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock in the final round of polling before Election Day. Walker leads Warnock by 3.2 points, with the support of 49.7% of respondents, in a Trafalgar poll released Monday. That poll, taken between Nov. 4 and Nov. 6, surveyed 1,103 respondents and had a 2.9% margin of error.

New Hampshire’s Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate, Don Bolduc, leads his Democratic opponent, incumbent Sen. Maggie Hassan, among those undecided on who they are going to vote for, according to a new poll. The poll from Wick Insights shows 48.4 percent of respondents saying they will vote for Bolduc and 48.3 percent saying they will vote for Hassan. When undecided voters were asked to choose between Hassan and Bolduc, 95 percent said they would vote for Bolduc.

Washington State Republican U.S. Senate candidate Tiffany Smiley has taken the lead over 30-year incumbent Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA), according to polling. The poll, conducted November 3-5, shows Smiley with a 0.4 percent lead over Murray, sitting at 47.4 percent and 47 percent, respectively. While Smiley has gained momentum, closing a significant gap in the deep blue state of Washington, Murray’s unpopularity has increased to 50 percent, while her favorable rating is 44 percent — a net unfavorability increase from three to six points since October.

Republican J.D. Vance secured 53.9 percent of support from likely voters in the Ohio U.S. Senate race and has a ten-point lead over Democrat Rep. Tim Ryan in the latest Trafalgar Group poll. Trafalgar’s late Sunday night poll showed that 53.9 percent of voters in Ohio would support Vance in the midterm election in just two days, compared to the 43.5 percent who said they would support the Democrat. Only 2.5 percent were undecided.

Republican Gen. Don Bolduc remained in the lead over Democrat Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) in the final poll for New Hampshire’s Senate seat, a Wick Insights poll found Sunday. The poll asked respondents, “If the November 2022 election for US Senate were held today, for whom would you most likely cast your vote — Republican Don Bolduc or Democrat Maggie Hassan? If you are still undecided on who to vote for, please select undecided.”

… I have right here the most accurate and inaccurate list of polls in the last election. There worst polls were Quinnipiac, CNN, L.A. Times, Washington Post, ABC, and Monmouth, and the New York Times. The most accurate: Atlas Intel, Trafalgar, InsiderAdvantage, and Harrison, and Rasmussen.

Republicans lead Rasmussen Reports’ final generic congressional ballot by five points heading into next week’s midterm election. Four days before the election, Republicans lead by five points on the generic ballot, the same generic ballot a GOP candidate has led all year. Of the 2,500 likely voters who responded to the poll, 48 percent said they would vote for the GOP candidate, while only 43 percent said the Democrat candidate.

The New Hampshire Senate race is a “tossup” between Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) and Republican Gen. Don Bolduc, according to Politico, which updated its forecast Friday in favor of Republicans, along with races in Washington State and New York. While Politico finally moved the race to a tossup four days before Election Day, on Tuesday, RealClearPolitics already marked the Granite State race as a GOP pickup. The last two polls measuring the race on Tuesday and Thursday indicated Bolduc was leading the race by a slim margin. Bolduc has come from 13 points behind in just six weeks.

Every election has its holdouts who predict polling and conventional wisdom leading up to the big vote is way off. This year, the optimism caucus has to work overtime for Democrats. With less than a week to go until Election Day, most Democrats are bracing for potentially huge defeats — including losing one or both chambers of Congress — but some in the party aren’t willing to concede anything just yet. “I don’t believe the GOP is headed for any kind of a wave,” said Angelo Cocchiaro, a Democratic Party activist based in Virginia. “The polls show tight races nationwide....

Republican gubernatorial nominee Christine Drazan is leading her Democratic opponent Tina Kotek by two percentage points in the race to become Oregon’s next governor, according to the latest Nelson Research poll. About 43 percent of Oregon likely voters back Drazan while roughly 41 percent support Kotek, the poll shows. Another 5 percent support Independent candidate Betsy Johnson, a former Democrat and state lawmaker who was previously complicating the race for the two leading candidates. Drazan holds a similar lead to a Emerson College/The Hill survey released last month, which had the GOP nominee at 36 percent support to Kotek’s 34...

A recent Echelon Insights survey shows Republican Georgia Senate hopeful Herschel Walker leading Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) by seven percentage points, surpassing the 50 percent threshold in the Peach State. The survey asked respondents, “If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, would you vote for Herschel Walker, the Republican candidate, Raphael Warnock, the Democratic candidate, or Chase Oliver, the Libertarian Party candidate?”

Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz leads Democratic Lt. Gov. John Fetterman in their down-to-the-wire Pennsylvania Senate race, according to two polls taken after their debate last week that show the celebrity TV doctor gaining five percentage points on his Democratic rival since late summer. Oz leads Fetterman by one percentage point (47.6% to 46.6%) in a Susquehanna Polling and Research survey and has a two-point lead (48% to 46%) in an Emerson College poll taken after their Oct. 25 showdown in Harrisburg. Fetterman, Pennsylvania’s lieutenant governor, often struggled to answer questions that he read off a closed caption monitor as he...