Free Republic

Trump leading by three nationally, has led nationally in last four polls in RCP average. I am cautiously optimistic.

Former president Donald Trump has surged since September and now leads Vice President Kamala Harris 50 percent to 48 percent nationally, according to a Fox News poll. The survey, published Wednesday, finds that Trump has taken the lead on Harris among likely voters and registered voters after trailing her in Fox News’s September poll. In that survey, Harris registered at 50 percent, and Trump garnered 48 percent with both groups. Harris’s two-point decline and Trump’s two-point boost translate into a net-four-point swing in the former president’s direction. Trump is winning a substantial 29 percent of registered black voters to Harris’s...

The presidential race is swinging in former President Donald Trump’s direction, according to a national poll released by Marquette. The latest survey shows both Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris tied with 50 percent support each in a two-way race with leaners included. This reflects a four-point swing in Trump’s direction, as the last poll — released August 1 — showed Harris up by four points, garnering 52 percent support to Trump’s 48 percent support. The survey also took a look at the results with a “full field” and found Harris up by a single percentage point — 48 percent...

In the past two years, two competing groups of conservatives—National Conservatives or NatCons and Freedom Conservatives or FreeCons—have issued competing manifestos. These manifestos reflect a divergent understanding of the progressive challenge to the American way of life.This divergence can best be understood in the context of the history of modern American conservatism, which can be broken into three waves: the first wave, symbolized by William F. Buckley, Jr. and Ronald Reagan, lasted from the mid-1950s to the end of the Cold War; the second wave, symbolized by Paul Ryan and the two Bush presidencies, ran from the 1990s to roughly...

The national presidential race between sitting Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump looks like it is tightening. Monday’s Yahoo News poll shows both candidates all tied up at 47 percent among likely voters. Less than a month ago, this same pollster found CacklyMcNeverBorderCzar up by four points over Trump, 50 to 46 percent. The pollster writes, “Vice President Kamala Harris’s narrow national lead over former President Donald Trump has tightened in the wake of a well-received debate performance last week by Ohio Sen. JD Vance[.]” “The new … survey does suggest that the contest has shifted in...

This is the third week in a row that former President Trump has held a two-point national lead over sitting Vice President Kamala Harris in the Rasmussen Reports weekly poll. Rasmussen surveyed 1,820 likely voters on September 19 and 22-25 and found 48 percent support for Trump and 46 percent support for Harris. “These findings are nearly unchanged since last week, when Trump held a 49% to 47% lead over Harris, which was the same as the survey published September 12,” writes the pollster. The internals show — and this is a large sample size — that Trump leads Harris...

In case you didn’t know, August 16 is National Rum Day. And honestly, I don’t care. In fact, the best way to not get me to drink a specific spirit is to tell me I’m supposed to drink it on a specific day. Give me a margarita on St. Patrick’s Day, when I’m supposed to be drinking Irish whiskey, but not on Cinco de Mayo, when I may well be drinking... Irish whiskey. You get my drift. And industry-created “days” of unknown origin are even more annoying. So let me be clear, I am not advocating that you drink any...

Unsustainable. The country is going bankrupt. Trump is the only path forward. CBO: Federal Interest Payments Now Exceed Defense Spending... Federal Debt: The Ticking Bomb in Your Wallet.. Grab your pay stub .. and see how much you paid in federal income tax…over 75% of that was effectively your contribution to interest on the debt .. This is where our federal government is today. It has spent so much more than it has taken in that it has racked up a $35 trillion debt. ... over 75% of that was effectively your contribution to interest on the debt last month....

Based on data from a U.S. Treasury report, the federal government has amassed $142 trillion in debts, liabilities, and unfunded obligations. This staggering figure equals 93 percent of all the wealth Americans have accumulated since the nation’s founding, estimated by the Federal Reserve to be $152 trillion. Unlike other measures of federal red ink that cover an arbitrary period, extend into the infinite future, or ignore government resources, the figure of $142 trillion applies strictly to Americans who are alive right now and includes the government’s commercial assets. Thus, it quantifies the financial burden that today’s Americans are leaving to...

The latest Harvard-Harris poll shows more slippage for incumbent Vice President Kamala Harris in the national polling. The pollster surveyed 2,358 registered voters between September 4 and 5 and found former President Trump in the lead by one point, 47 to 46 percent. When leaners are added in the race is tied up at 50 percent support for each. Here’s where things get a little tricky…. The pollster reports that Trump is the one slipping because the previous Harvard-Harris poll showed Trump leading by four points, 52-48 percent. However. That previous poll was taken all the way back on July...

Vice President Kamala Harris is losing momentum, as former President Donald Trump appears to be closing the gap, according to an Emerson College survey released on Thursday. The latest national survey of the presidential race found Harris leading Trump with 49 percent among likely voters — two points higher than Trump’s 47 percent. However, that is well within the survey’s ± 2.9-3 percent margin of error. It also reflects a shift away from Harris over the last month. In August, Harris saw 50 percent support from likely voters, and Trump came in four points behind, with 46 percent support. In...

Actress Selena Gomez surprised students at a Colorado high school to support a local volleyball team who publically pleaded for the actress to attend. Gomez made the unannounced visit at Telluride High School over the weekend while she was in town to promote her movie “Emilia Pérez” and students posted a bright orange sign asking her to perform the national anthem — suggesting two potential times between Aug. 30 and Aug 31. “They asked!! Couldn’t help it, it’s my first time in Telluride!” ... The “Only Murders in the Building” actress posted a carousel of the event with a video...

The key difference between NatCons and FreeCons has to do with the character of the current political struggle against progressives on the Left. FreeCons believe we are mainly involved in policy arguments. FreeCon signatory Yuval Levin, for instance, writes that our divisions are a family argument between two forms of liberalism: progressive liberalism and conservative liberalism—we are not, he assures us, in a “political fight to the death.” National conservatives, on the other hand, generally believe we are involved in what the late Angelo Codevilla called a “Cold Civil War”—or as third waver Victor Davis Hanson has put it, we...

Scheffler shoots course record 62 to win gold.. Scottie Scheffler shot a bogey-free course record 62 at Le Golf National on Sunday for a come-from-behind gold medal victory. Sure, the impact of the victory will have on his all-time legacy may not be up there with his two green jackets or even his two Ryder Cup victories. But it's no secret that this was his most emotional reaction to a victory. ... While standing on the podium for the medal ceremony, Scheffler burst into happy tears during the playing of the national anthem. ... Scheffler now shifts his focus to...

In the two or so weeks since becoming the anointed and appointed one, Kamala Harris has all but erased Donald Trump’s national lead. She’s also enjoying real momentum in the swing states. Last week, I said we would have to wait until this week before we could begin to understand the impact Joe Biden’s decision to drop out would have on the 2024 presidential race. Further, we would see how the Democrat Party (and corporate media, but I repeat myself) all but crowning Kamala the nominee impacted the polls. Well, now we know, and what we know is that former...

As Americans' political focus turns towards this fall's elections, the winner of the presidential race will be confronted with a national debt that's on pace to reach a record-setting level in the next four years, as well as looming deadlines that may force their hand on fiscal policy. A recent update to the federal government's long-term budget outlook by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) found that budget deficits are projected to widen from about $1.9 trillion this year to more than $2 trillion annually starting in 2030, before nearing $2.9 trillion in 2034. In that period, the debt held...

During an interview aired on Thursday’s broadcast of the Fox News Channel’s “Your World,” Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that the current interest burden of the national debt is at a “normal” level, but President Joe Biden wants to cut the deficit “and doing that would be compatible with making investments in the economy that are necessary to support its growth. But we’re going to have to let important pieces of the Tax Cut[s] and Job[s] Act expire.” Yellen said, “Well, the debt — the ratio of debt to GDP — we have a very large economy, and the ratio...

South Africa’s new government is a “Government of National Unity” (GNU) between the formerly dominant African National Congress (ANC), the opposition Democratic Alliance (DA), and the Zulu Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP). The new government is the result of a coalition agreement that was announced Friday, shortly before a deadline to cast votes in Parliament for the country’s president. Current President Cyril Ramaphosa will be returning to office. The ANC fell from 57% in 2019 to just over 40% in the 2024 elections last month. The DA, with nearly 22% of the vote, was the second-largest party. The radical Economic Freedom...

This is a beautiful declaration of independence and a powerful presentation of arguments for renouncing US citizenship and repatriating as an American State National written by a veteran. The name of the author and link to the original affidavit have been withheld for discretionary purposes. This testimony is not associated with the American States Assemblies, although the case for expatriation is the same. It isn’t the best example of documentation for becoming a State National because living people do not issue affidavits - see annavonreitz.com/dontuseaffidavits.pdf. For best results, follow the Streamlined Correction Process Documents at tasa.americanstatenationals.org/correct-your-status and rely on your...

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) said Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that a national abortion ban could not get 60 votes in the Senate, therefore the issue would be sorted out in the states. Host Kristen Welker said, “I want to talk about abortion which, as you know, is one of the biggest issues for people all across this country right now. Back in 2022 you said a national ban was possible. So as I sit here today I want to ask you, leader McConnell, would you support a federal ban on abortion?”