Free Republic

Democratic socialist mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani is surging, cutting ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s frontrunner status in the Democratic primary to just a single digit lead, according to a new poll released Wednesday. The latest PIX 11/ Emerson College poll has the Queens state Assemblyman holding his own with Cuomo for 10 rounds of ranked-choice voting before being eliminated with a nine-point spread, 54.4% to 45.6%. But with less than a month to the June 24 Democratic mayoral primary, only a small fraction of voters appear to be up for grabs, with 3.5% of voters still undecided, according to the survey conducted...

Polling guru Nate Silver lashed out at other survey junkies in his field for “cheating” in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election — accusing them of recycling some results to keep the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris close. The FiveThirtyEight founder said irresponsible pollsters were “herding” their numbers, or using past results to affect current ones, to keep Vice President Harris and former President Trump to within a point or two of each other each time. “I kind of trust pollsters less,” Silver said on his podcast, name-checking Emerson College. “They all, every time a pollster...

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump looks to make it 2016 all over again in Michigan, scoring a win despite Democratic dominance elsewhere in the state. The latest Emerson College survey shows the 45th president ahead of Kamala Harris for the first time in this poll since July, when the vice president entered the race amid hosannas and uncritical coverage from the corporate press. Trump, who defeated Hillary Clinton by just 0.2 points in 2016, is on track to win 49% to 48%, per the survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted between Oct. 25 and 27. The split extends to favorability...

The college is partly blaming the declining numbers on negative press from the pro-Palestinian demonstrations and arrests.. Following an enrollment decline, Emerson College, in an email sent to faculty and staff Tuesday, announced that it will lay off staff and not fill some vacant positions in fiscal year 2025, according to The Boston Globe. The college is blaming the enrollment decline in part on “negative press and social media” from the pro-Palestinian demonstrations and subsequent arrests. ... President Jay Bernhardt wrote that he expects the enrollment decline to last only one year, but the effects will ripple through the budget...

It happened in February. It’s a video where a teacher, Warren Smith, is seen engaging in a conversation with a student who alleged that J.K. Rowling was transphobic. It quickly went viral. In less than five minutes, Smith, uncondescending, forces the student to rethink his position. The student admits he feels like an idiot after the pair discussed the phrasing and logical trajectory of the debate about the Harry Potter creator who has become persona non grata for her views on gender despite being an ardent leftist. This is utterly brilliant. A student accuses @jk_rowling of being transphobic. This teacher...

New Emerson College Polling/The Hill swing state polls find President Biden trailing former President Trump in the states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; the differences are within each survey’s margin of error.

Emerson College will not take disciplinary action against students arrested as part of a pro-Palestinian protest encampment that was dispersed by Boston police last week, its president said in a letter to the college community Sunday. Over 100 protesters were arrested in downtown Boston’s Boylston Place alleyway in the early morning on Thursday, Boston police said previously. The demonstrators were part of an encampment protest against the war in Gaza by the student organization Students for Justice in Palestine. Those arrested in the public alleyway face “a series of charges,” including disturbing the peace and unlawful assembly, police said. But...

A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in Pennsylvania finds 45% of voters support former President Trump in a 2024 potential presidential election, while 43% support President Biden.

Former President Donald Trump lost six percentage points of support in a national tracking poll after skipping last week’s first Republican primary debate, though the 77-year-old is still well clear of the rest of the GOP field.An even 50% of likely Republican primary voters backed Trump in the Emerson College survey out Monday, down from 56% in the poll the outlet released Aug. 19, four days before the showdown at Milwaukee’s Fiserv Forum. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis gained two percentage points from the previous poll and placed second behind Trump with 12% support. Following the top two were entrepreneur Vivek...

Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden and Green Party presidential candidate Cornell West in a hypothetical three-way race for the White House, according to a national Emerson College poll. The poll also gauged the Republican presidential primary, finding that Trump maintains a colossal advantage with 56 percent support. Former Gov. Ron DeSantis’s (R-FL) support has dropped off 11 points since June 20, when he registered at 21 percent. While he looks to stop the hemorrhaging, he finds himself tied with the surging 37-year-old entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy at ten percent. Ramaswamy is up eight points since June. Kimball noted...

Former President Donald Trump is backed by 70 percent of Kentucky Republicans in his quest for the Republican presidential nomination, according to an Emerson College/Fox 56 Lexington poll.The poll published Sunday shows that 70 percent of “very likely” GOP primary voters in Kentucky say they support Trump for the nomination, giving him a 56-point advantage over his nearest potential competitor, Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL), who is at 14 percent. Trump’s edge has grown by a net 17 points in just one month, as April’s Emerson College/Fox 56 Lexington poll out of Kentucky showed him leading DeSantis 62 percent to 23...

President Biden’s approval rating rose to 44 percent in a new Emerson College survey released on Tuesday. The 5-point improvement in Biden’s approval rating — up from 39 percent in Emerson College’s November poll — comes as the president is reportedly preparing to launch his reelection campaign in the coming weeks. ADMINISTRATION Biden approval rating ticks up to 44 percent in new survey BY JULIA SHAPERO - 01/24/23 10:08 AM ET SHARE TWEET AP-Carolyn Kaster President Joe Biden meets with Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023. (AP...

Two recent Senate midterm polls in the key states of Nevada and Georgia both show the Republican challengers leading the Democratic incumbents with less than two months until the November elections. In Nevada, the latest Emerson College Polling/8 News Now/The Hill survey revealed that GOP Senate candidate Adam Laxalt is narrowly ahead of incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto—42 percent to 41 percent. The poll, conducted between September 8 and September 10 among 1,000 likely voters, is only the second time that the Donald Trump-endorsed Laxalt has beaten Cortez Masto in any of the last seven polls, according to FiveThirtyEight's collection...

VIDEOPoll after poll after poll has shown that Kari Lake leading Karrin Taylor Robson by wide margins in the Arizona gubernatorial primary race yet ONE recent very outlier Emerson College poll has Robson leading by a point. Politico immediately jumped on that outlier poll and hyped it to the exclusion of all the others contrasting sharply with it. Hmmmm..... And how do you think this could be? Can you solve the "mystery?"

The latest Emerson College Polling/KLAS-TV/The Hill Nevada survey finds just a third of voters (33%) approve of the job President Biden is doing; a whole 57% disapprove. Nevada Governor Steve Sisolak holds a 40% approval rating, while 48% disapprove of his job performance. Thirty-seven percent (37%) approve of the job the Supreme Court is doing, while half (50%) disapprove... In a 2024 hypothetical matchup between President Biden and Donald Trump, the former President holds 43% of support while Biden holds 40%—thirteen percent (13%) say they would vote for someone else and 4% are undecided. In a contest between President Biden...

Emerson College has a tradition of warmly welcoming racially divisive administrators. Only a few months after promoting a professor who said blacks and whites can’t be friends and divorced her husband because of his race, Emerson College has now nominated Shaya Gregory Poku as the school’s new vice president for equity and social justice. Poku is one of the authors of the manual “9 Tips for Anti-Racist Child Rearing.” In it, she guides parents on how to raise their children within the critical race theory dogma. The manual claims that not judging people by the color of their skin is...

Since the Emerson College July national poll, President Donald Trump has tightened the presidential race to a two-point margin, and is now trailing former Vice President Joe Biden 49% to 47%. In July, former V.P. Joe Biden held a four-point lead over President Trump –– 50% to 46%. Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson College Polling explains “the Republican convention gave Trump his most positive week of news coverage which likely attributes to his bounce in this month’s poll and increasing job approval.” Voters planning to vote early in person are breaking for Trump 50% to 49% while those who plan...

While many in the media feed off polls showing Democratic challenger Joe Biden poised for a blowout election victory, the third survey this week showed the race much closer, with just 4 points dividing the candidates. The just-released Emerson College poll showed Biden at 50% and President Trump at 46%. The survey of 964 likely voters has a plus or minus 3.1 percentage point rating of accuracy. And, it added, “A majority of voters, 53%, still think Trump will be reelected in November.” It was the third poll this week to show a narrow election.

Republican Sen. Steve Daines holds a 6 point lead in his reelection race with Montana Democratic Governor Steve Bullock in a race that will help decide the balance of power in the U.S. Senate, according to a poll released Monday by Emerson College. Daines received 50 percent support in the poll while 44 percent said they would vote for Bullock. Five percent of those contacted said they were still undecided in the race. Like other traditionally Republican strongholds, Montana is being looked at to see whether support for President Trump has softened, giving Democrats a better chance of retaking control...

Edward Markey appears headed for a bruising defeat unless he can turn around his struggling campaign in the next two months — a difficult ask for a 73-year-old incumbent running against a well-funded young heir to a political dynasty. The latest developments are not good for Markey — and we’re not even talking about his staggeringly stupid decision to pose on his porch with an American flag on the floor. Democratic sources say two new polls in separate congressional districts show Markey trailing U.S. Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy III by double digits. One of the polls was from a Democratic...