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The following is an analysis of the 17 state polls adminstered by Rasmussen during the final days of the 2004 election, consisting of mainly "contested" and toss-up states. Findings: 1)In 17 Polls, Bush Was Underestimated in all 17, Kerry was Overestimated in 4 and correctly predicted in 2. Note that these polls also included a percentage of "undecided" voters. So to be "overestimated" is actually extremely difficult when 5-10% of voters do not even participate with a Bush/Kerry answer. If you remove "no comment" voters from the sample, Kerry's support is overestimated in almost every single state poll, while Bush...

Report just issues, mapes finally fired

COLUMBUS, Ohio, Dec. 5 -- When Ohio Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell certifies the state's final presidential election results, declaring President Bush the winner by about 119,000 votes, critics say they intend to present two challenges. Lawyers representing voters upset about problems at the polls plan to contest the results with the Ohio Supreme Court, citing documented cases of long lines, a shortage of machines and a pattern of problems in predominantly black neighborhoods. In addition, third-party candidates, bolstered by a favorable federal court ruling, plan to file requests for a recount in each of Ohio's 88 counties. About...

Friday, Nov. 5, 2004 I hate it when they do that - write a column that not only says what I planned to write but also has almost the same title I had in mind. But when the writer is Ron Marr, one of the best down-to-earth columnists on the Internet, I simply doff my hat. Ron sets off his column with a quote from what he called a "well-coifed anchor" whose voice dripped "with derision and condescension" when he told his viewers: "What we don't realize is that there's a huge segment of the country that doesn't think like...

Scattered Thoughts as We Near the Election Do you sometimes get the feeling you are right and everyone else is wrong, that everyone is stupid except for you? We sure do. We get that feeling a lot. So when our story quoting a senior GOP veteran saying the presidential race would tighten and Kerry would actually enjoy a slight, marginal lead this week as voters took one last peek at the alternative to President Bush was greeted with jeers around the blogosphere, you could say we were aggravated. Our aggravation has only been accentuated when we consider that at least...

A couple of readers also are concerned about Democratic National Committee Chair Terry McAuliffe's comments on ABC that their exit polling shows democrats ahead by “double digits” in Florida and “ahead” in other parts of the country including in Iowa. I will see if anyone can confirm what McAuliffe is saying, but I offer you some relevant previous comments by McAuliffe on the final “Meet the Press” before Election Day 2002:

Interesting Results, while Bush won nationlly 52-47, and comments were made that Ohio and Florida were close, it stated Pennsylvania went with Bush at 57%. Generally kids follow thier Parents leads. Now I know that doesn't include all seniors, singles etc.. But that is a pretty wide percentage and possibly telling.

MSNBC Online Poll Bush 59% Kerry 41% Ralph Nader 1% 707,892 votes

Sorry for the "Vanity" post, but this might be significant: New Zogby poll being conducted today includes several pages of very well thought out "Ad Research Focus Group" stuff. Majority of entire poll form devoted to researching effective Political Ad potential of simi-subliminal points. Many "Freedom vs. Safety" & "US Dominance vs. Global Approval" etc. Most bizzare question: "For President would you vote for: (1) The Tin Man, who has a brain but no heart, - or (2) The Scarecrow, who has a heart, but no brain. I did not make that up -- it was on the form. I...

The top 5 points: Bush won 3 of them.

Rumours have been, that there is a force out there created by the Democratic National Committee, encouraging (strongly), Democrats to manipulate internet polls, immediately after the debates. This strategy seems to be working, and the left-leaning media, continues to report their "un-scientic" polls (as they call them) without dismissing them as they should. Even smaller political websites, such as www.rightliner.com, have been influenced dramatically, along with msnbc.com, cnn.com, etc. It is possible that an impression might be made by the left, that Kerry is in fact winning these debates - overwhelmingly, while in fact not doing so at all. This...

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October 5, 2004 ADVERTISING Kerry Ads Draw on Saudis for New Attack on Bushes By JIM RUTENBERG n the final month of the campaign, Democrats are increasingly tying the White House to the Saudi Arabian royal family, a line of attack that they say is highly effective, but it has stirred concern among Saudi officials. Senator John Kerry and the Democratic Party introduced two new advertisements this weekend that criticize President Bush's administration as giving the family "special favors" and as having an overreliance on Saudi Arabia for oil. And the Media Fund, a Democratic group, said yesterday that it...

Insight's "Bush Won!!" Posted October 1, 2004 By Adam Yoshida "As has been pointed out at length over recent days, the final verdict on any debate takes two or three days to be rendered. But let me try and pre-empt that now: Bush won not only the debate but, in all probability, the election. Senator Kerry stood up well but, once more, he didn't say anything. In fact, coming out of the debate, I'm less clear as to what Kerry actually thinks about Iraq and the broader War on Terrorism than I was before I went in. Kerry's managed to...

Several indicate they will not be bound by limits on cameras Although the Bush and Kerry camps have meticulously crafted an agreement on the rules for this year's presidential debates, the television networks broadcasting them refuse to go along with the plans.

President Bush has set a debate trap for John Kerry that will force him to take positions opposed by a large percentage of his backers, former top Clinton strategist Dick Morris said Monday. "What's happened is that Bush has set up a trap for Kerry," Morris told Fox News Channel's "Hannity & Colmes." "He has so emphasized Kerry's flip-flopping, so-called weakness, vacillation, all that stuff, that Kerry has to take strong positions in the debate." That will force Kerry to make his position clear once and for all on Iraq, the top strategist said - which will inevitably cost him...

SPRING GREEN - Invoking images he hoped would resonate with local voters, presidential candidate John Kerry talked Monday of America's love for the Green Bay Packers, his memories of working on his uncle's dairy farm and fishing trips as a child during a 90- minute town-hall style meeting at River Valley Middle School. Kerry even held up a copy of the Wisconsin State Journal and answered three questions posed by readers. And he tried out his humor on the local crowd with a jab at President Bush's leadership - and the fact that he's 5 inches taller than Bush. Kerry...

Cal Thomas advises Kerry & Bush on debate strategy Cal Thomas Debate advice and questions Will many people watch the "debates," which resemble joint news conferences? The rules are so strict that the candidates don't engage each other. One-third of homes with television sets watched the first 2000 presidential debate between Gov. George W. Bush and Vice President Al Gore. The first debate traditionally draws the most viewers, possibly including those precious "undecideds," so here is some unsolicited advice and suggested questions for both candidates. For Sen. Kerry: You have the most to prove. You are a rich, elitist Massachusetts...

When it comes to presidential debates, it seems size does matter. John Kerry, a 6-foot-4-inch Democrat, poked fun on Monday at George W. Bush, the 5-foot-11-inch Republican president for reportedly insisting that podiums be set far apart to offset his opponent's five-inch height advantage. The Massachusetts senator told a town hall meeting in Spring Green -- where he is rehearsing -- that voters should not be afraid of changing commanders in chief in the midst of war with Iraq and the battle against terror. "You know when your horse is headed down toward the waterfalls or when your horse is...

Cornfields have turned from summer green to wispy stalks of beige. Only a few melons remain in their bins. But in the Farm Belt of northwest Ohio unlike much of the state the election has yet to ripen for harvest. (snip) It's no surprise that Kerry, a Democrat, draws cheering crowds in the Industrial Heartland of Northeast Ohio, nor that Bush owns the reliably Republican Southland of southwest Ohio. But the president also is outpolling Kerry in the state's growing Exurbia, central Ohio, and in the hills of Appalachia. That leaves the 21 Farm Belt counties typically conservative but independent...