Free Republic

Global markets are increasingly unstable as sovereign debt burdens grow, social unrest brews, and confidence in traditional systems erodes. Against this backdrop, Martin Armstrong, founder of Armstrong Economics and creator of the Economic Confidence Model, brings rare insight into the cycles reshaping the world. In this conversation, Armstrong breaks down how centuries of historical data, political shifts, and rising debt pressures are converging into a major global reset. From sovereign defaults to civil unrest, he explains why the patterns are undeniable—and what they mean for the future of markets, governments, and society itself.

American businesses are losing confidence in the US economy under Trump due to the tariff wars. CNBC’s CFO Council quarterly survey for Q1 2025 learned that America’s top CFOs are increasingly pessimistic about the economy due to these “disruptive” and “aggressive” tariff policies. Around 60% of respondents believe the US will fall into a recession by the second half of this year, with 15% believing the recession will come in 2026. When this survey was conducted last quarter, prior to the tariff wars and trade volatility, only 7% of CFOs believed the nation was heading into a recession. This figure...

Posted for the Martin Armstrong Ping List.Dedicated to discussing and exposing the “Felon Forecaster” who spent a eleven years in prison for fraud.This is to critically evaluate and expose, not agree with what is written. Armstrong foes, friends, and the curious as what this is all about are welcome.More information at Martin Armstrong Socrates Scam.Argentina to Permit Provinces to Create Own Currencies Posted Jan 18, 2024 By Martin Armstrong | 3 minute readCOMMENT: It is apparent that you are advising Argentinian President Javier Milei on economic theories. You said at the WEC that we would eventually see local currencies. If...

“How NOT to be a victim of gold scams” Part TwoThe first part was to give some background in the realities of the industry, to help dispel what get rich forecasters say. The deeper I went... well... rabbit holes go deep. Armstrong, like many frauds of economics loves talking about gold. How to invest and make money in it. From the first post, there is no way a outsider investing in the stock market, will make more than those working in the industry. This part is to address specific gold predictions by Martin Armstrong... and how disconnected from reality...

How not to be a Victim of Gold Scams.I have seen a lot of posts made by people who claim to be representatives of small gold mining operations, or a group of miners or mandates of someone selling gold. When I come across these posts I try to expose them for what they are, obvious attempts to scam people.Sadly, gold fever causes people to set aside all reason, specially when the potential profits are in the millions of dollars. Brokers who are trying to operate large transactions on the dream that they will be worth millions often get caught up...

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, At first, I questioned why you were more pro-Putin than the media. But given your reliable forecasting and being renowned for your sources, I kept an open mind. Whilst it is becoming clear that Putin has been going after the people who wanted to nuke and totally invade Ukraine, the media seems to overlook that agenda of invading all of Ukraine. Yevgeny Prigozhin disagreed with Putin on only protecting the Donbas. Igor Girkin, who advocated the invasion of Ukraine, was also arrested. The press even tried to pretend that China’s Xi warned Putin not to use nuclear...

A snippet from one of Martin Armstrong's earlier World Economic Conferences. Many people ask about the experience - here it is.Who is Martin Armstrong?Decades ago, Martin Armstrong paid some programmers to write that trading software for him which he calls Socrates (he never learnt how to do computer programming, has never finished any qualification).He then used that program to trade the markets with money stolen from investors. Made spectacular losses - $700 million. Covered the losses with a $3 billion Ponzi scheme.Was caught. On bail, he still stashed away $ millions worth of assets so he would have cash later....

Martin ArmstrongNOTE: HERE is a website dedicated to exposing Mr. ArmstrongMartin Armstrong, while not limited as a Precious Metals analyst, probably has one of the most colorful history's of anyone we have researched. He runs Armstrong Economics and became a millionaire at 15 by collecting coins. Mr. Armstrong is the former chairman of Princeton Economics International Ltd. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed. In September 1999, Armstrong faced prosecution by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for fraud. During the trial, Armstrong was imprisoned...

At 8:18AM Zelensky on a video call to G20 leaders told them that Russia was a “terrorist state” among them and that the attack was deliberate by Russia and that the missiles were a “true statement brought by Russia for the G20 summit.” It is now confirmed that the missiles were fired by Ukraine. To pretend it was not another “Ukrainian False Flag” they claimed the missiles were fired at a Russian missile and were not intentional. Forget saving the planet for climate change which is also a natural occurrence, the ONLY way to save the planet is to get...

Yellen has inherited a complete nightmare. Thursday’s decision to delay yet again the long-awaited liftoff from zero interest rates is illustrating that the world economy is totally screwed. There is a lot of speculation about why the Fed seems so reluctant to “normalize monetary policy”. There are of course the typical domestic issues that there is low inflation, weak wage gains in the face of strong job growth, a hike will increase the Federal deficit and then there is the argument that corporations that now have $12.5 trillion in debt. All that is nice, but with corporate debt, our clients...

Yellen has inherited a complete nightmare. Thursday’s decision to delay yet again the long-awaited liftoff from zero interest rates is illustrating that the world economy is totally screwed. There is a lot of speculation about why the Fed seems so reluctant to “normalize monetary policy”. There are of course the typical domestic issues that there is low inflation, weak wage gains in the face of strong job growth, a hike will increase the Federal deficit and then there is the argument that corporations that now have $12.5 trillion in debt. All that is nice, but with corporate debt, our clients...