The death of ( Ruth Bader Ginsburg) raises the immediate question of whether or not President Trump will be able to (successfully install) a new supreme court justice before the election, or be thwarted. There are electoral benefits to him in either case: he gets his replacement through – among the names touted are Amy Coney Barrett and Barbara Lagoa, both candidates representing a further lurch to the right – or his failure to do so motivates his base.