Free Republic

At the end of the day, it's only July, there are a lot of unprecedented events happening, polling is more accurate than its critics think but probably *not* as accurate as it was in say 2004-2012—and if we wind up in a photo finish, Trump likely wins b/c of the Electoral College.

A few days after the 2016 election, at an internal meeting later leaked to Breitbart News, top Google executives, including Sundar Pichai, Sergey Brin, and Kent Walker, lamented President Trump’s victory, comparing Trump voters to “extremists” and discussing their desire to make Trump’s election and the populist movement a “blip” in history. True to their word, four years later, Google is deliberately working to interfere with the reelection of Trump in 2020. There are several ways in which Google is interfering in the 2020 election, but this article will focus primarily on one of them: political search bias. Google Has...

The polling companies are doing it again. In 2016, they skewed their polls to make it look like Hillary Clinton was going to win the presidential election. The Drudge Report, which used to favor the right, is now linking to these biased polls with headlines that shriek “Shock Poll!� Because they really are shocking; no one believes that Joe Biden is significantly ahead of Donald Trump in the polls. As one writer described it, “Biden can’t get through a fawning five-minute interview from his basement, with notes and a teleprompter, without losing his train of thought or saying something absurd.� John...

Redistricting occurs at both the state level for state legislature seats and the federal level for U.S. House districts, known as congressional apportionment. The order would affect the latter. Trump's memorandum, sent out by the White House Press Office on Tuesday, reads, "I have accordingly determined that respect for the law and protection of the integrity of the democratic process warrant the exclusion of illegal aliens from the apportionment base, to the extent feasible and to the maximum extent of the President's discretion under the law."...... The president signed the order on Tuesday at 1:10 p.m. ET in the Oval...

The presidency of Donald J. Trump is a grand enigma, so enigmatic that powerful opponents — and even some supporters — thought he must have had outside help to win the Oval Office. The Mueller investigators spent more than $30 million over two years searching for Russian collusion and produced almost 450 pages trying to solve the Trump enigma but found no collusion. Impeachment proceedings then feverishly sought reasons to remove Trump from office. The maddening (to some) mystery remained: What power made Donald Trump the president of the United States of America? “How?” is indeed at the heart of...

A court in the United Kingdom ordered British ex-spy Christopher Steele to pay thousands in damages to two Russian bankers named in the former MI6 agent’s dossier as having “illicit” financial ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin. Justice Warby of the Queen’s Bench Division of the British High Court of Justice presided over a weeklong March hearing in the defamation lawsuit brought by the owners of Russia’s Alfa Bank, Petr Aven, Mikhail Fridman, and German Khan, against Orbis Business Intelligence, Steele’s private intelligence firm through which he conducted research in 2016 for Fusion GPS through the Perkins Coie law firm...

Things are not looking good right now for President Trump. He is trailing Joe Biden in the polls by double digits. He is losing ground in states he won in 2016. And there are a host of seemingly insurmountable obstacles standing against him. Can he win again in 2020 without divine intervention? Thinking back to 2016, things also looked dire for Donald Trump, right up to election day. There was no way he was going to win.In his book The Case for Trump, history professor Victor David Hanson notes that, “Respected polls such as the Princeton Election Consortium on election...

Jul 02, 202007:49 Model projects 91% chance Trump will get re-elected Stony Brook University professor Helmut Norpoth says the battleground state polls in 2016 were 'way off' and that his model has correctly predicted 24 out of 26 of the past presidential elections.

The key to predicting who is going to win an election is understanding who will vote – and that spells trouble for pollsters. The best predictor of voting intention is to ask the respondents if they intend to vote. The problem, however, is that real turnout has been around 55 percent for the last 55 years, while, historically, over 70 percent of survey respondents routinely say they intended to vote. Yikes! So are 20 percent of respondents selected in random probability samples lying? Yes....

Hillary Clinton's female surrogates attacked the GOP's record on women's issues Monday ahead of the New York primary, as the Democratic front-runner seeks to turn out women voters. "A woman voting for Ted Cruz is like a chicken voting for Col. Sanders," Planned Parenthood President Cecile Richards said at the midtown Manhattan rally as she introduced the Democratic front-runner. In a fundraising email last week, Richards described Cruz as Planned Parenthood's "biggest threat" this election cycle, as the pro-life Texas senator wants to defund the organization. Planned Parenthood endorsed Clinton in January, marking their first-ever presidential primary endorsement. Along with...

Tuesday at an event at the National Press Club, the first Muslim elected to the U.S. Congress Rep. Keith Ellison (D-MN) took aim at Muslims who support presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, likening them to “chickens for Colonel Sanders” of Kentucky Fried Chicken fast food restaurant fame.

Hillary Clinton surged to a broad advantage against Donald Trump in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, capitalizing on Trump’s recent campaign missteps. Two-thirds of Americans see him as biased against groups such as women, minorities or Muslims, and a new high, 64 percent, call Trump unqualified to serve as president. . . . Americans by 68-28 percent think his comment about Judge Gonzalo Curiel was racist. Regardless of whether or not it was racist, 85 percent say it was inappropriate. . . . Most generally, the public by 56-36 percent, a 20-point margin, says Trump is standing against their...

Ukraine prosecutors didn't want the political spectacle that became impeachment and simply sought to turn over evidence about Joe Biden and election interference to U.S. prosecutors, memos show.Could the impeachment scandal have been prevented if the now-fired U.S. Attorney Geoffrey Berman had followed up on Ukrainian allegations about Joe Biden and his family in 2018? That’s the tantalizing question raised by emails from fall 2018 between an American lawyer and the chief federal prosecutor in Manhattan that were obtained by Just the News. The memos show that well before Ukrainian prosecutors reached out to Rudy Giuliani, President Trump’s lawyer, in...

“I’m terrified, I’m terrified that she’s not going to be treated fairly,” the mother of accused leaker Reality Sara Winner told CBS News after her daughter’s arrest under the Espionage Act for stealing Top Secret documents and passing them along to a media outlet. Billie-Jean Davis says her daughter is afraid that law enforcement will “make her disappear,” but then at the same time claims that the US government wants to make an example of Winner. “That’s not fair,” she tells CBS:(VIDEO-AT-LINK) The mother and stepfather of 25-year-old Reality Leigh Winner, the NSA contractor accused of leaking government secrets, are...

Reality Leigh Winner, a 25-year-old National Security Agency contractor accused of leaking classified information about Russian hacking to the media, wrote that she wanted to "burn the White House down" in notes confiscated from her home during a raid, federal prosecutors said in court today. Winner pleaded not guilty to a charge of “willful retention and transmission of national defense information” this afternoon in federal court in Augusta, Georgia. She was arrested at her Georgia home on June 3 and charged with removing classified material from a government facility and mailing it to a news outlet. Winner was a contractor...

On Monday, a Texas civil rights attorney launched a clemency petition for National Security Agency whistleblower Reality Winner in Dallas. The attorney, Alison Grinter, encountered Winner through Crystal Mason, a Texas mother who served time alongside Winner in a Fort Worth federal prison after receiving a five-year sentence for “illegal voting” in the 2016 presidential election. Mason and Winner became friends in the facility’s newsroom, where they spent long hours watching TV news and debating current events. After hearing about Winner from Mason, Grinter began corresponding with the whistleblower’s mother, Billie Winner-Davis, on Twitter. Last year, the two women drove...

The stolen document is basically useless . . . but where is this Winner located? Hmmm Georgia? Georgia election officials accuse DHS of hacking state computer system. Georgia was one of only two states refuse help from the DHS in securing the elections noticed they were hacked and the hack came from within the Department of Homeland Security and they called it out.

The fact that four justices who complained that the court needed to hear Second Amendment cases passed on 10 chances to do so tells us much about the courtÂ’s 'swing vote.' The U.S. Supreme CourtÂ’s decision to pass on nearly a dozen gun-rights-related cases is breathtaking, not in the denial of hearing any, but in the seeming admission that the conservative associate justices think Chief Justice John Roberts canÂ’t be trusted to protect the Bill of Rights.The nationÂ’s top court denied writ of certiorari to 10 cases. The National Shooting Sports Foundation, the firearm industry trade association, submitted amicus curiae...

In UK court paper, Steele firm Orbis claims Perkins Coie engaged FusionGPS to provide information on Russian interference in order to challenge 2016 election results Elias, in recently declassified testimony by the DNI obfuscates reason for hiring FusionGPS, but does not slam the door on early discussions of Russian interference Elias met with Steele, Simpson and others in late September/early October of 2016 to discuss work completed for FusionGPS and Elias Elias admits he was aware of leaks of dossier to press, and allowed those leaks to occur There is an ongoing defamation lawsuit between Alfa Bank principles Mikhail Fridman,...