Free Republic

First there was the Washington Post/ABC News poll showing only a 6% lead for the dems! It was 14% in the last poll. Next, the Pew Poll shows momentum towards Republicans. Republicans were posting higher marks among likely voters on the question of which party should control the House, a shift one poll attributed to the GOP making gains among independent voters and party faithful becoming more engaged. The independent Pew Research Center found that Democrats now have a four-point edge over Republicans, narrower than the 11-point advantage two weeks ago. And now AJ Strata sends word that the USA...

The new Gallup Sentate numbers are out. Decidedly mixed-to-negative news: Allen up 3, Corker up 3, Talent down 3, Chafee down 3, Kean down 10, and Burns back to trailing by 9. No Steele poll in this batch. For perspective, though, know that gallup flubbed the majority of its final Battleground calls in Bush/Kerry. Gallup projected: Ohio - Kerry by 4, actual Bush by 2 Floriday - Kerry by 4, actual Bush by 5 Pennsylvania - Bush by 4, actual Kerry by 2 Wisconsin - Bush by 8, actual Kerry by 1 Minnesota - Kerry by 8, actual Kerry by...

Polls show that with less than 24 hours until voters decide which party will control Congress, Republicans are making major gains in key races and closing the gap nationally, meaning voter turnout could become the key factor. Nationally, Republicans cut the Democrats' lead to just four percentage points, down from 11 last month, according to the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press. Two other national polls found similar results. With many key races across the country now teetering on single-digit percentage leads, both parties are wheeling out the big guns — President Bush and House Minority Leader...

www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball Crystal Ball 2006: THE PREDICTIONSCampaigns Clamor for Last-Minute Midterm "Mo"Larry J. Sabato and David WassermanU.Va. Center for PoliticsNovember 2, 2006 Just how Democratic a year is 2006? Five days out, let's rephrase the question this way: when's the last time a major political party has failed to capture a single House seat, Senate seat, or governorship of the opposing party in a federal election year? We bet it's never happened before, and it certainly hasn't happened in the post-World War II era. After all, even when a party suffers miserable net losses, it usually picks up at least several...