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Alternatives to GOP: what are the options (with a view towards election success by 2024)?
original to Free Republic | Jan 17, 2021 | Peter O'Donnell

Posted on 01/17/2021 9:02:35 AM PST by Peter ODonnell

Obviously in an ideal world, the "base" would assert control over the Republican Party and flush out the swamp creatures who seem to form the majority of its executive and prominent elected representatives.

But assuming that movement never takes off or gains any traction, what third party options exist and what are their chances for electoral success by 2024?

The range of possibilities would seem to include these:

(a) Declare the existence of an alternative GOP, calling it something very similar to the Republican Party (with the word Republican in the name, such as Conservative-Republican, Constitutional-Republican, Free Republican? hmm) ... organize and go forward with a view to capturing 80% of the vote of the GOP and perhaps 20% of the vote of the Democrats with Libertarians attracted also.

(b) Declare the existence of an alternative less obviously alternative to the GOP, with a more neutral name such as American Eagle Coalition, Freedom Party of America, etc. Then go forward with the same set of aims as in (a) above, hoping to assemble a voting coalition of at least 50%.

(c) Flock to some already existing alternative that has limited organizational skills, take it over and make it the alternative. This could even include the Libertarian Party which has sufficient resources to attract 3 to 5 per cent of the vote and is a perennial participant in federal and state elections.

Let's discuss and review the pros and cons of these three alternatives.

(a) The hollowing out of the GOP approach under a new but similar name. To the best of my knowledge, this has not been tried in any major western parliamentary democracy before, all similar efforts would fall under option (b) that I listed above. ...

Basically (a) is the same idea as taking over the GOP, it just eliminates the messy process of ousting the executive and leading entrenched political figures like McConnell and Romney, and assumes instead that with a more attractive set of policies and perhaps the backing and participation of Donald Trump, this alternative would quickly replace the GOP as the real contender on the right.

At the same time, it would have the freedom to explore policy initiatives that the GOP would never envisage nor endorse, such as term limits for Congress, stricter immigration policies, anti-corruption measures, vote counting reforms, and specific restraints on war-adventurist types of foreign policy.

With the public quickly getting the idea that the new party with its similar name to Republican Party was the new Republican Party, there should be a rapid evacuation of almost all members and worthwhile political candidate elements of the GOP, leaving the actual GOP dead on the vine and likely to disappear in the 2025-28 presidential term that (ideally) would be either Donald Trump having returned without their assistance or endorsement, or a similar figure (possibly Donald Trump Jr, or even Ted Cruz) as president with good chances for re-election in 2028.

(b) The alternative party concept has been tried with varying amounts of success in a number of countries with roughly similar political landscapes, and also by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, you might argue.

Canada provides two recent examples and they are both instructive and cautionary. First, some ancient political history, this will take two paragraphs then we can get back to important things. Around the mid-1920s in Canadian politics, there were the Liberal Party, the Conservative Party, and a populist group known as the United Farmers of Alberta. This was before the time of the socialist "CCF" (Co-operative Commonwealth Federation) which later turned into the NDP (New Democratic Party). So with several close elections and power switching back and forth, the Conservatives of those times reached out to the UFA and formed a new party called the "Progressive Conservative Party of Canada" which ended the existence of the UFA and went on to become a somewhat better vote-getting proposition than the previous Conservatives had been. Even so, after one brief chance to govern in the early 1930s, this party was in opposition in all the years between 1935 and 1984 except for the John Diefenbaker government that lasted from 1958 to 1963. The Liberal Party of Canada, at that time a very centrist drifting left sort of entity, easily won most of the elections held, and then started to drift towards the left-liberal globalist camp under Pierre Trudeau 1968 to 1984 (he was briefly ousted by Joe Clark for a minority period 1979-80, Clark got outmanoeuvered and Trudeau returned to power).

While the PC party was relatively unsuccessful in federal politics, it stayed relevant because of the formation of the NDP which ate into the Liberal vote totals. Otherwise, the Liberal Party of Canada would very likely remain perpetually in power since it could be assumed 90% of the 20% NDP voter share would go to them.

It should be noted that the PC party had greater success in provincial politics, notably in Ontario, Alberta and sometimes the other English speaking provinces except for B.C. where politics takes on a different formation, the B.C. Liberal Party is actually a conservative-centrist coalition and any efforts by the B.C. Conservative Party to gain seats has been rejected by the voters (it tends to attract about 5-10 per cent of the voters). And in francophone Quebec, there are analogue parties under different names but these come and go on a regular basis, Quebec politics are dominated by their wing of the Liberals as a base for federalist Quebecois, and the Parti Quebecois (PQ) which is more or less the NDP for separatist francophones. Third parties regularly appear and sometimes even hold balance of power, these are all over the spectrum and not necessarily conservative in nature.

From 1984 to 1993, Brian Mulroney formed strong PC governments in Canada. For the first time, he managed to attract up to 50% of the voters, which against three other options (by then) easily secures a large majority in parliament. His governmental style was similar to Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher but he adapted that to Canadian contexts and governed from a centre-right position, keeping the Liberals bottled up between his political position and the purely socialist platform of the NDP. By the 1980s, another populist party called Social Credit was fading out of Canadian politics. It had governed British Columbia and Alberta in the past, but had morphed into a rural francophone dissent of all modern society movement, and when its charismatic leader died, that was the end of it altogether.

Mulroney lost favour with Canadian voters around 1992 after a divisive effort to reform the constitution and the introduction of a value added tax, the G.S.T. set at 7% (nowadays at 5%) on many but not all goods and services. It partially replaced a hidden manufacturers' sales tax of 12% on a more limited range of items. Even so, Canadians rebelled against Mulroney, led by the Liberal dominated media who cynically used the issue to get their party back into power. Despite the deputy leader of the Liberals' promise to repeal the G.S.T., incoming Prime Minister Jean Chretien knew it was a good idea and kept it around. Since then, there has been little opposition to it, as more and more Canadians have come to understand that the G.S.T. basically guarantees that people evading the income tax system will just be paying their fair share that way instead. Also it has stabilized our economy to a remarkable degree for such a small tax (provinces also have sales taxes that sometimes apply to the same items).

Well, in 1993 the PC party was not just defeated, it was crushed, reduced to two seats in the House of Commons and 30% of the vote. There had already been a breakaway right wing protest party formed, Reform -- Alberta based, it did not do any better in 1993, but by the 1997 election, it had outpaced the PCs and took about two thirds of the available right wing vote and elected a sizeable group (65 or so) able to form the official opposition. The PCs were only able to rebound to a low level of 12 MPs. The same result in 2000 allowed the Liberals to continue a majority government despite a rather shabby vote total of 39%, so a lot of people within the two parties (Reform and PC) determined they should perhaps rejoin but under a less divisive name (by now, Progressive had taken on far-left connotations that it probably didn't have in the successful years of the PC party). The Reform Party changed its name to the Canadian Alliance, partly to make it seem like the PCs wouldn't just be surrendering to Reform, but that was the essential nature of the merger when it happened in 2003-04. A leadership convention was held, and Stephen Harper, newly crowned CA leader, beat a field of other candidates with vague promises of compromise and continuation of the Reform-Alliance traditions (which were essentially Trumpist politics without a Donald Trump figure involved -- the Canadian media treated Stephen Harper in much the same way that your media have treated both GWB and Donald Trump in recent memory, but his leadership style while power-centered was not charismatic and certainly nowhere near a one-man show). The new party was simply named the Conservative Party of Canada, dropping the progressive label. Ontario, Manitoba, New Brunswick and Alberta are currently ruled by Progressive Conservative governments, and those provincial parties are essentially wings of the federal Conservative Party now after a period where they tried to stay on the sidelines of a federal bun fight between rival factions. The B.C. Liberal Party also can be thought of as a wing of the Conservative Party, with many of the same people active in riding associations (a riding being our name for electoral district).

Harper ate away at the Paul Martin Liberal government's majority, turning them into a brief minority 2004-05, then coming to power himself in a minority parliament 2006-08, and a majority secured thereafter for terms that lasted until 2015 when he finally ran out of gas and was (to the surprise of some) ousted by Justin Trudeau, with a return to the centre-left government of the Liberals. That has since been reduced to a minority where they need the support of the NDP to rule without the parliament coming to an end (in our system, a vote of non-confidence on an economic or constitutional matter automatically terminates a parliament and invokes an election, otherwise we now have fixed term elections every four years, the year before yours as it stands now).

Discontent within the ranks of the CPC has led to the creation of a populist alternative, the Peoples' Party of Canada. Despite the socialist sounding name, this is a far-right rump of voters who would be in the Trump coalition if they lived across the border. The policies of the PPC are more extreme forms of conservatism than the CPC will tolerate or endorse, although the CPC did well enough under Harper's style of appearing to lean towards those things then never actually doing much about them (such as with climate change, immigration issues, or standing up to the socialist media and defunding the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation as examples). The PPC only managed to get 2-3 per cent of the vote in 2019, and failed to elect even their well-known leader who was running in his own home riding won as a Conservative in 2015. He was rather narrowly defeated by the official Conservatives, but other candidates were well back in the pack, behind the Green Party which does fairly well in some Canadian urban areas.

Although outside the scope of this topic, since we've delved that deeply into Canadian politics, and just for context, there is also a sizeable Quebec based party called the Bloc Quebecois which is essentially the federal presence of the PQ, and aimed to be a front line for separation negotiations should any referendum ever empower them (so far, two in 1980 and again 1995 failed by very narrow margins, gotta love those Montreal Greeks who were the margin of difference apparently). This BQ party tends to bounce up and down in Quebec opinion polls between 20 and 40 per cent support. The NDP tried to mount a francophone presence, partly succeeded around 2008-11, then lost that ground to the BQ, who are essentially a socialist party waiting to re-merge with their PQ brethren after separation or "sovereignty-association" as some like to sell the concept (we're leaving but sticking around for the financial benefits being the essential nature of that proposition).

Another example that could be cited of the success or failure of alternative right wing parties would be in the United Kingdom where the Conservative Party never took on the name Progressive Conservatives, but made the same philosophical shift a bit later, perhaps after Churchill's last term when Anthony Eden, a more centrist figure, took over. In those days (1950s) it was a straight up choice between centre-right Conservatives and leftist Labour, and they tended to alternate terms in power to the 1970s. At that time, a third party emerged, the Liberals, unlike in Canada, a very small presence and largely idealistic centrists who wanted neither of the above. The Liberals never totally broke through, their usual election performance was something like 10-20 seats won (out of over 600 in the UK parliament) and perhaps 15% of the vote. That party has since been renamed the Social Democratic Party. In UK politics also, there are regional parties for Scotland and Northern Ireland holding many of the seats available there. These tend to align themselves with either side although the Ulster unionists almost always align with the Conservatives. While the Scottish nationalists are pro-independence, the Ulster unionists are largely the opposite, advocates of continued participation of NI in the UK.

Into that rather complex picture emerged the UKIP, a more right wing protest party that was the prime mover to get the Brexit movement started. The Conservative Party co-opted that movement when it sensed that opposition to it might lead the UKIP towards a larger voter share in national elections (the term federal does not get used in the UK since they have basically a unitary form of government, especially in England and Wales, counties have some governmental authority but basically all the politics is national and in Scotland or Northern Ireland, regional).

The UKIP have acted as a sort of deterrent to any tendency for the British Conservatives to become too centrist. Also a deterrent to that was Tony Blair's third way concept of moving Labour more into the centre from the far left. The Conservatives were being squeezed into a fairly narrow portion of the voting spectrum so they basically tried the GOP approach of giving election cycle lip service to policies that would appeal to soft dissident votes that might otherwise get parked with UKIP as a protest. Then between elections they attempt(ed) to ignore those vague promises, Stephen Harper style, and govern from the centre anyway.

Just a brief commentary on all of the above -- the relevance of this to U.S. politics would be that yes you can create alternatives under considerably different names and philosophies, but as with the Ross Perot experience, the danger is that the alternative reaches just that critical level of success that will split the available anti-Liberal (anti-Democrat) vote in half and make it easy for them to win without even good appeal to their side of the voting spectrum.

The success of the alternative depends on crushing the orthodox original party being replaced. If there is not a crushing by at least a 4:1 ratio, then the original party retains enough life and presence to be constantly in the process of renewing itself and eating back some of its lost support.

Another cautionary tale is that just because an alternative is successful (Canada's Reform Party by about 1999) is no guarantee that it can do any better against the leftist establishment than the defunct and corrupt original party was doing, nor is it any guarantee that the new leadership (as with Stephen Harper) will follow through on explicit promises to voters. In other words, you can even get to majority power status as with Donald Trump, and still fail to reach the objectives laid out (clearing the swamp in his case, certain other things in Canada -- much was made in 2011 of how Stephen Harper would finally defund the CBC which is essentially the voice of the Liberal Party of Canada paid for by taxpayers of all persuasions, yet he did nothing about that promise, and he also endorsed the precursors to the Paris climate accords, Kyoto and the Rio summit).

Another lesson is that some in the voter base will accept a half loaf or a glass half full, saying, "this is a lot better than letting the socialists rule." Stephen Harper still has many fans in Canadian conservative politics although he gained some enemies as well. His two successors so far have tried to emulate his style and philosophy, Max Bernier was going towards populism when narrowly defeated for the leadership, thus he bailed out and formed the PPC alternative.

(c) taking over some other political entity, including possibly the Libertarian Party

Most of the Trump wing of the GOP would probably think of themselves as philosophical conservatives and some as libertarians. These terms have taken on somewhat tarnished meanings due to the decisions taken by their most prominent representatives. For example, if one thinks of "conservative" as being prep-school, Bush-Cheney, National Review, neo-con or any of those types of globalist adjuncts, then conservative can be a sort of code word for sellout nowadays. And libertarian could mean defender of civil liberties, a task that often falls to left-leaning lawyers who just happen to have broader tolerance for free speech than most of their colleagues. I know this quite well personally, having successfully defended myself in court against a slander lawsuit brought by a far-left blogger in Canada, where my arguments and those of my co-defendants, the Fourniers (managers of a website Free Dominion which is Canada's version of FR), were partially supported by the Canadian Civil Liberties Association, who intervened as observers, and took a position something like this -- "like us, you might not like these people or what they're saying, but they have the perfect right to say it."

Of course, that attitude, the general anti-religious foundation of the Libertarian movement, and its pro-marijuana stance, are all irritants that keep many right wing voters away, unless they wish to park a protest vote having run out patience with their RINO or CINO alternatives. I would not join, support or vote for the U.S. Libertarian Party. The Canadian version is similar, and I have voted for it once, when there was no other alternative but the Harper cons or staying home. In Canada, the Libertarians do just about as well as in America, perhaps not quite as strong a voter share (1-2% seems to cap it). The effects of the Libertarian vote seem almost nonexistent if one assumes that without the party, half of the voters would stay home, the other half might divide equally between alternatives. So there seems little point in trying to take over the Libertarian Party and making it big-time and election-savvy, which the current version strikes one as being anything but ... they seem to wear as a badge of honor their nearly complete inability to devise actual methods of attaining power, it's a libertarian thing apparently to consider one's self so purely small government that no practical person could vote for your party (that is a really small government, one that can never even exist).

There are probably other parties out there with skeleton organizations, one or two dedicated leaders, almost no voter support or recognition, and a compatible ideology perhaps somewhat idiosyncratic to the founders' views of politics. In Canada there was something called the Freedom Party that struck some of us as being a vehicle, but that idea never gained traction and the Freedom Party faded out of existence. Or there are small religious conservative parties, in Canadian politics, there's a Christian Heritage Party, resolutely pro-life, anti-same-sex marriage, and reasonably well organized, but condemned to media planned ignoring and/or contempt combined with 0.5% voter support levels. Within the narrow context of its overall limited prospects for success anyway, it has been hampered by the appearance of being an adjunct of one particular Christian denomination at the expense of a wider base of support.

But in the context of our discussion, a religious based party would probably not work in American politics at all, given the separation of church and state foundations of the constitution. The McMullen rump candidacy in 2016 showed that even a perfectly crafted appeal to Mormon voters would attract fewer than 5% of them and almost nobody else.

The search for a tiny perfect political nucleus is really just the same process as (b) above, so in my opinion should be tossed out as an alternative in favor of (b).

On balance then, the most likely path to eventual success would appear to be (b), a new party with an independent name and foundation, sending the message to the Republican Party, we're here, deal with it, and becoming an inviting but not entirely compromised or dedicated target destination for Donald Trump himself or his most powerful support base. In other words, set it up as a Trump-friendly organization, give out the impression that you couldn't do better than Donald Trump as the first leader or presidential candidate, but even so, there is a party organization involved and so it would be a change in operational procedure from 2016-2020 Trump, in the following ways ...

Donald Trump had a love-hate relationship with the GOP, they tolerated him rather sparsely at first, then got perhaps more enamored with his successes mid-term, then the support began to fade under the relentless pressure of establishment opposition and their natural desire to roost close to the fountains of globalist largesse that might come their way after Democrats had finished their feeding frenzies.

The result of all that was that Donald Trump never had much oversight or dedicated intelligent support and advice, he simply ran his own show the way he runs his business operations, and might have lost the benefits available of better advice than he apparently did get from the sycophants he assembled (because unless Joe Biden does not take office, let's call a spade a spade, Donald Trump essentially failed in his self-declared mission to clean the swamp).

I'm sure people still want to support the man based on his obvious dedication and considerable other successes especially economic and security wise, but would it not be true to say many would like to see a sort of Improved Trump with more voter oversight, where the base is directing Trump more so than Trump directing the base? After all, he wants to serve this political base, he just seems to feel that his own counsel is sufficient and he "gets" what the base want without much formal interaction. I feel that some aspects of the election loss could have been avoided, and that is why I want to see a third party, so that those failures can be avoided in 2024.

First of all, if you know there's going to be fraud, then surely a better strategy than just letting it happen to prove a point might exist? Trump should have been lobbying all through 2019 and early 2020 for better voting oversights and he should have made a more detailed case for the potential of massive fraud in five or six key cities (PHL, CHI (ORD), MKE, ATL, LAS, probably others that don't matter to the results as much). With a more dedicated party on his side instead of trying to outlast him, the ideological opponents are less free to wheel out absurd criticisms that can resonate through a managed media -- the organized and dedicated party speaks for more than just Donald Trump and his family, and can join in the fray. This is why George W. Bush never reached quite the boxed-in position that Donald Trump quickly found he faced with regard to Congress and wider public opinion.

Ideally, there would be an outcome something like the creation of an American Eagle Freedom Party, or whatever you like, with an enthusiastic pro-Trump membership ready, willing and able to give 110% support instead of the compromised and ambivalent support of the GOP, the sort of reluctant "I guess we have to" model of endorsement that caps the voter appeal somewhere too close to the margin of error -- the appeal of a pro-business, pro-freedom, anti-war for no reason, low-tax, no-climate-b.s. well organized party should be around 65 to 70 per cent.

There was never any reason for example for black or Latino voters to be hostile to Trump. He has no really racist background, and was advocating policies that could make lives better in all segments. For women voters, a more savvy political advisor than Donald Trump ever seemed to find would have told him, look, we can't shed the image of your past, but if you can stomach doing this, just apologize and move on, say you're not perfect, nobody is, but at the same time you're not so completely imperfect that you fit into traditional uniparty politics like a swamp creature.

Donald Trump never got past about 80% capture of the Reagan coalition and that did him in (yes fraud, but that's been going on forever too).

It's not too late to reorganize and do the right thing for the country, flush the GOP and start over with a cleaner and leaner fighting machine.

That's all I've got for now ... your turn ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; Philosophy; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: anotherstupidvanity; chat; chatforum; nonsense; notnews; rehashof20years; stopthesteal; tldr; toolongdidntread; vanitiesbelonginchat; vanity; wasteoftime
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To: William Tell

“...Seventy million people voted for Trump and you think we need a new party?...”

What we need is a fair and honest election system...


41 posted on 01/17/2021 9:29:58 AM PST by JBW1949 (I'm really PC.....Patriotically Correct)
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To: Mariner
”Don’t vote, or vote against Republicans.”

This was recommended by some in the Georgia Senate runoffs. What a disaster that was for us.

One article I read claimed that half a million Republicans didn’t bother to vote. The road ahead was going to be hard enough with a Republican Senate. Now we have to worry about AOC on the Supreme Court.

42 posted on 01/17/2021 9:30:03 AM PST by William Tell
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To: Peter ODonnell

Without the vote fraud being completly removed Republicans are toast and a third party isn’t vosble at all.


43 posted on 01/17/2021 9:30:21 AM PST by stockpirate (Where Justice Ends Tyranny Begins)
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To: Peter ODonnell
They have cut our internet communications. Where it isn't cut, it is controlled and threatened. We need an underground newspaper.

The Tea party was born in February, 2009 when Barack Obama and the Democrats controlled both chambers of the legislature, the whitehouse and the supreme court and in two years time, they grew powerful enough to take that House of representatives away from the Democrats. We can do it again but we need reliable nationwide communications and they have taken that from us to prevent us from rising up again.

We need an underground newspaper in every major city of every major state and we need to have an AM/FM radio presence.

44 posted on 01/17/2021 9:30:25 AM PST by RC one (Lying, cheating, deceiving & manipulating are as natural to Democrats as swimming is to fish.)
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To: Peter ODonnell
There are no political parties. There is no voting. We are all slaves.

The only "postive" if you can call it that, is we found out the majority of Republicans are cheating, low life, on the take, globalist, scum, just like the democrats.

45 posted on 01/17/2021 9:31:04 AM PST by Pajamajan ( PRAY FOR OUR NATION. I will never be a peaceful slave in a new Socialist America.)
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To: All
New parties have come along before. Where are the Whigs now? The Know Nothing Whigs? The Progressives? The Liberal Republicans? They all changed into other things or were sucked out into other alternatives.

I understand the cynicism about voting in general, but the Republican Party as presently constituted has taken a weak and ambivalent stand against voter fraud.

Saying that eventually the Trump faction will win out within the GOP ignores the phenomenon that the McConnells, Ryans and Romneys of that party continue to call most of the shots and it was easily demonstrable from experience in 2017-2020 that the GOP even in majority situations would try to frustrate their base and the base's champion (Donald Trump). But if the party reinvents itself under a different name with an executive that totally supports Donald Trump or successor, then you're likely to attract only pro-Trump candidates for Senate and House (and state politcs).

It is a continuation of a political party under a new name, and perhaps one that emphasizes the key concepts of freedom and responsibility more.

To my mind, a Republican voter is one thing but a Republican politician is often a disguised go-slow globalist, in politics for the same reasons as Democrats, to line their own pockets, attain power and wield it for selfish reasons, and dupe a political base into thinking there's something in it for them beyond participating in meaningless wars against people halfway round the world who will never get along with anybody regardless of how many of them are killed, but the dynamic being that the increase in their anger will outpace the reduction of their numbers.

46 posted on 01/17/2021 9:32:59 AM PST by Peter ODonnell (Pray for health, economic recovery, and justice.)
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To: DesertRhino
You discover that a roulette table is rigged. How will you make back your losses from the last hour in the next round?

Exactly. We have President Trump to thank for exposing the fraud and the Uniparty behind it.

When votes don't matter, neither do politicians nor those who propagandize for them. We're overdue to walk away completely. There are other sources of power that have nothing to do with such corrupt entities.

47 posted on 01/17/2021 9:33:03 AM PST by T.B. Yoits
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To: JBW1949
”What we need is a fair and honest election system...”

And we will never get that without a media that is curious about why counting would be halted in the niddle of the night in multiple key states, why Republican observers were barred from observing, and why counting resumed hours later without explanation.

48 posted on 01/17/2021 9:36:05 AM PST by William Tell
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To: Pajamajan

That is absolutely correct...Fair and honest elections are a thing of the past...

People can still go vote and feel good about themselves that they “voted”, but it has become obvious that votes mean nothing now...

The system will never be cleaned up because the “professional politicians” who live by it will not allow that to happen....


49 posted on 01/17/2021 9:36:10 AM PST by JBW1949 (I'm really PC.....Patriotically Correct)
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To: Alberta's Child
Trump attracted the support of a large cohort of minorities

Hispanics are likely to continue migrating over to the GOP because unlike blacks, they want to work. Not just hold down a quota-based sinecure and get paid for doing nothing - actually produce goods and services.

Another issue is the Democrat obsession with letting blacks kill anyone they want with as little legal repercussion as possible. Hispanics live in many of the areas affected by black dysfunction. Ever notice how you never hear of Hispanics getting up in arms over a Hispanic getting killed by a cop while in the process of resisting arrest? That’s because most think criminals should be killed. For instance, Mexico has no death penalty, but popular support for it is higher than in the US.

We legalized illegals in the 80's. They are now voting 60-40 D-R. Italians started arriving en masse in the 1880's. It wasn't until 1970 that they started voting 50-50 for the two parties. We will *never* get the Jewish vote, currently at 80-20 D-R. But that's because Jews, as limo liberals, live in their safe upscale enclaves and never have to deal with black crime and black-run schools with incompetent black teachers and administrators.

Downscale non-black immigrant voters won't be as tolerant of the black impunity being peddled by the Democrats. Unlike Jewish limo liberals, they have to deal with the reality of black dysfunction daily. They are not going to knuckle down to a Democrat party that wants to extend universal samurai privilege to the black community, so they can strike down any non-black peasant without penalty, for showing insufficient respect. In time, they will vote like Italians, for pretty much the same reasons that Italians do, because they can't afford to live in cossetted upscale enclaves.


50 posted on 01/17/2021 9:36:12 AM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: Peter ODonnell
What mechanisms are there for defeating a Marxist gov't with Corporate financing and communications control?

May you have ideas for turning China into a Constitutional Republic?

51 posted on 01/17/2021 9:36:19 AM PST by G Larry (Authority is vested in those to whom it applies.)
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To: William Tell

See my post #49....


52 posted on 01/17/2021 9:37:41 AM PST by JBW1949 (I'm really PC.....Patriotically Correct)
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To: Peter ODonnell
I don't know if examples from parliamentary systems transfer well to our system. Those systems have multiple parties, the PM is always the head of the party that creates the largest coalition, and governments can fall at any time rather than at set 2 and 4 level intervals. Even if we were able to field a reasonably successful third party, the best strategy might not be to field candidates but endorse one of the candidates from the main two parties in exchange for action on specific issues. I think that if the Blacks created such a party they would actually have more clout with the Dems since they could encourage their members to vote Republican or stay away if the Dems don't agree to certain demands.

With regard to libertarians in some coalition: I think this is big mistake. I think a populist center-right party, even if it wouldn't be that successful, would be much more successful than any coalition with libertarians. I believe that the Tea Party was going strong with their "better government" approach until the libertarians glommed on with their low taxes, open borders, and free market mania.

I see a future for a party that is generally (but not vociferously) socially conservative, for law and order, against immigration & H-1b, pro private sector labor unions, and for fair trade over free trade.

Your examples in Canada where center-right coalitions either drifted left or withered away may suggest that no third party has a chance in the US, but however little there is a chance for a populist party the chance for anything associated with libertarians is even less.

Libertarians may not want to admit it, but their policy prescriptions, at least the ones they can actually get governments to act upon, are perceived as shilling for big corporations. This is the antithesis of what a large percentage of The Trump Train wants to support.

There are a growing number of conservatives who are resigned to the fact that governments will always be huge and taxes will always be with us, but if the budgets are balanced, the borders are protected, we stay out of foreign wars, and they let us live our lives as we see fit then that's OK.

As you mentioned in your essay, populist parties often rise or fall based on the person at the top. Perot was quite successful with his Reform Party until he flaked out. The Reform Party kept going, but Buchanan was not seen as the rightful heir to Perot and so did not do to well.

The advantage of a Trump-led party is that he can be followed by Ivanka, Don Jr, etc. There would be a quasi-monarchy that could keep the party going for decades. Unfortunately Ivanka/Jared seem to be more GOPe than Trump and have more libertarian rather than populist leanings so even then such a party would have a dim future.

If FOX goes dark or is pushed out by Big Tech then maybe a Tucker-led populist party could be successful.

53 posted on 01/17/2021 9:38:10 AM PST by who_would_fardels_bear (This is not my current tagline.)
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To: Zhang Fei
Hispanics are likely to continue migrating over to the GOP because unlike blacks, they want to work.

They also understand letting in more illegals, will put downward pressure on their wages. But the problem is the Hispanic politicians know that more Hispanics mean more power for them. There will be a civil war, but the first civil war may very well be blacks vs hispanics.

54 posted on 01/17/2021 9:38:48 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Responsibility2nd
Soap Box - Ballot Box - Jury Box - Ammo Box

The Uniparty went after three of the four Boxes of Liberty; censoring the social media Soap Box, rigging the Ballot Box, and refusing to put the criminal cases against those who rigged the election before the Jury Box.

President Trump got them to throw off their masks and show the world exactly who they are.

55 posted on 01/17/2021 9:39:30 AM PST by T.B. Yoits
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To: Peter ODonnell

The RATS have completely destroyed honest and fair voting, that it would be virtually impossible for a Republican to get in. In the next few years the RATS will solidify their hold on mail in, no id, no signature votes. The cowardly corrupt courts along with the KGB/FBI, DOJ and the MSM will insure that Republicans never regain power in the foreseeable future.Its called a third world banana republic!


56 posted on 01/17/2021 9:41:11 AM PST by kenmcg (tHE WHOLE )
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To: Peter ODonnell
Alternatives to GOP: what are the options (with a view towards election success by 2024)?

This is like people on the Titanic spending their last hour discussing their next cruise plans.

Clueless Idiots.

57 posted on 01/17/2021 9:41:31 AM PST by meadsjn (, )
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To: Responsibility2nd

58 posted on 01/17/2021 9:42:13 AM PST by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: All

To anyone who says a new party cannot gain enough traction to become the main alternative — that has already been disproven in Canadian politics, the problem there was that the leader who emerged then demonstrated that he had hidden his real views and that his actual plan was to go back gradually to the politics of the defeated and now defunct alternative.

That didn’t have to happen, or did it?

Is there some inexorable force or dynamic that makes any center-right political party corrupt, collaborationist and prone to being run by elites, secret power cabals, etc, with populism never able to win out?

With Donald Trump, there was a route towards successful populist government supported by a mainstream party, but that mainstream party more or less reneged on its obligation to support (especially around the events of early January).

These are all hard historical lessons.

To those who say there are non-political solutions, what exactly? A military junta? A theocracy? No government at all? I don’t see any likelihood of any of those ever coming into existence without massive bloodshed and considerable opposition from the right as well.

What military forces exist that you would trust to rule benignly? What religion exists that you would trust to rule better than even Obama or Biden? And no government at all in these lawless times? Viva la Mexico.


59 posted on 01/17/2021 9:42:30 AM PST by Peter ODonnell (Pray for health, economic recovery, and justice.)
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To: Peter ODonnell

Kick the RINOs out of the GOP. Make honest women of them by forcing them into the Democrat Party.


60 posted on 01/17/2021 9:42:54 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (You are in far more danger from an authoritarian government than you are from a seasonal virus.)
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