Posted on 07/30/2024 6:56:58 AM PDT by Phoenix8
NEW: Forecaster who has predicted almost every election since 1984, says Kamala Harris will likely win the election in November.
Allan Lichtman, who correctly predicted Trump would win in 2016 & Biden in 2020, says his forecasts point to a Harris win.
Lichtman uses '13 keys' to make his predictions:
The "keys" are: – party mandate – contest – incumbency – third party – short-term economy – long-term economy – policy change, – social unrest – scandal – foreign/military failure – foreign/military success – incumbent charisma – challenger charisma
As of now, Harris has 6 keys and Trump only has 3.
Lichtman still has four keys to hand out but Harris is already at 6 meaning, in his own words, "a lot would have to go wrong for Democrats to lose."
Lichtman is waiting until the DNC to make his final prediction.
(Excerpt) Read more at x.com ...
Almost anyone could have correctly picked nine of the past 10 elections correctly. Most weren’t in doubt.
To rein in the size and power of the federal govt you have to get rid of the Deep State, and Trump is the only candidate we’ve ever had (with the possible exception of JFK who was killed for it) who has even comprehended the need.
I would walk over broken glass to vote for the best candidate this country has ever had, because he recognizes that the real enemy is inside the building.
Did you see that Peter Strozck and Lisa Page have gotten over a million bucks because the texts on their official use phones were disclosed?
The wall that Trump built has been taken down.
Reagan’s sole focus was reducing the size and scope of the Federal Government. And did at least as far as he could given the House and Senate he was stuck with.
And he picked a moderate VP who could help unite the party and get him over the finish line. And it worked.
Elections are about winning. The intellectually pure almost never win. But some here would rather lose.
Those two quotes were made at a time when Biden’s dementia removed his filter. His illness made him say the quiet part out loud. People need to understand that those utterances are the closest to the truth that this man has ever come.
He also lacked his filter when he told George Stephanopoulos that he wasn’t going to withdraw from the race because Donald Trump was about to be “challenged” in a way he’s NEVER BEEN CHALLENGED - about a week before the Secret SErvice allowed Trump to be shot in the head.
I think he’s right in his prediction unless the Trump campaign comes up with a different strategy. Right now she has the woman vote, Rino vote, never Trump vote, and black vote. The name calling strategy won’t attract those voters.
Wrong. Elections are About electing officials that will do what you tell them and fight for you. I don’t give a crap about self-serving GOP Republicans who don’t do anything when they’re in office. To hell with them.
Maybe they should nominate Romney or McCain.
Those “nice Republicans” ran great campaigns that appealed to Rinos.
I wonder why it did not work.
Lol.
It's not puzzlement. You already know why, he's lying. Just accept it as fact that it's purposeful and then you'll know how to react accordingly.
OK
Let’s put the question to these so-called moderate undecided voters.
What will be the factor that causes you to choose for either candidate?
“I really wanted the Republicans to run Mr. Rodger’s for vice-president.”
Yeah….
That’s what they’ll think.
• women make up 50% + of registered voters
• women approve of abortion per recent voting history
• women love the safety net issue of Medicare for all
• Trump is now the old curmudgeon in the race
Despite being on the correct side of issues and vision for the future of America, Donald Trump faces an up hill battle even before the Democrats start to engineer the election. Sitting back and making fun of Kackala Harris won't get the job done.
You need to drill deeper.
Unmarried women are a core Democrat constituency.
Married women are a totally different story.
White women are destroying the country. Their vote this election may put final nails in the coffin.
Vance has the potential of bringing Ohio and PA with him. Trump will only serve one term if he wins. Gabbard is a Democrat in all but name. As VP, she would be the odds-on favorite for the GOP nomination in 2028. She is more akin to Kennedy Democrats than Obama Democrats, but still a liberal. She is NOT a conservative. Neither is Haley. What RINO did you want him to pick?
he left off the big one....wide scale cheating, just like 2020.
God help us and deliver us from moronic voters who are so misinformed as to take us with them.
Go home you fool. Camel Hump wants open borders high taxes defunded police forced union membership and Israel to collapse so any of this fool’s historic advantages mean nothing Period.
The article says the old coot has “predicted every election since 1984.” It doesn’t say he predicted them correctly.
It’s true, because he just counted the ballots.
Even by his own ‘keys’, how on earth can you assign 6 of them to Harris???
It’s laughable.
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