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Enjoy It While You Can: Dropping Oxygen Will Eventually Suffocate Most Life on Earth
https://www.sciencealert.com ^ | 9 OCTOBER 2021 | DAVID NIELD

Posted on 10/15/2021 12:33:25 PM PDT by Red Badger

For now, life is flourishing on our oxygen-rich planet, but Earth wasn't always that way – and scientists have predicted that, in the future, the atmosphere will revert back to one that's rich in methane and low in oxygen.

This probably won't happen for another billion years or so. But when the change comes, it's going to happen fairly rapidly, the study from earlier this year suggests.

This shift will take the planet back to something like the state it was in before what's known as the Great Oxidation Event (GOE) around 2.4 billion years ago.

What's more, the researchers behind the new study say that atmospheric oxygen is unlikely to be a permanent feature of habitable worlds in general, which has implications for our efforts to detect signs of life further out in the Universe.

"The model projects that a deoxygenation of the atmosphere, with atmospheric O2 dropping sharply to levels reminiscent of the Archaean Earth, will most probably be triggered before the inception of moist greenhouse conditions in Earth's climate system and before the extensive loss of surface water from the atmosphere," wrote the researchers in their published paper.

At that point it'll be the end of the road for human beings and most other life forms that rely on oxygen to get through the day, so let's hope we figure out how to get off the planet at some point within the next billion years.

To reach their conclusions, the researchers ran detailed models of Earth's biosphere, factoring in changes in the brightness of the Sun and the corresponding drop in carbon dioxide levels, as the gas gets broken down by increasing levels of heat. Less carbon dioxide means fewer photosynthesizing organisms such as plants, which would result in less oxygen.

Scientists have previously predicted that increased radiation from the Sun would wipe ocean waters off the face of our planet within about 2 billion years, but the new model – based on an average of just under 400,000 simulations – says the reduction in oxygen is going to kill off life first.

"The drop in oxygen is very, very extreme," Earth scientist Chris Reinhard, from the Georgia Institute of Technology, told New Scientist earlier this year. "We're talking around a million times less oxygen than there is today."

What makes the study particularly relevant to the present day is our search for habitable planets outside of the Solar System.

Increasingly powerful telescopes are coming online, and scientists want to be able to know what they should be looking for in the reams of data these instruments are collecting.

It's possible that we need to be hunting for other biosignatures besides oxygen to have the best chance of spotting life, the researchers say. Their study is part of the NASA NExSS (Nexus for Exoplanet System Science) project, which is investigating the habitability of planets other than our own.

According to the calculations run by Reinhard and environmental scientist Kazumi Ozaki, from Toho University in Japan, the oxygen-rich habitable history of Earth could end up lasting for just 20-30 percent of the planet's lifespan as a whole – and microbial life will carry on existing long after we are gone.

"The atmosphere after the great deoxygenation is characterized by an elevated methane, low-levels of CO2, and no ozone layer," said Ozaki. "The Earth system will probably be a world of anaerobic life forms."

The research has been published in Nature Geoscience.

A version of this article was first published in March 2021.


TOPICS: Astronomy; Health/Medicine; History; Outdoors; Science
KEYWORDS: astronomy; billionofyearsaway; catastrophism; science
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1 posted on 10/15/2021 12:33:25 PM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

If you’re a biblical Christian, all of this is utter nonsense.


2 posted on 10/15/2021 12:34:56 PM PDT by fwdude (Proudly UNvaxxed )
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To: Red Badger

No more rust?


3 posted on 10/15/2021 12:35:01 PM PDT by caseinpoint (Don't get thickly involved in thin things.)
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To: Red Badger

Some perspective:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5U1-OmAICpU


4 posted on 10/15/2021 12:35:40 PM PDT by cuban leaf (We killed our economy and damaged our culture. In 2021 we will pine for the salad days of 2020.)
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To: Red Badger

A Hole C says we only have 12 years anyway, so what difference does it make, right?


5 posted on 10/15/2021 12:35:46 PM PDT by NohSpinZone (First thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers)
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To: Red Badger
"This probably won't happen for another billion years or so."

No matter. We need to reroute funding from necessary programs to prevent this from happening. /s

Any bets that either man will destroy the planet or God will reboot it long before then?

6 posted on 10/15/2021 12:36:06 PM PDT by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021.)
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To: Red Badger

It’s possible that we need to be hunting for other biosignatures besides oxygen to have the best chance of spotting life, the researchers say. Their study is part of the NASA NExSS (Nexus for Exoplanet System Science) project, which is investigating the habitability of planets other than our own.


We should be doing this. But no way the human race is going to be around in a billion years.


7 posted on 10/15/2021 12:36:28 PM PDT by rbg81 (Truth is stranger than fiction)
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To: Red Badger

The Left is trying to hurry this along by cutting the amount of plant sustaining CO2.


8 posted on 10/15/2021 12:37:13 PM PDT by redangus
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To: Red Badger

Taco Bell is to blame.


9 posted on 10/15/2021 12:38:12 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: fwdude

If you’re a biblical Christian, all of this is utter nonsense.


Precisely!


10 posted on 10/15/2021 12:38:30 PM PDT by cuban leaf (We killed our economy and damaged our culture. In 2021 we will pine for the salad days of 2020.)
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To: Red Badger

So....We’re all gonna die?


11 posted on 10/15/2021 12:39:18 PM PDT by READINABLUESTATE ( ‘When tyranny becomes law, resistance becomes duty.’)
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To: READINABLUESTATE

When your goal is to get rid of all CO2, the very thing ‘Plants Crave’, the you will have less O2 as a direct result....................................


12 posted on 10/15/2021 12:40:27 PM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Red Badger

13 posted on 10/15/2021 12:41:17 PM PDT by gundog (It was a bright cold day in April, and the clocks were striking thirteen. )
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To: rbg81

10000, tops.................


14 posted on 10/15/2021 12:41:20 PM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Red Badger
As a crew member, you must use supplemental oxygen when you're above 12,500 feet MSL cabin pressure altitude for more than 30 minutes, and anytime you're above 14,000 feet MSL. Above 15,000 feet MSL, you have to provide it to your passengers - and many aviation attorneys would suggest you make them use it.

Therefor our oxygen ocean is only 15,000 feet deep.

15 posted on 10/15/2021 12:41:31 PM PDT by SkyDancer (If at first you don't succeed, so much for skydiving)
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To: gundog

Oh A CULVER’S BURGER!....................


16 posted on 10/15/2021 12:41:53 PM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: fwdude

Even if you’re not, it’s nonsense. Literally, the only thing of note about this is how much more grant money these people are going to sponge up with this ‘discovery’/computer modelling?


17 posted on 10/15/2021 12:42:44 PM PDT by larrytown (A Cadet will not lie, cheat, steal, or tolerate those who do. Then they graduate...)
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To: Red Badger

The Biden Administration will kill us all first.


18 posted on 10/15/2021 12:43:24 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: SkyDancer

What is the cabin pressure of a typical Atlantic flight to Europe?...............


19 posted on 10/15/2021 12:43:34 PM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: CatOwner

My money is on “God will reboot”.....................


20 posted on 10/15/2021 12:45:02 PM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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