Keyword: 2012polls
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As the last full day of the 2012 presidential campaign gets under way, the Signal's prediction remains the same as it was nearly nine months ago: President Barack Obama will win reelection with 303 electoral votes, winning Ohio and Virginia but losing Florida to Gov. Mitt Romney. There is only about a 15 percent chance that we'll actually be correct, based on our prediction model, given the many combinations of close states that could go either way. Obama has a 24.8 percent likelihood of winning Florida, while Romney has a 40.8 percent chance of snagging Virginia and a 19.9 percent...
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Nancy Pelosi has spent much of the past two years proclaiming that Democrats had a great shot at reclaiming the House and returning the speaker But her drive to regain the majority for Democrats is on the verge of a complete collapse. Democrats are expected to pick up five seats at best — a fraction of the 25 they need. On the eve of the election, some party officials are privately worried that Democrats might even lose ground and drop one or two seats to the Republican majority. It would mark an epic failure for a party that has a...
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November 5, 2012 Romney 49%, Obama 48% in Gallup's Final Election Survey Early voting so far breaks 49% for Obama and 48% for Romney by the Gallup Editors PRINCETON, NJ -- President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are within one percentage point of each other in Gallup's final pre-election survey of likely voters, with Romney holding 49% of the vote, and Obama 48%. After removing the 3% of undecided voters from the results and allocating their support proportionally to the two major candidates, Gallup's final allocated estimate of the race is 50% for Romney and 49% for Obama.
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Oct 2012: Republican: 39.1% Democrat: 33.3% Other: 27.5% (R+5.8%) Sep 2012: Republican: 36.8% Democrat: 34.2% Other: 29.0% (R+2.6%)
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Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio, according to internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source. Internal campaign polling completed last night by campaign pollster Neil Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up in Iowa and dead level in Wisconsin and - most startlingly - Pennsylvania.
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Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio, according to internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source. Internal campaign polling completed last night by campaign pollster Neil Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up in Iowa and dead level in Wisconsin and - most startlingly - Pennsylvania. Internal poll show Romney trailing in Nevada, reflected in a consensus among senior advisers that Obama will probably win the state. Early voting in Nevada has shown very heavy turnout in the Democratic stronghold of Clark County and union organisation in...
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The ABC NEWS/Washington Post Poll to be released after 5:00 PM gives Obama a "slim advantage", "breaking out of a long-running deadlock" that conveniently coincides with a move from D+3 Friday to D+6 today. Alert Drudge.
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The pivotal presidential state of Ohio remains all tied up on the eve of Election Day. The final Election 2012 Rasmussen Reports survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each earning 49% support. One percent (1%) favors some other candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) is undecided.
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Who are you most likely to vote for in the Presidential election - Democratic President Barack Obama, or Republican Nominee, Governor Mitt Romney, another candidate, or are you undecided? Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.86% President Barack Obama 46.24% Another candidate 4.94% Undecided 1.96%
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Mitt Romney still earns 50% support in Virginia just before Election Day. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Romney with 50% of the vote to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided.
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Monday, November 05, 2012 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided. Rasmussen Reports will conduct our final tracking poll tonight and release the results early Tuesday morning. Later today, we will issue our final swing state polls including Ohio, Virginia and New Hampshire. Since mid-September, after the convention bounces faded, the candidates have generally been within three points of each other on a daily basis. Heading into...
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Romney takes lead in latest Ras poll
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Neil Newhouse, Mitt Romney's campaign pollster, suddenly finds himself in an unfamiliar place -- out on a limb. The survey-taker, who helped build Public Opinion Strategies into the largest Republican polling firm and has a solid reputation among operatives and colleagues, is growing increasingly vocal with reporters and Romney supporters in the campaign's closing days about what he sees as examples of flawed public polling, and his sense of the race -- particularly in Ohio -- as basically even. Newhouse is not known for seeking attention, but through the course of the presidential campaign, his profile has risen. He has...
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Voters in swing states are evenly split between President Obama and GOP nominee Mitt Romney, according to a new poll from USA Today and Gallup. The poll, released late Sunday, finds 48 percent of likely voters in the nation’s key battlegrounds backing Obama and 48 percent preferring Romney. The numbers show a 4-point bounce for Obama from the last USA Today/Gallup poll of swing states in early October, taken days after a disappointing first debate for the president. Obama also leads by 4 points among registered voters, at 50 to 46, which the poll notes is the largest margin and...
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A constitutional amendment that would define marriage in Minnesota as between 1 man and 1 woman remains today as it was 2 weeks ago, nose-to-nose, too-close-to-call, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KSTP-TV in the Twin Cities. 48% of Minnesota likely voters today vote Yes on the marriage amendment, 47% vote No, within the survey's possible sources of error. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 2 weeks ago, Yes is up 1 point, No is up 1 point. Yes had led by 1, Yes still leads by 1. Any outcome is possible. In an election in Minnesota today for...
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Dick Morris appeared on a special Sunday broadcast of FOX News' "On the Record" with host Greta van Susteren to reaffirm his prediction that Mitt Romney will win Tuesday's presidential election in a landslide. Morris discussed the states he believes Romney will win and the number of electoral votes he predicts the Republican candidate will end up with. Morris says Romney will capture 325 electoral votes while Obama will get 213, a significant difference. "It will be the biggest surprise in recent American political history," Morris said. "It will rekindle the whole question on why the media played this race...
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PPP's final polls of the cycle in Florida and North Carolina suggest that they may be the closest states in the country this year. In Florida Obama leads 50/49, but to be more specific 473 respondents chose Obama and 472 picked Romney. It's a similar story in North Carolina- the candidates are tied at 49 there based on rounded numbers, but if you break it out to decimal points Romney's up 49.4% to 49.2% with 457 respondents having chosen him to 455 for Obama. Both states are likely in for a long night on Tuesday.
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I know very little about this polling firm other than it is supposedly Republican leaning (and the poll is listed on the Real Clear Politics website). Still noteworthy nonetheless!
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