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Obama still poised to win 303 electoral votes on Tuesday...(LOL, More Yahoo pretzel logic?)
Yahoo News ^ | 11/05/12 | David Rothschild & Chris Wilson

Posted on 11/05/2012 1:42:51 PM PST by AngelesCrestHighway

As the last full day of the 2012 presidential campaign gets under way, the Signal's prediction remains the same as it was nearly nine months ago: President Barack Obama will win reelection with 303 electoral votes, winning Ohio and Virginia but losing Florida to Gov. Mitt Romney. There is only about a 15 percent chance that we'll actually be correct, based on our prediction model, given the many combinations of close states that could go either way. Obama has a 24.8 percent likelihood of winning Florida, while Romney has a 40.8 percent chance of snagging Virginia and a 19.9 percent chance of securing Ohio. Romney needs to sweep all three states to secure the election. This may make it seem like all hope is lost for Romney — the odds of him defending Florida and taking Ohio and Virginia are about 6 percent if you simply multiply the probabilities. While the Signal is predicting an Obama victory, we're not calling it with 94 percent certainty. That is because state elections are not entirely independent events. The polls could be systematically biased toward Obama based on faulty assumptions about voter turnout, or the final polls could fail to capture a late surge in support for the Republican candidate.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
The new math at Yahoo...??? "There is only about a 15 percent chance that we'll actually be correct, based on our prediction model...This garbage is to funny!
1 posted on 11/05/2012 1:42:57 PM PST by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

I’m not 100% sure, but I believe the woman that took over Yahoo..leaving Google..is a H U G E Obot, but not just a supporter, a bundler. I have read that, but others would have to verify.

I think that could explain what I see as a noticeable further tilt of Yahoo.


2 posted on 11/05/2012 1:45:58 PM PST by Crimson Elephant
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

R+R: 298
O+B: 240


3 posted on 11/05/2012 1:48:36 PM PST by Mashood
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

Don’t get cocky. The best way to make sure that Yahoo is wrong is get out there tomorrow and VOTE!!!


4 posted on 11/05/2012 1:49:40 PM PST by JoeDetweiler
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

So, Romney has a 40.8% chance of capturing a state that has traditionally been a GOP state and that many polls show him leading?

OK. If they say so.


5 posted on 11/05/2012 1:50:15 PM PST by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: JoeDetweiler

Already voted two weeks ago.


6 posted on 11/05/2012 1:51:18 PM PST by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: Crimson Elephant

True


7 posted on 11/05/2012 1:52:32 PM PST by funfan
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To: Crimson Elephant

True


8 posted on 11/05/2012 1:53:13 PM PST by funfan
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To: AngelesCrestHighway
Unskewed Polls final map - looks reasonable


9 posted on 11/05/2012 1:53:20 PM PST by newfreep (Breitbart sent me...)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

You forget the UN has given electoral votes to Cuba, Russia, Venezula, the EU and Kenya this year.


10 posted on 11/05/2012 1:55:04 PM PST by SCHROLL
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

You forget the UN has given electoral votes to Cuba, Russia, Venezeula, the EU and Kenya this year.


11 posted on 11/05/2012 1:55:52 PM PST by SCHROLL
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

We don’t really need to provide a place for this propaganda!


12 posted on 11/05/2012 1:56:44 PM PST by SWAMPSNIPER (The Second Amendment, a Matter of Fact, Not a Matter of Opinion)
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To: newfreep

Thanks for posting a “Reality” map!


13 posted on 11/05/2012 1:58:35 PM PST by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: SWAMPSNIPER

It’s important to show the doubters what scuzziods liberals are!


14 posted on 11/05/2012 2:00:18 PM PST by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

Rothschild???????????????? Figures. It was not enough for Jews to be purged by Stalin’s communist movement, or incinerated by Hitler’s socialist movement; No, they hate and fear Christians (read Extreme Right Wing here) even more. That ‘Jesus’ thing just never went down well with them. Jews love abortion murder more than life; they love a weak national defense rather than a strong military; they prefer to pay ever increasing taxes rather than demand smaller government; they love the lies and distortions of their ever beloved liberal media more than they love freedom, liberty and truth. A pathetic group.


15 posted on 11/05/2012 2:13:55 PM PST by Doc Savage ("I've shot people I like a lot more,...for a lot less!" Raylan Givins)
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To: SCHROLL

You forgot Iran........!


16 posted on 11/05/2012 2:15:38 PM PST by Doc Savage ("I've shot people I like a lot more,...for a lot less!" Raylan Givins)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

I will watching everyone of the 57 states closely. Has Obama conceded any of the 57 yet?


17 posted on 11/05/2012 2:17:26 PM PST by Doc Savage ("I've shot people I like a lot more,...for a lot less!" Raylan Givins)
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To: Crimson Elephant; AngelesCrestHighway

Most of these dot com/tech companies are for Obama.

Google,Yahoo, etc.


18 posted on 11/05/2012 2:22:15 PM PST by stephenjohnbanker ((God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.))
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

             

19 posted on 11/05/2012 2:23:35 PM PST by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 = RR = 300 +)
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To: SWAMPSNIPER; AngelesCrestHighway

Agreed. There should be a collective understanding this kind of crap doesn’t need to use our bandwidth. This is a site of very political conservatives. We don’t need to be told or shown how delusional the left/liberals are....we know.


20 posted on 11/05/2012 2:29:08 PM PST by snarkytart
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

ON NOV. 7TH MORNING RETURNS TO AMERICA: IN THE END, RIGHT TRIUMPHS

VICE PRESIDENT RYAN

21 posted on 11/05/2012 2:32:44 PM PST by jimsin (w)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

Wonder what bill clinton’s polling guy would say? Well lookie here.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955297/posts

Schoen: On Election Eve, ‘Movement’ Towards Romney

NewsMax ^ | 11-5

Posted on Monday, November 05, 2012 3:45:11 PM by Arthurio

With less than 24 hours left before Election Day, “the movement has been in the direction of Mitt Romney” over President Barack Obama, Democratic pollster Doug Schoen tells Newsmax TV in an exclusive interview.
“What I see is a presidential race that is within half a percent, according to the Real Clear Politics averages,” Schoen, the former pollster for President Bill Clinton, tells Newsmax. “But the important point that most commentators haven’t noted is that the last two days, maybe even the last day, the movement has been in the direction of Mitt Romney.
Read Latest Breaking News from Newsmax.com: http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/schoen-obama-romney-election/2012/11/05/id/462864#ixzz2BO31sq7L Follow us: @newsmax_media on Twitter | newsmax on Facebook Important: Do You Support Pres. Obama’s Re-Election? Vote Here Now!


22 posted on 11/05/2012 3:15:08 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: Crimson Elephant
I’m not 100% sure, but I believe the woman that took over Yahoo..leaving Google..is a H U G E Obot, but not just a supporter, a bundler. I have read that, but others would have to verify.

I think that could explain what I see as a noticeable further tilt of Yahoo


I agree, and posted as much two weeks ago. It's not a coincidence.
23 posted on 11/05/2012 3:42:38 PM PST by time4good
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

FL goes to Romney. So will VA. Ohio too. Probably even MI, PA and WI.


24 posted on 11/05/2012 3:43:51 PM PST by Fledermaus (Democrats are dangerous and evil. Republicans are just useful idiots.)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

I know there will be a lot of democrats who won’t vote. Their early voting numbers are down. I live in California so my presidential vote won’t really count, but I will cross the Delaware butt ass naked in a blizzard to vote against Obama. I don’t know any republicans who don’t feel the same. I can’t guarantee we will win tomorrow, but anyone who thinks Obama has this thing won is a complete and total fool.


25 posted on 11/05/2012 3:52:19 PM PST by douginthearmy
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