Posted on 11/05/2012 1:42:51 PM PST by AngelesCrestHighway
As the last full day of the 2012 presidential campaign gets under way, the Signal's prediction remains the same as it was nearly nine months ago: President Barack Obama will win reelection with 303 electoral votes, winning Ohio and Virginia but losing Florida to Gov. Mitt Romney. There is only about a 15 percent chance that we'll actually be correct, based on our prediction model, given the many combinations of close states that could go either way. Obama has a 24.8 percent likelihood of winning Florida, while Romney has a 40.8 percent chance of snagging Virginia and a 19.9 percent chance of securing Ohio. Romney needs to sweep all three states to secure the election. This may make it seem like all hope is lost for Romney — the odds of him defending Florida and taking Ohio and Virginia are about 6 percent if you simply multiply the probabilities. While the Signal is predicting an Obama victory, we're not calling it with 94 percent certainty. That is because state elections are not entirely independent events. The polls could be systematically biased toward Obama based on faulty assumptions about voter turnout, or the final polls could fail to capture a late surge in support for the Republican candidate.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
I’m not 100% sure, but I believe the woman that took over Yahoo..leaving Google..is a H U G E Obot, but not just a supporter, a bundler. I have read that, but others would have to verify.
I think that could explain what I see as a noticeable further tilt of Yahoo.
R+R: 298
O+B: 240
Don’t get cocky. The best way to make sure that Yahoo is wrong is get out there tomorrow and VOTE!!!
So, Romney has a 40.8% chance of capturing a state that has traditionally been a GOP state and that many polls show him leading?
OK. If they say so.
Already voted two weeks ago.
True
True
You forget the UN has given electoral votes to Cuba, Russia, Venezula, the EU and Kenya this year.
You forget the UN has given electoral votes to Cuba, Russia, Venezeula, the EU and Kenya this year.
We don’t really need to provide a place for this propaganda!
Thanks for posting a “Reality” map!
It’s important to show the doubters what scuzziods liberals are!
Rothschild???????????????? Figures. It was not enough for Jews to be purged by Stalin’s communist movement, or incinerated by Hitler’s socialist movement; No, they hate and fear Christians (read Extreme Right Wing here) even more. That ‘Jesus’ thing just never went down well with them. Jews love abortion murder more than life; they love a weak national defense rather than a strong military; they prefer to pay ever increasing taxes rather than demand smaller government; they love the lies and distortions of their ever beloved liberal media more than they love freedom, liberty and truth. A pathetic group.
You forgot Iran........!
I will watching everyone of the 57 states closely. Has Obama conceded any of the 57 yet?
Most of these dot com/tech companies are for Obama.
Google,Yahoo, etc.
Agreed. There should be a collective understanding this kind of crap doesn’t need to use our bandwidth. This is a site of very political conservatives. We don’t need to be told or shown how delusional the left/liberals are....we know.
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