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  • RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, NOVEMBER 27

    11/28/2022 9:11:32 AM PST · by Timber Rattler · 73 replies
    The Institute for the Study of War ^ | November 27, 2022 | Grace Mappes and Frederick W. Kagan
    The Russian military clearly assesses that Ukrainian forces could cross the Dnipro River and conduct counter-offensive operations in eastern Kherson Oblast, possibly threatening all of the critical ground lines of communications (GLOCs) from Crimea to the mainland. Russian forces have been digging trench lines and concentration areas in eastern Kherson since early October 2022 in obvious preparation for the withdrawal from the west bank of the Dnipro River and Kherson City. Russian troops are preparing either to defend in depth or to conduct operational or strategic delay operations. Russian forces clearly do not expect to be able to prevent Ukrainian...