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Americans may not be mentally prepared to hear the really bad news. The COVID pandemic is not going to end. What the government is doing (and not doing) will ensure no end to the pandemic. Just released is a new forecast of the coming COVID death toll on March 1, 2022. It comes from the group that has been doing the most thorough studies and modeling of the US pandemic. It is the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), an independent global health research center at the University of Washington. It forecasts a total of one million COVID deaths...

Projection, Masks, Rapid rollout, Rapid rollout to high-risk, and Easing scenarios now include vaccine distribution.

A University of Washington global health expert said the United States could reach a coronavirus death toll higher than that of the historic 1918 Spanish Flu as the virus continues to spread at a fast rate. According to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), it is estimated that the Spanish Flu pandemic killed about 675,000 people in the United States. On Thursday morning, data from UW's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) indicated the U.S. could reach a death toll of more than 399,000 deaths by Feb. 1, 2021. If safety mandates are relaxed, the country could see 514,000...

NEW U.S. PROJECTIONS -A newly revised coronavirus mortality model predicts more than 147,000 Americans will die from COVID-19 by early August , up nearly 10,000 from the last projection, as restrictions for curbing the pandemic are relaxed, researchers said on Tuesday. The latest forecast from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) reflects “key drivers of viral transmission like changes in testing and mobility, as well as easing of distancing policies,” the report said. The projections are presented as a range, with the latest forecast – 147,000-plus deaths – representing the average between a best-case scenario...

Washington — One of the leading models for measuring the impact of the coronavirus is now projecting a total of 137,184 cumulative COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. through the beginning of August, an increase of roughly 2,700 deaths from its previous forecast May 4. Christopher Murray, the director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, predicted the number of cases to particularly increase in areas where people become more mobile. "What's driving the change is, simply put, the rise in mobility, and that's the key driver," Murray said on "Face the Nation" on...

The University of Washington’s IHME COVID-19 model is the one most widely cited by policymakers and journalists. Superficially, that model has been relatively stable, with its total projected fatalities nationwide from the Wuhan virus declining from the mid-80,000 range to its current faux precise level of 67,641, which is probably a pretty good guess–one that you or I might have made–based on experience to date.But if we look at the IHME model’s projections for individual states, we see capricious changes that cast serious doubt on whether the model is based on any coherent scientific principles at all. I have...

The Coronavirus crisis took the US by storm, spiking unemployment and crashing the stock market virtually over night. The media is bombarding Americans around the clock with updates on the death count, highlighting death maps and scaring people into staying home. Governors are forcing small businesses to shut down and threatening to jail anyone who violates their authoritarian social distancing orders. The media hysteria is based on a Bill Gates-funded IHME Coronavirus model that has been proven to be way off. It gets worse… The amount of Americans who are reported to have died from the Coronavirus is based on...

The revision will likely fuel criticism from skeptics that initial projections were overblown, and one that government leaders may use to say that efforts to combat the spread are working. The University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) lowered its projection of total deaths from 68,841 (with an estimate range of 30,188 to 175,965) to just over 60,308 (with an estimate range of 34,063 to 140,381) in an update published Friday. The institute said that change was partially driven by both higher estimates in states like New York and New Jersey, and lower projections in states like...

data for https://covid19.healthdata.org/sweden is being reconstructed after the fact to support IHME's doomsDay projections for Swedin. There projections are being used in the press to try to shutdown the Swedish Economy. They are also trying to suppress the fact that economic shutdowns are not always needed. Here is the fraud in the middle (Daily Deaths) graph for https://covid19.healthdata.org/sweden They are reassigning deaths to different days in April to create supports to their graph fraud. If this was stock prices, this would be securities fraud. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Sweden#Statistics Sweden deaths vs . . . IHME/ CDC false narrative 2020-04-01 . . . 48...

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released an update of its coronavirus model on Monday that dropped peak hospitalization projections for the United States by 34 percent in three days, from 86,479 total hospital beds needed to 56,831 total hospital beds needed. The IHME admitted in an update accompanying the release that the dramatic drop in projected peak hospitalization resources required was the result of the inclusion of three days of actual hospitalization data from April 10-12 that was remarkably different from the projections for those days released just three days earlier on Friday, April 10. A review...

More than 2,000 Americans are predicted to die of COVID-19 on April 12, according to a model by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). It's expected to be the most deaths in one day during the novel coronavirus pandemic in the United States, at least through August, although public health officials have raised the possibility of a second wave later this year. If IHME estimates are correct, the day before will have marked the peak use of hospital resources against the coronavirus, including more than 94,000 beds, about 19,500 ICU beds and at least 16,500 invasive ventilators. The...

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) model cited by the White House Coronavirus Task Force lowered its projections for coronavirus deaths in the U.S. by 25 percent from 81,766 to 60,415 early Wednesday morning.The IHME model has come under withering criticism for vastly overstating projections of regular and ICU hospital beds needed, but its death projections to date have closely tracked with actual data.Wednesday’s dramatic reverse in the model’s projection of U.S. deaths was made without a press release from IHME explaining the reasons for the reduction. It marks the second reduction in the model’s U.S. deaths projections since April 1, when it...

COVID-19 projections assuming full social distancing through May 2020

Scroll down and read it yourself.You will see 80k deaths. Same as last years flu. https://covid19.healthdata.org/

COVID-19 projections assuming full social distancing through May 2020 Last updated April 5, 2020. Total deaths (US) 81,766 COVID-19 deaths projected by August 4, 2020 (see comment below)