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US coronavirus deaths projected to peak Sunday
The Hill ^ | Apr 10, 2020 | Anagha Srikanth

Posted on 04/10/2020 5:49:32 PM PDT by NobleFree

More than 2,000 Americans are predicted to die of COVID-19 on April 12, according to a model by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).

It's expected to be the most deaths in one day during the novel coronavirus pandemic in the United States, at least through August, although public health officials have raised the possibility of a second wave later this year.

If IHME estimates are correct, the day before will have marked the peak use of hospital resources against the coronavirus, including more than 94,000 beds, about 19,500 ICU beds and at least 16,500 invasive ventilators.

The estimates are based on data from local and national governments, hospital networks like the University of Washington, the American Hospital Association, the World Health Organization (WHO) and a range of other sources. The model also estimates peak dates for both hospital resource use and deaths in each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia.

However, the projection assumes full social distancing observed through May 2020. If, in practice, Americans deviate from established social distancing measures or restrictions are let up before May, the projection will likely change.

As of April 10, the IHME predicts a total of 60,415 COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by August 4.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: billgates; ihme; nocredibility; peakhysteria
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I think deaths may have peaked already.
1 posted on 04/10/2020 5:49:32 PM PDT by NobleFree
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To: NobleFree

I have peaked.


2 posted on 04/10/2020 5:51:32 PM PDT by cp124 (Time for America 2.0)
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To: NobleFree
If IHME estimates are correct...

Pardon the annoying gif. Just couldn't help myself.

3 posted on 04/10/2020 5:51:34 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: NobleFree

Maybe the powers that be aren’t happy with lower amounts of money to confiscate?


4 posted on 04/10/2020 5:55:21 PM PDT by wally_bert (Transmission tone, Selma.)
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To: NobleFree

Can someone please tell THE HILL that WorldoMeters can
verify over 2,000 people in the U. S. have died today.

As of 17:57 the count was 2,043.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


5 posted on 04/10/2020 5:57:13 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
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To: NobleFree

“As of April 10, the IHME predicts a total of 60,415 COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by August 4.”

Long forgotten is the 100,000 NEW deaths prediction over the next two weeks made by Dr Doom on 3/30/20 if we stay vigilant and adhere to the guidelines. But Dr Doom still polls much higher than Trump in all the polls on the trust question.


6 posted on 04/10/2020 5:57:40 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: NobleFree

IHME = Bill Gates’ fear-mongering idiots

these turkeys have zero credibility after getting it wrong big-time, when they were relied-upon to get it right ...

they were the ones who effectively put the US on lockdown, with their irresponsible claims of 2 million dead (or whatever it was)


7 posted on 04/10/2020 5:57:41 PM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: DoughtyOne

Oops, “WorldoMeter”

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


8 posted on 04/10/2020 5:58:02 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

If you check the deaths chart at https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america, I think IHME may still be padding the numbers - showing the curve much slower to fall than it was to rise. That’s not what they’re showing for Spain or Italy.


9 posted on 04/10/2020 5:58:25 PM PDT by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: NobleFree
For those (none here) tempted to believe climate models ... well this whole ridiculous adventure in listening to experts and modelers has done tremendous damage to the integrity of climate models - as it should be. It merely shed light.

Good!

10 posted on 04/10/2020 5:59:45 PM PDT by tinyowl
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

I can’t think of even one of the models that has been remotely close to anything near the numbers on the ground.


11 posted on 04/10/2020 6:04:13 PM PDT by matt04
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To: NobleFree

If we continue the shutdown and fail to get the spring planting done, far more than 60,000 people will die, come next winter.


12 posted on 04/10/2020 6:04:57 PM PDT by jdege
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To: NobleFree

God is in charge of life and death, not government computer models.


13 posted on 04/10/2020 6:05:54 PM PDT by txrefugee
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To: NobleFree

Data published the end of march projected peak deaths for Colorado on the 16th will be 2,800.

The current number of TOTAL deaths is 250, with 24 today.

24 per day going to 2,800 PER DAY in the next 6 days?


14 posted on 04/10/2020 6:08:07 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: DoughtyOne

how many have died of pneumonia today?...seasonal flu?.....gee nobody knows and nobody cares......


15 posted on 04/10/2020 6:08:26 PM PDT by cherry
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To: NobleFree

The rest of the country seems to have peaked already, but count on NY state and NJ to keep to come in with the standard 1,000 fatalities between them.


16 posted on 04/10/2020 6:09:19 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Prayers up for Rush Limbaugh...)
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To: Balding_Eagle

That 2,800 per day is nationally.


17 posted on 04/10/2020 6:11:13 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Prayers up for Rush Limbaugh...)
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To: DoughtyOne

“Can someone please tell THE HILL that WorldoMeters can
verify over 2,000 people in the U. S. have died today.”

Their article shows 2011 but is not being updated every second. Feel free to notify them that you are the source for updated info.


18 posted on 04/10/2020 6:11:25 PM PDT by TexasGator (Z1z)
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To: NobleFree
How do they KNOW this stuff?
19 posted on 04/10/2020 6:11:55 PM PDT by Beowulf9
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To: canuck_conservative

Bill Gates, the next power-mad Soros, should be sued for his pre-planned plot to induce this panic that has ruined peoples’ lives. We are a free people, not meant to be yolked as mules to pull the loads of the tech billionaires.


20 posted on 04/10/2020 6:13:01 PM PDT by txrefugee
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