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15%  
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  • Another Post-Bubble Shakeout (Morgan Stanley on the bursting real estate bubble)

    10/10/2006 2:25:14 PM PDT · by GodGunsGuts · 452 replies · 4,232+ views
    Morgan Stanley ^ | Aug 25, 2006 | Stephan Roach
    US: Another Post-Bubble Shakeout Stephen Roach (New York) Five and a half years ago the equity bubble popped. Within six months, the US economy went into mild recession, and the global economy was quick to follow. Today, America’s housing bubble is finally bursting. Is the die cast for another bubble-induced downturn in the US and global economy? All asset bubbles are alike. Sure, there are obvious differences between equities -- a financial asset -- and homes -- a tangible asset. But to me, the Shiller definition says it all: A bubble is an outgrowth of powerful amplification mechanisms -- both...