At the request of the authors, this was converted from a poster displayed at the AGU Science Policy Conference, Washington, June 24-26. – AnthonyBy Paul C. Knappenberger and Patrick J. Michaels Center for the Study of Science, Cato Institute, Washington DCINTRODUCTIONAssessing the consistency between real-world observations and climate model projections is a challenging problem but one that is essential prior to making policy decisions which depend largely on such projections. National and international assessments often mischaracterize the level of consistency between observations and projections. Unfortunately, policymakers are often unaware of this situation, which leaves them vulnerable to developing policies that...