Free Republic

... The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch survey shows Clinton taking a four-point lead over Trump – 42% to 38% - among Likely U.S. Voters. Fifteen percent (15%) still prefer some other candidate, while five percent (5%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) A week ago, it was Clinton 39%, Trump 38%. The race has essentially been tied in Rasmussen Reports surveys since last October. Trump had his best showing a month ago, leading Clinton 42% to 37%. The latest finding is Clinton’s high to date. ...

The conventional wisdom is that Donald Trump will win the New York primary with well over 50 percent and win nearly all of the Empire State’s 95 delegates this upcoming Tuesday. While this is certainly a possibility, there is also a chance, and not a far-fetched one that Trump will finish with under 50 percent of the vote. If that happens, it will signal a seismic shift in the race for the Republican nomination. A look at recent polling makes it seem almost certain that Trump will finish with over 50 percent of the vote. The current New York Real...

Via Red State, not a huge deal but worth flagging in case there’s another poll this weekend showing his numbers dipping a bit in New York on the eve of the primary. That would suggest a trend, and that would be a big deal given what’s at stake. To be clear: Trump’s going to romp in NY on Tuesday night, winning by 25 points or better, and will pick up something like 75 delegates even in a worst-case scenario. But since his path to 1,237 is so difficult, it matters a lot whether he ends up with 75 in New...

Fox News will implode; VFTB at the Prophecy Summit: Joseph Farah Joseph Farah speaking about a TV program project that is being planned says from 14:32 through 15:55 in the interview: “I have to tell you…this may be a little controversial, but I believe, a lot of people look at Fox News as, you know, their alternative choice for tv and I think Fox has a lot of limitations and I am not particularly excited about it but one thing I do know is that whatever it is doing well right now it is not going to continue doing well...

With just seven weeks of campaigning left before the November election, President Obama holds a clear lead over Mitt Romney in Virginia, buoyed by growing optimism about the state of the country and fueled by a gender gap working in his favor, according to a new Washington Post poll. Obama leads his Republican rival by 52 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. Among all registered voters, the president leads by 50 percent to 43 percent, a margin identical to that recorded in a survey in early May. That indicates that Romney has made up little apparent ground against Obama...

A new poll paid for by the Family Research Council, a pro-life group, indicates pro-life Missouri Senate candidate Todd Akin now leads pro-abortion Sen. Clair McCaskill in the race despite the controversial comments he made about abortion and rape. The pro-life group says the poll is evidence that Akin should not drop out of the race and that calls for him to do so were premature. The new survey conducted by Wenzel Strategies of likely Missouri general election voters shows that Senate candidate Todd Akin has regained his lead over Senator Claire McCaskill by a 45% to 42% margin, with...

As the 2012 election campaign approaches phase two – when the major-party candidates have been selected and begin to square off – there is an unmistakable lack of ideological and political unity within the Christian community. A new national survey by the Barna Group among likely voters indicates that there are substantial differences across a wide spectrum of Christian subgroups, with only a one segment unwavering in its commitment to defeat President Obama in November. In the first of those contests Barack Obama and Mitt Romney were of equal appeal to all voters, with Mr. Obama holding a 52% to...

An analysis of TCJ's last poll conducted Oct 23-25 that provides evidence why Fairleigh-Dickinson that showed Coons with a 21 point lead is not accurate.

A new KPIX-TV CBS 5 poll of likely Republican primary voters finds that Carly Fiorina has shot to the top of the nomination race for U.S. Senate, and Meg Whitman has retaken a huge lead in the gubernatorial race, as well. But the latest poll, released Monday, shows Whitman recapturing the lead by 27 points with a 54%-27% advantage over Poizner -- a wild swing of 25 points in less than two weeks. The poll numbers for the Senate race show Fiorina with 46%, former Congressman Tom Campbell at 23%, and Chuck DeVore at 14%. This represents a 34-point net...

Can this be for real? From Carly Fiorina's Twitter feed: @CarlyforCA Breaking news: Fiorina 46%, Campbell 23%, DeVore 14% according to new Survey USA poll. Proof that hard work pays off! This, I'm told by the Fiorina campaign, was just reported on television on L.A. The last SurveyUSA poll showed Fiorina trailing Campbell 35% to 24%, with DeVore in third at 15%. So, if true, this new poll would represent a huge swing--such a huge swing that I'm curious to see the actual poll.

Tea party supporters are wealthier and more well-educated than the general public, tend to be Republican, white, male, and married, and their strong opposition to the Obama administration is more rooted in political ideology than anxiety about their personal economic situation, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll. The 18 percent of Americans who identify themselves as Tea Party supporters look like Republicans in many ways, but they hold more conservative views on a range of issues and tend to be older than Republicans generally. They are also more likely than Republicans as a whole to describe themselves...

The former mayor of New York City gets the nod as the Republican candidate for president in last week's Business Pulse survey. We asked: "Who should the Republicans pick as their 2008 presidential candidate?" The results: Rudy Giuliani, former mayor, New York City, 44 percent; Sen. John McCain, Ariz., 27 percent; Mitt Romney, former governor, Mass., 12 percent; Tommy Thompson, former governor, Wis., 3 percent; Mike Huckabee, former governor, Ark., 3 percent; Sen. Sam Brownback, Kan., 3 percent; Rep. Ron Paul, Texas, 2 percent; Rep. Duncan Hunter, Calif., 1 percent; Jim Gilmore, former governor, Va., no votes.

A new poll suggests Liberals and Conservatives are in a dead heat for Canadian support -- even though the Liberal party has yet to decide on its next leader. The Oct. 12-15 survey covers a number of issues, from who would make the best prime minister to whether Canadians support the Afghanistan mission. But one of the most surprising results is which political party Canadians would likely vote for -- 32 per cent of those surveyed answered Liberal, while an equal percentage responded Conservative. What the poll shows, said CTV's Ottawa Bureau Chief Robert Fife, is the "resilience of the...

The Topline results for this poll are now available for download [where we find that 34% percent that AP/Ipsos surveyed were DemocRATS and only 29% were Republicans].

In the aftermath of the Dubai ports deal, President Bush's approval rating has hit a new low and his image for honesty and effectiveness has been damaged. Yet the public uncharacteristically has good things to say about the role that Congress played in this high-profile controversy. Most Americans (58%) believe Congress acted appropriately in strenuously opposing the deal, while just 24% say lawmakers made too much of the situation. The new Pew survey underscores the public's alarm over the prospect that an Arab-owned company could have operated U.S. ports. There was broad opposition to the proposed deal from across the...

A majority of adults in five Southern states that President Bush won in the 2004 election now disapproves of his job performance and says the Iraq war was not worth fighting, a poll has found. CHARLOTTE, N.C.-- A majority of adults in five key Southern states disapproves of President Bush's job performance and says the war in Iraq was not worth fighting, according to an Elon University poll released Friday. In the survey, 52 percent of respondents said they disapproved or strongly disapproved of Bush's job performance, compared to 43 percent who said they approved or strongly approved. Asked whether...

"The respondents' concerns were echoed in President Bush's overall approval rating, which dropped to 39 percent, down from 42 percent in a poll taken February 6-9. Fifty-six percent of respondents said they disapproved of the way the president is handling his job. The margin of error in the poll is plus or minus 3 percentage points."

STANFORD, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Oct. 17, 2005--A Stanford University-Hoover Institution-Knowledge Networks (S-H-KN) online survey shows two of the statewide ballot propositions backed by Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger in a statistical dead heat. Prop. 74 (Teacher Tenure) and Prop. 77 (Redistricting) both split likely California voters right down the middle. Another Schwarzenegger initiative, Prop. 76 (State Spending and School Funding Limits), is trailing by a wide margin, with 70% of likely California voters saying they will vote against it. Prop. 75 (Public Employee Union Dues), endorsed by the Governor, currently has a commanding majority, with 70% of likely voters saying they will vote in...

Ex-Judge Moore leads Riley in Alabama poll MOBILE, Ala., Jan. 18 (UPI) -- The latest Mobile (Ala.) Register poll shows ex-Chief Justice Roy Moore would defeat Gov. Bob Riley in the 2006 Republican gubernatorial primary by 8 points. Moore, who was forced from office after disobeying a federal judge's order to remove a Ten Commandments monument from the rotunda of the state's judicial building, led Riley 43 percent to 35 percent among likely GOP primary voters. The University of South Alabama poll also showed 72 percent of those surveyed viewed Moore favorably, something University of Alabama political scientist William Stewart...