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Yes, Trump May Get Under 50% in NY
Conservative Review ^
| 04/15/16
| Robert Eno
Posted on 04/15/2016 7:52:36 PM PDT by writer33
The conventional wisdom is that Donald Trump will win the New York primary with well over 50 percent and win nearly all of the Empire States 95 delegates this upcoming Tuesday. While this is certainly a possibility, there is also a chance, and not a far-fetched one that Trump will finish with under 50 percent of the vote. If that happens, it will signal a seismic shift in the race for the Republican nomination.
A look at recent polling makes it seem almost certain that Trump will finish with over 50 percent of the vote. The current New York Real Clear Politics average has the race at 53.4 percent Trump, 21.7 percent John Kasich, and 17.6 percent Ted Cruz. There are, on average, 7.3 percent undecided. That certainly seems like a large cushion for Trump.
There are warning signs for Trump, however. Some of them are reflected in the more recent polls, and others have to do with the laws of New York.
TOPICS: Cheese, Moose, Sister
KEYWORDS: 1stcanadiansenator; balderdash; blogpimp; boguspoll; bspoll; codswallop; conservativereview; cruz; cruzaidepoll; cruzcorkerbill; cruzh1b; cruzisobama2; cruzlims; cruzreview; cuckservative; falsegodcruz; gangof14; gaslighting; globalistcruz; gope; incestuousted; losewithcruz; lyinted; marklevin; merrickgarlandlvscrz; moosebitsister; mud; mudmud; mudmudmud; mudmudmudmud; newyorkvalues; noteligiblecruz; openboarderscruz; party; propaganda; propagandadujour; selectednotelected; stopthesteal; tds; tdscoffeclutch; tdsforumtakeover; tdsinsanity; tdsnightshift; tdstagteam; tdsvomit; tediban; tedspacificpartners; trump; unipartyposting; usualsuspect; willthemudstick; zotmaterial
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Another thing to consider is that polling may be overstating Trumps support. In state after state, Trumps support among registered Republicans has been lower than among Independents.
Yuge problem for a general election.
1
posted on
04/15/2016 7:52:36 PM PDT
by
writer33
To: writer33
When his own kids admit they cannot vote for him you know things are going to be off for these results
2
posted on
04/15/2016 7:58:53 PM PDT
by
lonestar67
(Trump is anti-conservative / Cruz 2016)
To: writer33
3
posted on
04/15/2016 7:58:53 PM PDT
by
Red Steel
To: writer33
The only way Trump comes in under 50% is with Diebold machines. There is absolutely no way New York goes with one of those other clowns for any level of support above 15%.
4
posted on
04/15/2016 7:59:42 PM PDT
by
Kenny
(e)
To: writer33
So you’re telling me there’s a chance.
5
posted on
04/15/2016 8:00:06 PM PDT
by
Raycpa
To: writer33
there is also a chance, and not a far-fetched one that Trump will finish with under 50 percent of the vote. If that happens, it will signal a seismic shift in the race for the Republican nomination. Heck, I thought Wisconsin was a seismic shift. Now the Trump bashers are trying to conjure up another one. Guess the Wisconsin seismic shift didn't have much staying power based on some recent polls. Or maybe it was just media and GOPe and Trump basher BS and nothing more.
6
posted on
04/15/2016 8:00:10 PM PDT
by
Will88
To: writer33
LOL, and if he does he’ll be now worse that Cruz.
Another McNothin article filled with conjecture.
This is par for the course every few days before another primary or caucus.
7
posted on
04/15/2016 8:00:24 PM PDT
by
DoughtyOne
(Hey Ted, why are you taking one for the RNC/GOPe team, and not ours? Not that we don't know.)
To: writer33
Conservative Review = Mark Levin = But wait! There’s more! Buy our web show for one year and you get two BRAND NEW SPATULAS!
8
posted on
04/15/2016 8:01:43 PM PDT
by
E. Pluribus Unum
("If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it." --Samuel Clemens)
To: writer33
Another piece of horsecrap from the CR edited and approved by Mark Levin who is currently suffering from severe tds.
To: E. Pluribus Unum
10
posted on
04/15/2016 8:03:26 PM PDT
by
Jane Long
(Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
To: writer33
The Optimus NY district breakdown implies a delegate count of:
Trump-75 - Kasich-18 - Cruz-02
11
posted on
04/15/2016 8:05:51 PM PDT
by
Mensius
To: writer33
“There is a very real possibility that hundreds of thousands of Trump fans will show up to the polls on Tuesday and be turned away, because they are not registered Republicans.” I can totally see this happening and then the bellyaching begins.
To: writer33
Cuckservative Review? I think the Huffington Post is more fair to Trump at this point.
13
posted on
04/15/2016 8:06:33 PM PDT
by
Windflier
(Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
To: writer33
Conservative Review = Mark Levin = Crap
14
posted on
04/15/2016 8:09:18 PM PDT
by
stratboy
To: lonestar67
Stupidity it is republican and they are not registered hobbies.
15
posted on
04/15/2016 8:11:00 PM PDT
by
samantha
(keep up the fight....)
To: writer33
a nice hyrid of BS, wishful thinking, and agitprop
16
posted on
04/15/2016 8:12:46 PM PDT
by
bigbob
To: writer33
Oh no! Trump might get only twice as many votes as Ted in NY. He will be finished.
17
posted on
04/15/2016 8:13:12 PM PDT
by
fireman15
(The USA will be toast if the Democrats are able to take the Presidency in 2016)
To: writer33
Cruz only got 43% of the vote in Texas
18
posted on
04/15/2016 8:13:48 PM PDT
by
silverleaf
(Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
To: writer33
Such bull. It was AOK that Cruz failed but if trump does it’s onver. The establishment is so in bed with Cruz.
19
posted on
04/15/2016 8:13:55 PM PDT
by
napscoordinator
(Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
To: E. Pluribus Unum
20
posted on
04/15/2016 8:17:12 PM PDT
by
combat_boots
(The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto!)
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