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We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April
WSJ ^ | 18 Feb 2021 | Marty Makary

Posted on 02/18/2021 4:17:43 PM PST by DUMBGRUNT

Covid cases have dropped 77% in six weeks. Experts should level with the public about the good news.

In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing. Testing has been capturing only from 10% to 25% of infections, depending on when during the pandemic someone got the virus. Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity.

...Antibody studies almost certainly underestimate natural immunity. Antibody testing doesn’t capture antigen-specific T-cells, which develop “memory” once they are activated by the virus. Survivors of the 1918 Spanish flu were found in 2008—90 years later—to have memory cells still able to produce neutralizing antibodies.

...But the consistent and rapid decline in daily cases since Jan. 8 can be explained only by natural immunity. Behavior didn’t suddenly improve over the holidays; Americans traveled more over Christmas than they had since March. Vaccines also don’t explain the steep decline in January. Vaccination rates were low and they take weeks to kick in.

...

(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Chit/Chat; Health/Medicine; Science
KEYWORDS: herdimmunity
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Much better news, than the virtues of double masking.
1 posted on 02/18/2021 4:17:43 PM PST by DUMBGRUNT
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To: DUMBGRUNT

Also, available here:
https://archive.vn/vsDyt


2 posted on 02/18/2021 4:19:20 PM PST by DUMBGRUNT ("The enemy has overrun us. We are blowing up everything. Vive la France!"Dien Bien Phu last message.)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

And just like that, there were no more dead bodies everywhere and Covid wasn’t scary anymore.


3 posted on 02/18/2021 4:21:48 PM PST by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer”)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

Good to hear now I don’t have to worry about not injecting experimental drugs for something I don’t have


4 posted on 02/18/2021 4:23:44 PM PST by NWFree (Socialism is legalized plunder)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

of course the 77% drop, after January 6th I note, has NOTHING to do with the election.


5 posted on 02/18/2021 4:24:51 PM PST by Skywise
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To: DUMBGRUNT

We won’t have herd immunity or resolution as long as politicians and criminals like Bill Gates can make money and gain power on the crisis.

Sort of like perpetually shorting gold and silver in an artificial oscillating market.


6 posted on 02/18/2021 4:26:08 PM PST by grumpygresh (Civil disobedience by jury nullification. )
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To: DUMBGRUNT

Well thats one possible outcome. Another is devestating vaccine side effects. Time will tell


7 posted on 02/18/2021 4:27:31 PM PST by patriot torch (Ashlie Babbitt-say her name)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

“...But the consistent and rapid decline in daily cases since Jan. 8 can be explained only by natural immunity.”

Changing the testing methods (specifically lowering the number of PCR cycles) probably helped a bit.


8 posted on 02/18/2021 4:28:16 PM PST by HartleyMBaldwin
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To: DUMBGRUNT

Farage on the precipitous drop in covid cases in UK; also speaks about President Trump, phony impeachment, illegal immigration, Fox News ratings, etc:

Youtube: 15m39s: 18 Feb: Talk Radio UK: Nigel Farage: Reform UK will scrap the BBC licence fee
Speaking with talkRADIO’s Mike Graham, he said the party will focus on scrapping the BBC licence fee, “reining in civil servants” and challenging the government’s handling of lockdown.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HuLN4dxHsmA


9 posted on 02/18/2021 4:28:16 PM PST by MAGAthon
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To: blueunicorn6

“And just like that ...”

Bingo. BS on top of BS. It will never arrive, of course. They’ve been lying for a year now and will never stop. We have to stop listening and take back our freedoms.


10 posted on 02/18/2021 4:30:17 PM PST by eens (beware the errors of Russia)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

So we are looking at 2032 April?


11 posted on 02/18/2021 4:31:59 PM PST by foundedonpurpose (Praise Hashem, for his restoration of all things!)
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To: NWFree

Or for something I’ve already had.


12 posted on 02/18/2021 4:32:33 PM PST by Blood of Tyrants (DemocRats would burn the country to the ground to be absolute rulers over the ashes.)
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To: DUMBGRUNT
We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April.

"Well, I've been hearing about immunity since this whole COVID thing began. And I think it's about time someone did something about it!"

"Oh, it's HERD immunity?"

"Never mind."

- Gilder Radner

13 posted on 02/18/2021 4:35:04 PM PST by MV=PY (The Magic Question: Who's paying for it?)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

Didn’t Fauci and fiends laugh at the whole herd-immunity idea not long ago?


14 posted on 02/18/2021 4:36:04 PM PST by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: blueunicorn6
I would argue that it is the dead of winter and nobody is really gathering anywhere for the virus to spread. When people to go out, they're masked up and social distancing and, yeah, more of us are immune now. and it's certainly a safe bet that we'll see a drop in cases in April since that's when cases started to drop in wave #1 for whatever reasons.


15 posted on 02/18/2021 4:37:43 PM PST by RC one (When a bunch of commies start telling you that you don't need an AR15, you really need an AR15)
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To: All

Ever since Joe Bidens inauguration. I’m sure he lifted his hands in the air and told the virus to just go away.


16 posted on 02/18/2021 4:40:06 PM PST by BipolarBob (Biden/Harris - the regime our Founding fathers warned us about.)
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To: Skywise

That was my first thought. Trump’s gone so all the hard working dems working in city hospitals or as coroners don’t have to work so hard pumping up the numbers by calling everything covid.


17 posted on 02/18/2021 4:40:48 PM PST by Pollard (Bunch of curmudgeons)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

Now the elites will have to create a new bug in a lab.

They are enjoying watching the plebes run around like rats in a maze.


18 posted on 02/18/2021 4:43:17 PM PST by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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Please Support FR
To Donate Click The Pic


19 posted on 02/18/2021 4:44:19 PM PST by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

A big thank you to President Donald J. Trump!


20 posted on 02/18/2021 4:47:00 PM PST by Menehune56 ("Let them hate so long as they fear" (Oderint Dum Metuant), Lucius Accius (170 BC - 86 BC))
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