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How Fast Are Oceans Rising? The Answer May Be In Century-Old Shipping Logs
NPR ^ | March 1, 2021 | Lauren Sommer

Posted on 03/04/2021 7:43:52 AM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Off the coast of England, there's a tiny, wind-swept island with the remains of a lifeboat rescue station from the mid-1800s. The workers who once ran the station on Hilbre Island did something that, unbeknownst to them, has become crucial for understanding the future of a hotter climate: They recorded the tides.

The data, scrawled in long, handwritten ledgers, is just one example of the tens of thousands of pages of tidal measurements stored in archives around the world. Now, scientists and historians are racing to digitize them in an effort to understand how fast oceans are rising. The aging notebooks establish a historical baseline to compare with today's changing world.

Sea level rise is accelerating around the globe, likely to displace millions of people who live in coastal communities. Forecasts show between 3 and 6 feet of rise by the end of the century, or potentially more, depending on how much heat-trapping pollution humans emit.

Knowing exactly how much inundation to expect and how fast it's happening in each city can be tricky. Sea levels rise at different rates in different places due to the movement of the Earth's crust and ocean currents.

Long-term historical data, diligently tallied when the shipping industry was king, provide a window into these geologic processes and help improve the complex computer models scientists use to forecast the future. Those forecasts are crucial for helping cities prepare, whether it's building infrastructure to protect themselves or moving people out of harm's way.

Still, the vast majority of these historical records come from Europe and the U.S., leaving a glaring data gap in the Southern Hemisphere. That has researchers scouring archives of the Global South, including the ledgers of former colonial powers.

(Excerpt) Read more at npr.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Chit/Chat; History; Miscellaneous; Science; Society; Weather; Weird Stuff
KEYWORDS: africa; climatechange; europe; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; greennewdeal; icemelt; models; sealevelrise; shippinglogs; southamerica; uk; usa; waterlevelreadings
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1 posted on 03/04/2021 7:43:52 AM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks
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To: 100American; 11B40; A Balrog of Morgoth; A message; ACelt; Aeronaut; AFPhys; AlexW; alrea; ...

Global Warming PING!


2 posted on 03/04/2021 7:46:01 AM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (GOP-free since 10/9/20)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

No one ever thought of looking at century old photos?


3 posted on 03/04/2021 7:47:03 AM PST by Zathras
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Oh, yes! Let’s move back to the climate change hoax since it seems the COVID hoax has about run its course.

Some things never change.


4 posted on 03/04/2021 7:47:18 AM PST by icclearly
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Que Obama’s House that is 70 yards from the sea.


5 posted on 03/04/2021 7:47:57 AM PST by KC_Lion
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

I have yet to see any proof whatsoever of rising waters. The water line at Battery Park in NYC, the bell/float at south tip of Key West, etc. are still the same as they have always been. I haven’t read about Obama putting his $17 million beach estate in Nantucket up for sale or abandoning it to rising water.


6 posted on 03/04/2021 7:48:04 AM PST by Reno89519 (Buy American, Hire American! End All Worker Visa Programs. Replace Visa Workers w/ American Worker)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

So if we need to go back to century old shipping logs, the answer must be: Not very fast at all.


7 posted on 03/04/2021 7:48:11 AM PST by Michael.SF. (I believe you Tony B.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
There have been so many adjustments over time to the levels that there is simply no reality except the layers of time.

What we do know is that it fluctuates....but we do not know the cause of the fluctuations.

And those written records go back how far?? Till the beginning of time?? Right!!

GRANT MONEY is forever.

8 posted on 03/04/2021 7:48:18 AM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Do they plan to adjust the old data [downward] to be consistent with outputs of the Gorebal Warning Models?


9 posted on 03/04/2021 7:48:29 AM PST by Paladin2
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

If you start out with the assumption they’re rising, you’re already screwed.


10 posted on 03/04/2021 7:49:25 AM PST by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Actually, the oceans are not rising. If you look at the data, they are rising in some areas, dropping in others, and unchanged in still others.

The reason? The earth is like a big paper bag of molasses floating in space. The molasses is not solid and the surface is constantly changing.

That is, in some areas the LAND is rising while in others it is dropping. And they may both reverse in a few thousand years.

This may help, but there is a LOT of reading and charts here:

https://realclimatescience.com/2019/01/accelerating-sea-level-fraud-in-climate-science/


11 posted on 03/04/2021 7:49:51 AM PST by cuban leaf (We killed our economy and damaged our culture. In 2021 we will pine for the salad days of 2020.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Maybe the island was SINKING............................


12 posted on 03/04/2021 7:50:15 AM PST by Red Badger (SLEAZIN' is the REASON for the TREASON .................................)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

“leaving a glaring data gap in the Southern Hemisphere.”

Maybe it went the opposite direction averaging it all out.


13 posted on 03/04/2021 7:50:17 AM PST by Lurkina.n.Learnin (The veil of civilization is only 9 meals thick. )
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Global Warming PING!


We had the whole month of February here in central Jersey with the ground covered completely with white GoreBull Warming.


14 posted on 03/04/2021 7:50:30 AM PST by nesnah (Liberals - the petulant children of politics)
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To: Michael.SF.

There are ancient ROMAN era docks that are under water, so 2000 year per meter or so................


15 posted on 03/04/2021 7:51:18 AM PST by Red Badger (SLEAZIN' is the REASON for the TREASON .................................)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

I’m 40 miles from the shore and 650 feet above sea level. I’m good.


16 posted on 03/04/2021 7:51:44 AM PST by Psalm 73 ("You'll never hear surf music again" - J. Hendrix)
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To: Red Badger

Maybe the island was SINKING............................


I’m sure to these propaganda spouting morons, the island sinking was an independent variable.

Idiots.....


17 posted on 03/04/2021 7:52:31 AM PST by nesnah (Liberals - the petulant children of politics)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Oceans aren’t rising, land is sinking.


18 posted on 03/04/2021 7:53:59 AM PST by SkyDancer (Remember Ashli Babbitt!)
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To: Still Thinking

We need another Noah’s flood.


19 posted on 03/04/2021 7:54:00 AM PST by redshawk ( I want my red balloon. ( https://youtu.be/zNLpfEDliV0)
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To: KC_Lion
Osama Obama *and* algore have multi million dollar beachfront mansions. One on the Atlantic,one on the Pacific. And unless I'm mistaken they both have access to private jets as well.
20 posted on 03/04/2021 7:54:18 AM PST by Gay State Conservative (Trump: "They're After You. I'm Just In The Way")
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