Economic data continue to point to ongoing growth of the US economy, but financial-market participants have become more doubtful. This was reflected in expressions of concern following the release of the latest US trade deficit figures earlier in April, and especially in the plummeting of stockmarket indices a week ago. Moreover, the latest industrial output and import-price inflation data have prompted the revival of a nearly forgotten term, "stagflation". While the Economist Intelligence Unit is not forecasting a scenario of high inflation and a stagnant economy, the combination of creeping price pressures and slowing growth has already arrived. On the...