50 per cent of respondents in New Jersey would support Giuliani in a head-to-head contest against Democratic New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. In other match-ups, Giuliani holds an 11-point advantage over Illinois senator Barack Obama. Arizona senator John McCain is tied with Rodham Clinton at 45 per cent, and trails Obama by four points. In 2004, Democratic nominee John Kerry carried New Jersey’s 15 electoral votes, with 53 per cent of the vote. No Republican has won the Garden State since George H. Bush in 1988.