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John Solomon @jsolomonReports RFK Jr predicts Trump will lose some support from independents in wake of debate From justthenews.com 8:41 PM · Sep 11, 2024

Frank Luntz had 14 swing voters during the debate. 12 of the 14 swing to Trump. Luntz Shocked!

Fifty percent of independent voters believe House Republicans should impeach President Joe Biden, a YouGov/CBS News poll recently found. Although House Republicans launched an impeachment inquiry just last week into the president, 50 percent of independent voters already believe House Republicans should move beyond the impeachment inquiry to impeach the president. The other 50 percent of independent voters remain unconvinced that Republicans should impeach Joe Biden. Eighty-one percent of Republicans support an impeachment, with 19 percent opposition. Among Democrats, 12 percent support impeachment. Eighty-eight percent do not. Overall, 47 percent of Americans support impeachment. Fifty-three percent oppose impeachment. The poll...

Former President Donald Trump is leading Joe Biden by a whopping 18 points among coveted independent voters. The latest Harvard CAPS-Harris poll found that 45 percent of independents support Trump and 27 percent support Biden in the hypothetical 2024 matchup. Trump is also beating Biden by five points among all voters, across party lines. According to the pollsters, when looking at all voters, 45 percent support Trump and 40 percent plan to vote for Biden. Another 16 percent are still undecided on a candidate.

Democrats would not have had such a good election night without the support of independent voters. ...Despite plenty of polling this year showing that independents were, like Republicans, primarily concerned with the state of the economy and inflation, they ended up making nuanced decisions in key statewide races — and that worked to benefit Democrats.... ...Perhaps the most confounding result for pundits across the spectrum was how the negative perception voters, and especially independents, had of President Joe Biden’s job performance and the state of the economy did not translate into a massive swing for Republicans. But voters weren’t viewing...

The concept of America First embodies the American people’s aspirational goals to see policies that primarily benefit them, especially in an era when it feels as if they are being overshadowed by special-interest groups, corporate lobbyists and foreign agendas. It’s undoubtedly linked with President Donald Trump, but the question remains for the 2024 election: Can this idea thrive with someone else’s leadership?

Independent voters give former President Donald Trump an edge in a hypothetical 2024 head-to-head matchup against President Joe Biden

With Governor ChristieÂ’s splash in the pool, the population pining to be POTUS is now large enough to hold a special Republican Primary: only the declared wannabes would participate, each egotist getting three votes. Naturally, weÂ’d eliminate all their first choices and zero in on the next two, thereby distilling a much tighter cluster of potential electables.Seriously, we now have a candidate for almost every splinter view imaginable, and good people though each of them are, they collectively exemplify a party in confusion and dysfunction. As one wag pointed out, the last time there were this many declared candidates, a...

Talk about the law of unintended consequences . . . On today's Morning Joe, Willie Geist interviewed an audience member sporting a T-shirt reading "Mika Made Me A Republican." The good-natured fellow explained that his daughters had made the T-shirt for him, that he was an independent who had voted for Perot, and that he watches Morning Joe daily because he likes to hear what the other side has to say. Whatever it was that Mika has been saying, it has apparently driven him into the Romney camp. View the video here.

Political junkies get excited about the Republican and Democratic national conventions, but for many Americans they provide a stark reminder of how out of touch our political system has become. The strange rituals and bad jokes seem oddly out of place in the 21st century, almost as strange as seeing an engineer use a slide rule rather than an iPad to perform some complex calculation. While partisan activists tune in when their team's big show is on the air, most unaffiliated voters view the conventions as a waste of time and money. For the past week or so, everyone I...

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PORTSMOUTH, N.H. — Independents are a finicky and fickle bunch. They are deeply dissatisfied with the direction of the country, with an overwhelming majority saying things are badly off track. Social issues do not concern them. Many of them voted for President Obama. And now, this critical voting bloc — which makes up as much as 45 percent of the New Hampshire electorate — is about to take center stage. If the Iowa contest exposed the conflicted mood and sharp divisions within the GOP, then New Hampshire will offer a broader snapshot of a hard-to-pin-down sliver of the electorate that...

Republicans seem far more excited to vote in next year's presidential elections than Democrats are, suggesting the same sort of enthusiasm gap that pushed the GOP to big gains in the 2010 elections. The numbers were part of the latest CNN-ORC International poll that found 62 percent of self-identified Republicans were extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for president, while only 48 percent of Democrats said the same thing. Independents, meanwhile, are the least eager, with just 39 percent saying they're excited to vote, and a whopping 21 percent saying they're "not at all enthusiastic." Faced with reports of faltering...

At ground level, Republicans win elections by doing one or more of five things:1) Get more Republicans to vote; 2) Get more people to become Republicans, and vote; 3) Get fewer Democrats to vote; 4) Get fewer people to be Democrats; 5) Get more votes from independents, i.e., people who are neither Republicans nor Democrats.There’s been a lot of talk about the “enthusiasm gap” in turnout between Republican and Democrat voters, about how the Democrats registered a lot of voters to vote in the “historic” 2008 election who may not be likely to vote again, and about how the developments...

Independent voters have broken away from President Obama, a trend backed up by public polling, “largely due to fiscal issues,” Luke Frans of Resurgent Republic told attendees at the Bloggers Briefing at the Heritage Foundation on July 27, 2010. Resurgent Republic provided the attendees at the briefing with the results of their eighth national survey, highlighting the shift in Independents, targeting twelve designated “toss up” or “battleground” voting states. This drift of Independents also coincided with and resulted from the health care debate, and not just in reaction to the policies, but the process of the debate, Frans reported. The...

Two polls out this week have shown Americans are losing faith in the Obama administration. On Tuesday, the ABC News/Washington Post poll showed that nearly 60% of Americans “lack faith” in President Obama. 58% of respondents said they had “just some” or “none” confidence in Obama to make the right decision for America’s future. Time Magazine just published their latest poll, showing that 49% of respondents approve of Obama’s performance while 45% disapprove. 56% of respondents said that the U.S. is on the wrong track. The scary part for Republicans is that 72% of those polled in the ABC News/Washington...

Liberals and conservatives each have their own intellectual food chains. They have their own think tanks to provide arguments, politicians and pundits to amplify them, and news media outlets to deliver streams of prejudice-affirming stories. Independents, who are the largest group in the electorate, don’t have any of this... --snip-- The most telling races this year were the suburban rebellions across the country. For example, in Westchester and Nassau counties in New York, Republican candidates came from nowhere to defeat entrenched Democratic county officials. In blue Pennsylvania, the G.O.P. won six out of seven statewide offices... --snip-- The percentage of...

For any candidate, independents are the most important voters. In most cases they are the difference between winning and losing. This was especially true in the last presidential campaign. Independents went for Obama in a huge way, and they were one of the keys to his victory. Independent voters are abandoning the President faster than people driving out of town just before a hurricane hits. According to the IBD/TIPP poll since February support for the President among independents has dropped from 73% to 45%. And even worse for the POTUS, the President has lost independent support on the Economy, Health...

In most elections it is the independent voter deciding the outcome. And now "independents" are the largest political party. Just read this transcript from the above video: Now let's the put the Democratic line up there: You see the Democrats started at 39. It slowed down all the way to 33. They're actually losing more than the Republicans are, but they're on the same path to hell. Now, let me show you the independents. Here's the independent line — remember I told you they were about to cross? Look at this. They crossed and now are up to 39 percent....

Big shifts among independent voters toward Democrats caused Republicans to lose the majority in Congress in 2006 and then shed even more seats in the House and Senate in 2008. Some argue these trends presage a permanent GOP congressional minority--or maybe even signal Republicans are on a path toward electoral extinction, the 21st century equivalent of the Whig Party. These predictions would hold more validity if the current trajectory of voting patterns continued. But some recent evidence suggests independent voters are shifting again, a trend that might help Republicans capitalize in 2010 on the minority party's historical advantages in off-year...