Most Accurate in 2016 - This projection is based on polls and the early vote in the four battleground states that offer hard data and a high level of confidence, not TargetSmart estimates. Each projection is rooted in our interpretation of polling, which was the most accurate in 2016, or in the early vote. We projected both the popular vote and 48 of 50 states correclty in 2016. Key States: Pennsylvania - While Democrats are building a large lead in the early vote, their ballot request total (ceiling) does not match expectations while Republicans' requests exceed forecasts. Ballot request totals...