Articles Posted by dopplerdale
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Signs are showing that November will be turning warmer than normal, at least for the first half of so of the month for the Eastern U.S. with the opposite being true for the West. However,
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This week Earth will be passing through a debris field left behind by Halley’s Comet, the Orionids. Bill Cooke of NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office says, “Flakes of comet dust hitting the atmosphere should give us dozens of meteors per hour. Since 2006, Orionids have been one of the showers of the year, with counts of 60 or more meteors per hour.”
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It’s hard to be thinking about severe weather after the very cool weather many of us have been experiencing, especially where it has recently snowed. However, we are heading into another severe weather season that generally runs from late October through November. Now, this season is predominately found in the southern United States from Texas to Georgia.
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A large trough is in place over the eastern U.S. and will remain so through this weekend allowing for it to be quite cold for this time of year. Temperatures will be averaging between 15 and 25 degrees below normal!
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As you are aware, I released my initial winter outlook on September 1, 2009 (you can read the full post here) and I followed that up with some specific details for key locations with this post. On October 14, 2009, one of the nation’s largest private weather companies, AccuWeather, released their 2009-10 Winter Outlook (viewable by clicking provided link) and today, October 15, 2009, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released the official U.S. Government 2009-10 Winter Outlook. I would like to compare my forecast with the other two and to see if we are thinking in similar ways...
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Rains have already soaked much of Northeast Texas and Arkansas and it now spreading into the MidSouth and heading towards the TN Valley as of 3 PM Tuesday. Over the past week, it has been cloudy and dreary with periods of rain, some of which has been heavy for much of the South from Northeast Texas-Northern Georgia. This area has seen an estimated 2”-6” of rainfall during this time with some isolated higher amounts. This has saturated the ground and unfortunately, more rain, some heavy, is on the way.
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An early season cold spell across the Upper Midwest and northern Plains this past weekend and into the start of this week mixed with available moisture has set up for early season snow. Some of this snow has been quite heavy and has been record breaking. Here are some of those records:
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The U.S. Government’s arm that oversees energy statistics and projections, Energy Information Administration (EIA) has released its 2009 Winter Heating expenditure forecast for households and it states the average expenditure per household to be $960 this winter, October 1-March 31. This is a decrease of $84 or 8% from last year.
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The weather so far this week has been relatively pleasant for most of us along and east of the Rockies and it looks like a terrific weekend is setting up, too, for some. The next in a series of Fall storm systems will be moving out of the Plains and into the center of the nation tonight through Thursday. This will aid in firing some storms, some strong to severe
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Not a lot to say regarding the weather. It remains quiet in the tropics but don’t put your guard down just yet.
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A one, two punch is on its WAAY to the Heartland of the nation. A system that has been cut-off from the main flow over the Plains and central Rockies will finally get bumped and move eastward into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through this weekend.
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The snow is flying across the portions of the Colorado Rockies above 6,500 feet. The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for tonight into Wednesday afternoon. Snowfall
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The weather pattern over the eastern U.S. the past week has been dominated by a cut-off low pressure system that has brought torrential rains to some in the South and Southeast. That system has now been lifted northward and has weekend and a second system is becoming the new player on the field
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A large upper level low pressure system is spinning across the ArkLaTex and will likely continue to do so until late this week and possibly into the beginning of next. This keeps things very unsettled with waves of rain from northeast Texas to Georgia.
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First, sorry for the delay in this post. What a couple of weeks I have had and that has kept me away from the computer and being able to complete things I promised. The last post showed graphically my Fall and Winter Outlook. Today, I provide you with some specifics for a few key cities in the eastern half of the U.S.
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As promised, today's post provides you with the official Doppler Dale 2009 Fall Forecast and a look at the preliminary 2009-10 Winter Forecast.
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Last weekend a nice cool shot sank southward out of Canada and encompassed much of the eastern half of the nation. Looks like another and likely stronger surge of early autumn air will sink through the Eastern U.S. through much of the next 7-days.
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As of 10 AM CT, T.S. Danny was located about 320 miles northeast of Nassau and had max winds near 60 mph. Danny is not moving consistently to the northwest but that is the overall general direction of movement at about 13 mph. A general northwest motion is likely for the next 24-hours and then a more northerly turn is anticipated with an increase in forward speed.
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Tropical Storm Danny officially was named this morning and the first advisory had it will sustained winds of 45 MPH and it was moving off to the NW at 18 mph.
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I have been watching a wave move towards and now past the Leeward Islands since late last week and now it is showing signs of better organization as it moves by to the north of Puerto Rico. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is sending a recon flight to investigate the system further, this afternoon. I anticipate that after they have investigate the system the NHC will at minimum categorize the system as a Tropical Depression and may even be able to name the system as the next Atlantic named tropical cyclone, Danny.
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