So called AI (over-hyped as usual) will not replace a single plumber, carpenter, auto mechanic, machine tools operator, police who guard us, firemen who show up when house is on fire, Fedex driver who delivers stuff at my front door, machine designer for new custom mass production or single function machines, mailman who delivers stuff in my locked mailbox, airplane pilots, 2500 crew members on large cruise ships who clean my cabin and serve me delicious food, cemetery workers who digs holes to bury caskets, welders, road repair workers, short order cooks, jewelry makers, pizza delivery drivers, etc etc.
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Quite a list but I don’t think totally accurate.
Combine AI with a machine that is mobile (robot) and with the and many jobs could be replaced.
I would guess we are less than 50 years from having fully functional robots walking among us doing a lot of routine task. A robot may not be able to do a particular task the way a human would so the task will be adjusted to the limitation of the robot what ever that may be.
I am in my 70 and I have seen many “jobs” go away when a machine took over. These were dumb machines that usually only had one function and had to be specifically “programmed” to perform that function. Combining AI with a machine is the game changer.
The biggest problem facing humanity in the next 50 years is what to do with unemployed humans and I dread what the elite have planned for us. (Fortunately for me, I am old and will not live to see this.)