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Trump Is Winning His Trade War. What Will That Mean for the Economy?
The New York Times ^ | July 29, 2025 Updated 8:26 a.m. ET | Ana Swanson

Posted on 07/29/2025 10:19:22 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

The president’s vision for reshaping global trade is falling into place, but he is embarking on an experiment that economists say could still produce damaging results.

Over the last six months, the United States has left behind the global trade order that persisted for decades in favor of something drastically different and largely untested.

Formidable economies like the European Union and Japan have abruptly made peace with higher tariffs on their exports, acquiescing to President Trump’s demands in order to avoid damaging trade wars and to coax even steeper U.S. duties down just a little bit.

As major economies fall in line to sign agreements that include the highest tariffs in modern history, the president’s vision for global trade is rapidly being realized. That new normal uses America’s economy as leverage, with other countries accepting tariffs of 15 to 20 percent to do business with the United States. Even higher rates will be imposed on exports of critical products, like steel, or on certain adversarial countries, like China.

The outcome has seemingly proved Mr. Trump right that his tariff threats are a powerful bargaining tool. And the muted market reaction to 15 percent tariffs on Japan and the European Union suggests that the panic many expected from his earlier, more extreme levies may not materialize.

Nigel Green, the chief executive of deVere Group, a global financial advisory, called the E.U. deal “a reset, not a resolution.”

“A year ago, markets would have recoiled,” he said. “Today, they’re simply grateful it wasn’t worse.”

While the president’s plan for global trade now looks like a political victory, whether it will be an economic success remains much more debatable. The Trump administration has essentially embarked on a vast economic experiment, with tariff levels not seen in the United States since the early 20th century.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; China; Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; European Union; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government; Japan; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: anaswanson; ccp; china; commerce; deveregroup; economy; europeanunion; eussr; fakenews; fourthreich; japan; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkslimes; newyorktimes; nigelgreen; nlzremindme; nothistradewar; nottrumpstradewar; redchina; tariffs; tds; trade
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1 posted on 07/29/2025 10:19:22 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

At least until he leaves, trillions of dollars in extra revenue.


2 posted on 07/29/2025 10:20:16 AM PDT by Jonty30 (My mom is half French. Her mother and father are French, but she lost her legs in a car accident.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

BUT


3 posted on 07/29/2025 10:20:57 AM PDT by Fido969
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
While the president’s plan for global trade now looks like a political victory, whether it will be an economic success remains much more debatable.

This is as close as we are going to get to the NYT saying Trump was right and we were wrong. There is always going to be a "but" or a "remains to be seen" in any article where they have to grudgingly admit that a Republican is right.

4 posted on 07/29/2025 10:23:14 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

The Slimes is known for the excellence of its staff in the area of Ecomomics....


5 posted on 07/29/2025 10:24:00 AM PDT by Paladin2 (YMMV)
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To: Fido969

“But?”

In the old days this used to be called a combination of eating crow and sour grapes. Hope it tastes like vinegar.

wy69


6 posted on 07/29/2025 10:24:34 AM PDT by whitney69
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Professional panty wadders are wadded.


7 posted on 07/29/2025 10:25:59 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
The tariffs fund the cost of assuring safe delivery, a cost that the American taxpayer has funded worldwide since before WWII. That cost has been part of the reason for exporting our manufacturing capacity, which then means that we cannot afford to continue securing world trade, much less protect ourselves.

Surely these "expert" economists would understand that. /s

8 posted on 07/29/2025 10:26:13 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (The tree of liberty needs a rope.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
the global trade order that persisted for decades

Translation: the global trade order of reconstruction after WWII that is now obsolete.

-PJ

9 posted on 07/29/2025 10:28:26 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

“Economists.”

How many “economists” have ever ran a billion dollar company, let alone have a job.

It’s like listening to a man tell woman what a real woman is.


10 posted on 07/29/2025 10:29:00 AM PDT by Organic Panic ('Was I molested. I think so' - Ashley Biden in response to her father joining her in the shower. )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

“””Formidable economies like the European Union””””


I believe it would be more correct if NYT had stated ONCE Formidable economies like the European Union.

Western Europe countries have created a monster with their socialist ideals and rampant immigration. Once great companies produced great products. Now many of those products are made in China and are no longer great products.


11 posted on 07/29/2025 10:30:03 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Paladin2

Where’s Krugman been? He was the biggest doom-sayer that has been wrong about EVERYTHING Trump.


12 posted on 07/29/2025 10:30:08 AM PDT by Organic Panic ('Was I molested. I think so' - Ashley Biden in response to her father joining her in the shower. )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

The New York Times, skilled at finding negatives in positive news. All the negativity that’s fit to print.


13 posted on 07/29/2025 10:34:50 AM PDT by I want the USA back (America is once again GREAT! )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

That’s as close to a pro-Trump article that the NYT will EVER publish. It must have been a real PITA for Ana Swanson to write that piece.


14 posted on 07/29/2025 10:35:58 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Oh for truck sakes:

Two seconds ago: “There is no way Trump can win this trade war, it means ruination, inflation through the roof, all is lost, the market is toast, all is lost, distress.”

Now: “ The President is winning the trade war, BUT .doom, despair and destruction anyway. Now let’s get back to talking about Epstein. That is, until they spill what Maxwell spilled and our favorite democrats are implicated in which case we will move on to “We Have Trump Now” v.600”


15 posted on 07/29/2025 10:36:48 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

The words New York Times and analysis don’t spark this partisan’s interest. It is their way of telling the reader this will not be actual fake news we usually do with the pretense of facts but complete bullshit provided by Democrat political operatives with no facts having a seat at the table.


16 posted on 07/29/2025 10:38:24 AM PDT by chuckee
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To: All

The fundamental problem is people refuse to do their own numbers.


17 posted on 07/29/2025 10:40:03 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Jonty30

and if you want to unconfuse the cnn/msnbc/abc viewer masses, remind them that the whole point is “Fairness”. Americans react bitterly to being forced into an unfair position, and the tariffs correct unfair conditions that have caused our economy and jobs billions.

You won’t hear that written in NYT, WSJ, WAPO - Trump: Making international trade fair for all sides, not being a sucker anymore.


18 posted on 07/29/2025 10:42:42 AM PDT by epluribus_2 (!)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
A global order that was designed in the wake of WW2 when the US was almost the only intact economy then modified to fight the Cold War needs to be updated.

It really sad that only Team Trump sees how desperately needed is this reset. It shows how intellectually crippled so many of “World Leaders” and the global economic “intellectuals” actually are that they do not see it.

19 posted on 07/29/2025 10:43:15 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Don't blame me, my congressman is MTG!)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

“the global trade order that persisted for decades”

And which was OK for the first 10 years or so to help Europe recover from the WWII. Then we got screwed for 70 years until Trump put a stop to it. Now we will reap the benefits we’ve missed out on for 60 years.


20 posted on 07/29/2025 10:44:40 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Annnd....Trump is right again.)
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