Free Republic

Using Allan Lichtman's "13 Keys the the White House", both Biden and Harris will lose. And lose decisively. Allan Lichtman wrote "13 Keys the the White House" in 1981. His model has accurately predicted every election from 1980 to 2020. I was a 1980s student of Lichtman, his book was part of a class. I do take exception to his conclusion about 2020 election, where he forecast Trump losing. An honest appraisal of the 13 keys favored Trump but missed the steal. Moving forward to 2024, Trump now challenges either Biden or likely Harris. Lichtman's model says that if 8...

WASHINGTON, 9 June 2004 — After enduring a number of setbacks during a difficult spring, President Bush appears to be in the midst of a rebound. The economic news is good, the news from Iraq shows some improvement, and the president’s schedule has provided him several opportunities to focus public attention on his campaign theme of “providing strong leadership for America”. As a result, the president’s poll numbers have risen slightly and one prominent pundit, who has developed a scientific model that has correctly predicted the outcome of every election since 1984, now says that Bush appears to be a...

George Osborne says that on the basis of the ‘keys’ forecasting system George W. Bush will be President next year and Michael Howard will be in No. 10 In the next few months George Bush and John Kerry are going to spend more than $1 billion trying to win the presidential election, while everyone else is going to spend millions of dollars trying to guess the result. They needn’t bother. The result is already obvious. Or so I have just been told by a man called Professor Allan Lichtman. He is a well-known American political scientist who has a simple...