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Peter Thiel warned real estate ‘catastrophe’ will deal massive blow to young Americans. Is his prediction coming true?
Moneywise via Yahoo ^ | March 16th, 2026 | Unattributed

Posted on 03/16/2026 10:52:10 AM PDT by Mariner

As a cofounder of PayPal and the first outside investor in Facebook, Peter Thiel is widely recognized for his expertise in tech. But for a while now, the billionaire venture capitalist is sounding the alarm on an entirely different sector: real estate.

During an interview with Common Wealth Canada in late 2024, Thiel drew upon the insights of 19th-century economist Henry George to underscore the gravity of America’s real estate crisis (1).

snip

“The dynamic ends up being that you add 10% to the population in a city, and maybe the house prices go up 50%, and maybe people’s salaries go up, but they don’t go up by 50%,” he said. “So the GDP grows, but it’s a giant windfall to the boomer homeowners and to the landlords, and it’s a massive hit to the lower-middle class and to young people who can never get on the housing ladder.”

(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 9yeartroller; housing; realty; thiel; thielisridiculous
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Deport the illegals and this problem is SOLVED.

And it's time for a political party that will talk up this angle.

1 posted on 03/16/2026 10:52:10 AM PDT by Mariner
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To: Mariner

Housing crisis won’t affect Peter Thiel one bit, he’s just a canary in the coal mine but no one will listen, no one is interested in real solutions except more government spending, and more taxes


2 posted on 03/16/2026 10:55:19 AM PDT by The Louiswu (USA FIRST...USA FOREVER)
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To: Mariner

It is hard to GAS when most these young
people vote for the very Democrats that got
us into this problem.


3 posted on 03/16/2026 10:56:24 AM PDT by rellic (No such thing as a moderate Moslem or Democrat )
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To: Mariner

dont move to that city then, move to one where it is affordable. Problem solved.

All these people act like the Boomers bought all their homes in the middle of cities.. NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!

They bought their homes WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAY outside of the cities of the time!!!!!!!!

The cities then GREW over DECADES and what were once homes WAY out in the country out side of the city where it was cheap, became home near the core of MUCH MUCH larger cities many decades later.

Young people want to do EVERYTHING different. They want to buy in the middle of a growing city and then only want to stay in the home 3-5 years.

They will NEVER see the gains boomers did doing that.


4 posted on 03/16/2026 11:02:19 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Boomers are the main reason why many young people choose socialism


5 posted on 03/16/2026 11:05:57 AM PDT by mitchjackson1972 (End usury - It's OK to be white - https://ussliberty.org/)
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To: Mariner

The CRT-Greens have decided that wanting a single family home is an indication of white supremacy.


6 posted on 03/16/2026 11:07:38 AM PDT by aynrandfreak (Being a Democrat means never having to say you're sorry)
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To: mitchjackson1972

They choose socialism because they are stupid, and no other reason.


7 posted on 03/16/2026 11:08:29 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner

As I learned from a property investment class, the average price a home goes up is 4.9% based on 50 years of data.
Owning a home is NOT a cash register but a solid long term investment.

Back in the 90’s I remember seeing an empty lot for sale on 17 mile drive in Carmel going for 250k.
Seemed really expensive until you consider its probably 10M right now.


8 posted on 03/16/2026 11:11:29 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: Mariner

Been saying this for 15 years now.


9 posted on 03/16/2026 11:13:55 AM PDT by packrat35 (“When discourse ends, violence begins.” – Charlie Kirk, and they killed him anyway)
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To: Mariner

Deport the illegals and MOVE OUT OF CITIES.

Living in a large city is a mistake for many reasons.


10 posted on 03/16/2026 11:14:06 AM PDT by MeanWestTexan (Sometimes There Is No Lesser Of Two Evils)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
"Don't move to that city then, move to one where it is affordable. Problem solved."

Bingo. You nailed it. For my job I used to drive all over the USA. I never took interstate highways. I took the back roads, and state roads, etc. etc. I avoided big cities.

I've seen America first hand. There's more affordable housing than you can shake a stick at. Really, really, affordable housing.

There are no baristas, or Starbucks, or strip malls, or minorities. There are so many minority free areas of the country which are totally safe and crime free and affordable it would make your head swim. You might have to change careers, but it is a small price to pay to live in real America.

11 posted on 03/16/2026 11:16:10 AM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie ( O give thanks unto the Lord, for He is gracious, and his mercy endures forever. — Psalm 106)
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To: Mariner

Yahoo is rat trash. Just move on.


12 posted on 03/16/2026 11:17:22 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: mitchjackson1972
Boomers are the main reason why many young people choose socialism.

Most Freepers are Boomers. My guess - 80% or higher.

13 posted on 03/16/2026 11:19:22 AM PDT by rexthecat
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To: Mariner

Exactly. Stupidity and social contagion have ruined our youth for decades now. The fact so many love socialism says everything about them and not anyone else.

I also find it amusing so many so-called conservatives play the generation blame game that the CCP/Russian/commie propaganda organs push.


14 posted on 03/16/2026 11:22:44 AM PDT by ChuckHam
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To: Mariner

This process is about at the end of its run. Baby boomers have been splurging on one last real estate purchase for retirement. As that source of real estate funding dries up, increased deportations and the self-extermination crisis causing global population levels to plummet will create a buyers market for decades. Look to the last 35 years in Japan for example.


15 posted on 03/16/2026 11:29:15 AM PDT by EnderWiggin1970
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To: Zathras

“Seemed really expensive until you consider its probably 10M right now.”

Let’s say you bought a property in 1990 for $250,000 and sold in 2026 for $10,000,000. Assume the property’s tax value when up each year and you bought and sold it for property tax value. Property tax rate is 1.05% per year. Upkeep was flat $5,000/year. Total state (13.3%) and federal cap gain tax + NIIT tax (23.8%) What was your ROI after inflation? Use consumer rate of inflation between 1900 and 2026.

Nominal annual return ~4.5%/year
Inflation ~3.27%/year
Real ROI ~1.2%/year


16 posted on 03/16/2026 11:30:56 AM PDT by MeanWestTexan (Sometimes There Is No Lesser Of Two Evils)
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To: MeanWestTexan

The Capital Gains incorporation of long term Inflation in Taxation is a crime.


17 posted on 03/16/2026 11:33:46 AM PDT by Paladin2 (YMMV)
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To: mitchjackson1972

I wish that I could disagree with you. My age group is more than selfish.


18 posted on 03/16/2026 11:35:31 AM PDT by AuntB (Trump is our Ben Franklin - Brilliant, Boisterous, Brave and ALL AMERICAN!)
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To: Paladin2

As is the NIIT.


19 posted on 03/16/2026 11:36:33 AM PDT by MeanWestTexan (Sometimes There Is No Lesser Of Two Evils)
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To: Mariner

Exactly.

But Trump fooled us on that promise too.


20 posted on 03/16/2026 11:37:24 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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