Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
I hope to God that's not true. I can't believe they'd do something that cruel and stupid.
18z GFS ensembles just now showing lots of spaghetti converging on Monroe County landfall then up the spine including Lake O, central fl. ..
If I still drank, I’d start pouring...
Pennsylvania?
Yeah, we’re both on low carb diets, so mystery meat in a can will do us just fine. And we have an Olde Brooklyn LED lantern, and flashlights galore, including a 4 D cell Maglite that doubles as a nice, stout club, if called upon. I should have ordered military surplus jugs from Sportsman’s Guide when the thought popped into my head, but we’ll make do. As long as we can keep the fridge running, a table lamp or two, an oscillating fan, and the cell phones charged, we’ll be good to go. We’re not in a flood plain. If I got a real ornery hair stuck sideways, I could fire up the wood stove, take the burner plates off, and cook up a storm (pun semi-intended). And as long as there’s pressure in the water lines, I don’t mind taking a tepid shower so I don’t smell like a dead bear. If it gets really dicey, we’ll have plenty of food water, light, meds refilled, a little power, and communications for several days. Oh, and lots of ammo in case there are those who wish to do a little ‘window shopping’.
Actually the eyewall area is where most of the damage is caused from..depending on wind and strength how far out that goes....from what I understand.
I'm in Grand Junction and nowhere near these fires, and somewhat outside of the plume shown on the map. But even so, visibility is down to a couple of miles. Things a couple of blocks away are somewhat obscured in the haze.
Called: 2 days ago! Bump for later
Not good
Thinking of you, Mom...do be safe and keep us posted.
Good grief. 27.07 inches.
Wouldn’t want to be in St. Marteen or St. Barts right now.
Agreed, I was just looking at those island and also Antigua and Barbuda. Those areas will be devastated.
Yep. I don’t want to be anywhere around Irma.
That’s a great map for location and also cams...thanks..
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/05/richard-branson-ride-hurricane-irma-necker-island/
Agree—the “green” BAM models were not reliable. This storm has brought out a lot of folks who usually could care less about hurricanes, and one happened to ask the question about BAM. Same person would get a kick out of ALL CAPS NHC Discussions by FORECASTER BEVIN.
This is the radar from Guadeloupe:
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/anim_radar_guad_mf_com.html
I will eat my words and apologize to everyone if this hurricane doesn’t do just like Katrina. Those models are steadily going south & West. A front was supposed to turn it too.
I remember it all too well.
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