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Hurricane Irma Live Thread
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse

While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.

Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.

FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM


Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: cat6; category6; florida; hurricane; hurricaneirma; irma; livehurricaneirma; nautinurse; prepper; preppers; puertorico; virginislands
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To: abb

Placemarker


1,041 posted on 09/05/2017 4:47:41 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion ( You)
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To: janetjanet998

I saw that too. Scary...


1,042 posted on 09/05/2017 4:47:59 PM PDT by Paul R. (I don't want to be energy free, we want to be energy dominant in terms of the world. -D. Trump)
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To: janetjanet998
225 MPH winds measured about 500 feet above surface

Seriously? That is the wind speed of an EF5 tornado.

Wow. I have no words.

1,043 posted on 09/05/2017 4:49:00 PM PDT by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: Thunder90
Also consider back routes. The interstates and the Turnpike will be bumper to bumper.

This is excellent advice, and local news was encouraging use of E-W routes toward inland peninsula, where there are multiple routes North.

1,044 posted on 09/05/2017 4:49:38 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: SkyPilot

Very scary for those in the potential path. Surely, it is the perfect storm.


1,045 posted on 09/05/2017 4:51:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: caww

It almost seems like a Biblical storm.


1,046 posted on 09/05/2017 4:51:57 PM PDT by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: janetjanet998

“225 MPH winds measured about 500 feet above surface”

Mountain houses in Antigua will be erased.


1,047 posted on 09/05/2017 4:52:15 PM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: rodguy911

Good luck


1,048 posted on 09/05/2017 4:52:44 PM PDT by angcat (THANK YOU LORD FOR PRESIDENT TRUMP!!!!!)
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To: janetjanet998
...."The weather is a movie,.. the atmosphere the director.... Models are mere scenes in the movie... Must watch the entire movie, not model run"........Joe Bastardi‏
1,049 posted on 09/05/2017 4:54:29 PM PDT by caww
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To: MaskedMan

Yeah, crazy isn’t it? Mostly cause we just don’t know where yet. Sigh. We’ll have more supplies tomorrow, definitely Thursday.

I gassed up yesterday cause I remember how it gets..


1,050 posted on 09/05/2017 4:55:31 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: SkyPilot

Barbuda is in the worst NE quadrant. However it is no picnic on the other islands.


1,051 posted on 09/05/2017 4:55:37 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: janetjanet998

>>what do people think comes out of the tap?

That’s the stuff that’s in the toilet!


1,052 posted on 09/05/2017 4:56:36 PM PDT by Bryanw92 (If we had some ham, we could have ham and eggs, if we had some eggs.)
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To: Rebelbase

Considering pictures of what I’ve seen the average person living in on many of those islands, just about everything is going to be erased.


1,053 posted on 09/05/2017 4:56:39 PM PDT by metmom ( ...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith..)
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To: Thunder90

I-75 on ramp lined up back to where my folks live in Ft. Myers. they are bugging out tomorrow am via back roads. I hope not too late. Not much I can do now.


1,054 posted on 09/05/2017 4:56:57 PM PDT by dynachrome (When an empire dies, you are left with vast monuments in front of which peasants squat to defecate)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...

Location...17.2N 60.5W
About 85 MI...E of Antigua
About 90 MI ESE of Barbuda
Maximum Sustained Winds...185 MPH
Present Movement...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...916 MB...27.50 Inches

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

1,055 posted on 09/05/2017 4:57:01 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: All

8:00 PM Correction above—forward movement 15 mph.


1,056 posted on 09/05/2017 4:58:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: janetjanet998

The way I read that was the eye stays offshore but the stronger winds and surge buzz-saw their way from Biscayne Bay through Miami and halfway up the coast before pulling off-shore somewhat and then slamming in between Augusta, Ga and Hilton Head.

Basically some models now show east flank and some show busting Cuba and Key West and going into the gulf with north gulf coast Florida or panhandle getting the eventual landfall.

Much less consensus than we had 48 hours ago.


1,057 posted on 09/05/2017 4:58:39 PM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: SkyPilot

Wouldn’t want to be in St. Marteen or St. Barts right now.


1,058 posted on 09/05/2017 4:58:40 PM PDT by Godebert (CRUZ: Born in a foreign land to a foreign father.)
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To: txhurl; NautiNurse

I think the BAM variants are rather basic trajectory models; we may be seeing less of them because NOAA recently started using new supercomputers which allow more complex modeling.


1,059 posted on 09/05/2017 4:58:53 PM PDT by Charles Martel (Progressives are the crab grass in the lawn of life.)
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To: abb

Wow. The rain front on that cold front extends from Maine to Texas. Looks like a collision of titans is coming. It has finally lowered our humidity in West Texas.


1,060 posted on 09/05/2017 4:59:01 PM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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