Threat Matrix: December 2007

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[nwctwx]

Calculating the Risks in Pakistan

A small group of U.S. military experts and intelligence officials convened in Washington for a classified war game last year, exploring strategies for securing Pakistan's nuclear arsenal if the country's political institutions and military safeguards began to fall apart.

The secret exercise — conducted without official sponsorship from any government agency, apparently due to the sensitivity of its subject — was one of several such games the U.S. government has conducted in recent years examining various options and scenarios for Pakistan's nuclear weapons: How many troops might be required for a military intervention in Pakistan? Could Pakistani nuclear bunkers be isolated by saturating the surrounding areas with tens of thousands of high-powered mines, dropped from the air and packed with anti-tank and anti-personnel munitions? Or might such a move only worsen the security of Pakistan's arsenal?
Full story...

	Musharraf: U.S. Shares Blame for Pakistan and Afghanistan
	Bin Laden's Message to the Europeans
	Messages from bin Laden Since 9-11

Threat Matrix:
December 2007

November 2007

Threat Matrix Index

Theat Matrix Handbook

Theat Matrix 'BOLO'

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Preparedness

[Cindy]

Yep.

[Cindy]

Yep.

[Cindy]

Adding to Weddings.

Thank you Oorang.

[Velveeta]

AQ probably celebrating today, that’s for sure.

[Velveeta]

>>>musharraf knows his army is filled with AQ supporters and in some way this has to be keeping him ‘on their side’ so to speak...<<<<

IMO, that’s the only way Musharraf has survived all those attempts on own life.

[Velveeta]

Not good at all, my friend.

[Oorang]

Thank you Cindy. I sure do appreciate how you keep things organized. That poor child, on the TV show, is brainwashed beyond belief. Its shocking how the fundamentalists treat their children.

[Cindy]

RECAP AND UPDATES:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1944663/posts
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1944663/posts?page=90#90

#

http://threatswatch.org/rapidrecon/2007/12/bhutto-shot-while-waving-throu/

“Bhutto Shot While Waving Through Sunroof”

ARTICLE SNIPPET: “According to the account told by photographer John Moore of Getty Images, Benazir Bhutto was shot in the neck and chest as she waved to crowds of supporters...”

By Steve Schippert on December 27, 2007 at 5:23 PM

###

http://counterterrorismblog.org/2007/12/report_imminent_statement_expe.php

“Reports: Imminent Statement Expected from Al-Qaida’s Mustafa Abu Yazid Claiming Credit for Bhutto Assassination”
By Evan Kohlmann

SNIPPET: “There are now widespread reports suggesting that an imminent official statement is expected from Egyptian Al-Qaida spokesman Mustafa Abu Yazid claiming responsibility for the assassination of former Pakistani Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto.”

SNIPPET: “This post will be updated as news continues to break.”
December 27, 2007 01:59 PM

###

http://www.memri.org/egypt.html

###

Various Videos:

http://youtube.com/watch?v=SXW22oTDKpA
http://www.cbc.ca/MRL/clips/rm-hi/nichols-3bhutto071227.rm
http://www.zshare.net/video/5955380124a590/
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=8046491442440116819&hl=en
http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/12/27/pakistan.sharif/#cnnSTCVideo

[Cindy]

You’re welcome Oorang.

[Velveeta]

Yasin al-Qadi is still on the US Treasury terrorist list. Interesting.
http://www.treas.gov/offices/enforcement/ofac/actions/20011012.shtml

[Velveeta]

COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS

‘Almost Certainly Al Qaeda’

A Pakistan analyst discusses who killed Benazir Bhutto and what her death will mean for Pakistan.

http://www.newsweek.com/id/82153

[Cindy]

Thanks for that link, Velveeta.

[Velveeta]

My pleasure. :-)

[Cindy]

http://truthusa.com/a/index.php?topic=785.0

###

blog:

http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2007/12/report_islamic_state.php

“Report: Islamic State of Iraq defense minister captured”
By BILL ROGGIODecember 27, 2007 6:09 PM

ARTICLE SNIPPET: “The Iraqi Army claimed to have captured the minister of defense of the Islamic State of Iraq, al Qaeda’s political front organization. Ahmed Turki Abbas was captured after being wounded in a skirmish near Mahmudiyah and “claimed the rank of defense minister,” Qassim al Moussawi, Iraq’s military spokesman told Reuters.

Confirmation on the arrest of Abbas — likely a nom de guerre — has not been given by Multinational Forces Iraq at this time. The Iraqi government has made claims of killing and capturing Abu Omar al Baghdadi several times this year, which turned out to be false reports or cases of mistaken identity.

Abu Ayyub al Masri, the leader of al Qaeda in Iraq, is officially listed as the minister of defense for the Islamic State of Iraq, according to a press release put out by the terror group in April. But over the summer, it became known the Islamic State of Iraq was the invention of al Masri, who serves as the emir, or leader, of the group. Abu Omar al Baghdadi is actually a fictional character played by an Iraqi actor named Abu Abdullah al Naima. This information was revealed after the captured of Abu Muhammad al Mashadani, the former minister of information for the Islamic State of Iraq.

With al Masri serving as the emir of both the Islamic State of Iraq and al Qaeda in Iraq, the portfolio of defense minister was delegated to Abbas, a senior US military intelligence official told The Long War Journal.”

###

blog:

http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2007/12/iraq_11_iranian_spec.php

“Iraq: 11 Special Groups operatives killed in Al Kut”
By BILL ROGGIO
December 27, 2007 4:22 PM

ARTICLE SNIPPET: “US and Iraq forces continue to target the Iranian-backed Special Groups in southern and central Iraq. The latest raid in Al Kut in Wasit province resulted in 11 Special Groups fighters killed, Multinational Forces Iraq reported. Al Kut, a logistical hub for the Special Groups and center of power for Muqtada al Sadr’s Mahdi Army, has seen an uptick in activity over the past two weeks.

Today’s raid in Al Kut targeted “a Special Groups criminal element member reportedly responsible for attacks against Coalition forces and supporters of Coalition forces” who “was also reportedly an associate of criminal element leaders involved in attacks on Coalition forces.”

Coalition Special Forces teams, likely the hunter-killer teams of Task Force 88, took fire as they approached the objective, “returned fire, and called for supporting aircraft to engage.” Multinational Forces Iraq estimated 11 Special Groups fighters were killed in the strike.

The Iraqi Army has been reported to have moved into Al Kut in force, according to Voices of Iraq. Muqtada al Sadr’s office in Al Kut stated US forces fought the Mahdi Army in the city, and four Mahdi fighters were killed and three wounded.”

[Cindy]

http://truthusa.com/a/index.php?topic=784.0

#

Note: The following text is a quote:

http://www.defenselink.mil/news/newsarticle.aspx?id=48533

U.S., Afghan Forces Seize 2 Terrorists, Find Weapons Cache

American Forces Press Service

WASHINGTON, Dec. 27, 2007 – Afghan and U.S. security forces detained two suspected terrorist bombers and seized a weapons cache during separate operations in Afghanistan Dec. 24.

Afghan security troops, advised by coalition forces, disrupted major terrorist networks by arresting two key facilitators responsible for improvised-explosive-device attacks against civilian and military targets.

The combined operations, led by Afghan national police and border police units, were conducted in Kandahar and Paktya provinces.

The first operation involved tracking and arresting an insurgent in the Chamkani district of Paktya province. The insurgent was suspected to be involved in a number of attacks against Afghan National Police and coalition forces operating in the area.

“One individual is a suspected insurgent facilitator, believed to be responsible for coordinating IED attacks and insurgent activity directed against (Afghan security) personnel over the past year,” said Army Maj. Chris Belcher, a Combined Joint Task Force 82 spokesman. “The successful ANP operation should go a long way in disrupting insurgents’ operations in the immediate Chamkani area.”

The arrest also will “dramatically increase force protection in the area,” especially for police and border police vehicles, which have been the primary target of insurgent IED attacks, Belcher added.

The district subgovernor was impressed with the operation and praised the Afghan forces’ efforts to enhance security.

Afghan and coalition security forces also teamed up to remove another dangerous criminal from the streets in Kandahar province during a second operation the same day. The second detained individual is believed to be responsible for IED attacks in Tsagay and Khakrez in November.

The second detainee is also suspected of being a leader of a cell responsible for placing IEDs in five other villages in the region.

“Taliban extremists are deliberately forcing civilians into situations where they are either killed by the insurgents or are at risk of being placed in harm’s way during … security patrols,” Belcher said. “This shows that insurgents don’t have any respect for the villagers in this area.”

Also on Dec. 24, Afghan and coalition security forces discovered a weapons cache atop a ridge line in the Shahidi Hasas District of Oruzgan province.

The combined force was conducting a security sweep of the area after coming under enemy fire the day before. After the insurgents fled the area, Afghan and coalition forces thoroughly searched the enemy’s former defensive position, discovering several weapons, including an IED.

“Our team discovered an IED placed on the only vehicle route across the ridge,” said a coalition forces commander. “We dismantled the IED and brought all of the components back for analysis. We also discovered a Chinese-made anti-personnel mine on the ridge that was emplaced in the sand along the ridgeline.”

The team also found several 82 mm high-explosive mortar rounds hidden in a previously manned enemy fighting position. The weapons were placed in an area where villagers travel and represented a clear danger to residents. Local villagers had left Pasaw and Dosang in November when insurgents moved into the area, but they are starting to return home.

“The Taliban are a destructive force that targets innocent Afghan civilians,” Belcher said. “Displacing villagers and placing IEDs and anti-personnel mines along roadways and trails in these areas shows the Taliban’s complete disregard for the safety of the Afghan people.”

(Compiled from Combined Joint Task Force 82 news releases.)

[Cindy]

ADDING a thread link to go with post no. 1048:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1944948/posts?page=6#6

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1944948/posts

“Russia to set up missile shield for Iran”
The Hindu ^ | 28DEC07 | Vladimir Radyuhin
Posted on 12/27/2007 4:38:57 PM PST by familyop

[Cindy]

...and the Global Jihad and propaganda continues with a pouty guy who is not getting enough media attention, apparently.

#

ekhlaas.org/
ekhlaas.org/forum/
ekhlaas.org/forum/showthread.php?p=723598
http://up-p.net/uploads/77140fc32c.gif

[Cindy]

http://www.rewardsforjustice.net/index.cfm?page=Bin_Laden&language=english

“Wanted
Usama bin Ladin
Up to $25 Million Reward”

[Velveeta]

Nuclear al-Qaida Comes Closer

Thursday, December 27, 2007 12:52 PM

By: Ronald Kessler

The assassination of Pakistan opposition leader Benazir Bhutto brings closer the nightmare of al-Qaida and its affiliates being armed with nuclear weapons, counterterrorism experts tell Newsmax.....

http://www.newsmax.com/kessler/Nuclear_al-Qaida_/2007/12/27/60075.html

[Cindy]

ADDING 1 thread link to post no. 117:

Thanks to Godzilla for the ping to this thread:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1944958/posts

“Breaking News on Terrorist forums: Bin Laden New Speech Coming Soon”
jveritas
Posted on 12/27/2007 5:04:53 PM PST by jveritas