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2004 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/1/2004
TradeSports.com ^
| Monday, March 1, 2004
| Momaw Nadon
Posted on 03/01/2004 1:46:56 PM PST by Momaw Nadon
State |
% Chance of Bush Winning |
Bush Electoral Votes |
Dem Electoral Votes |
Alabama |
95.0 |
9 |
0 |
Alaska |
94.0 |
3 |
0 |
Arizona |
73.0 |
10 |
0 |
Arkansas |
70.0 |
6 |
0 |
California |
17.6 |
0 |
55 |
Colorado |
80.0 |
9 |
0 |
Connecticut |
20.0 |
0 |
7 |
Delaware |
35.0 |
0 |
3 |
District of Columbia |
2.0 |
0 |
3 |
Florida |
68.0 |
27 |
0 |
Georgia |
90.0 |
15 |
0 |
Hawaii |
13.0 |
0 |
4 |
Idaho |
95.0 |
4 |
0 |
Illinois |
23.0 |
0 |
21 |
Indiana |
87.0 |
11 |
0 |
Iowa |
43.0 |
0 |
7 |
Kansas |
91.5 |
6 |
0 |
Kentucky |
88.0 |
8 |
0 |
Louisiana |
80.0 |
9 |
0 |
Maine |
39.0 |
0 |
4 |
Maryland |
17.5 |
0 |
10 |
Massachusetts |
4.0 |
0 |
12 |
Michigan |
47.0 |
0 |
17 |
Minnesota |
41.0 |
0 |
10 |
Mississippi |
94.0 |
6 |
0 |
Missouri |
65.0 |
11 |
0 |
Montana |
91.0 |
3 |
0 |
Nebraska |
94.0 |
5 |
0 |
Nevada |
65.0 |
5 |
0 |
New Hampshire |
58.0 |
4 |
0 |
New Jersey |
16.0 |
0 |
15 |
New Mexico |
58.0 |
5 |
0 |
New York |
15.0 |
0 |
31 |
North Carolina |
85.0 |
15 |
0 |
North Dakota |
95.0 |
3 |
0 |
Ohio |
65.0 |
20 |
0 |
Oklahoma |
93.0 |
7 |
0 |
Oregon |
39.0 |
0 |
7 |
Pennsylvania |
49.0 |
0 |
21 |
Rhode Island |
5.0 |
0 |
4 |
South Carolina |
87.0 |
8 |
0 |
South Dakota |
95.0 |
3 |
0 |
Tennessee |
85.0 |
11 |
0 |
Texas |
93.0 |
34 |
0 |
Utah |
95.0 |
5 |
0 |
Vermont |
7.0 |
0 |
3 |
Virginia |
85.0 |
13 |
0 |
Washington |
35.0 |
0 |
11 |
West Virginia |
47.0 |
0 |
5 |
Wisconsin |
46.0 |
0 |
10 |
Wyoming |
95.0 |
3 |
0 |
Totals |
|
278 |
260 |
TOPICS: Extended News; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Unclassified; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2004; bush; election; electionpresident; electoral; electoralvote; electoralvotes; georgebush; georgewbush; gwb2004; president; presidentbush; presidential; vote; votes
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To: Momaw Nadon
bttfl
41
posted on
03/01/2004 3:07:22 PM PST
by
Cacique
To: SamAdams76
I don't think the Dems will use Florida for their fraud machinations, too many eyes will be looking.
To: Momaw Nadon
Just remember, this is a snapshot taken before Bush has even started to run and Kerry is barely known to most states.
When Bush starts spending money and people see Kerry's history. Bush's numbers will rise sharply.
If Kerry is hurting this bad already, Bush will wipe the walls with him. (He'll still never get in the corners.)
43
posted on
03/01/2004 3:09:47 PM PST
by
Only1choice____Freedom
(The word system implies they have done something the same way at least twice)
To: SamAdams76
Gabby Gephardts last Missouri address was the apartment of his deceased mother. He actually has a home in the Carolinas. He is a shrill, worn-out, tool-of-the-teamsters union. And many of them (and other AFL-CIO) tossed him over the side within hours, if not minutes of his Iowa loss.
Not sure if Republicans can capture his District, but I believe a sincere effort will be launched. Don Federer perhaps.
44
posted on
03/01/2004 3:10:58 PM PST
by
donozark
To: Momaw Nadon
Same as last week, I believe...278 Bush, 260 for Democrat Party Operative.
45
posted on
03/01/2004 3:11:52 PM PST
by
Recovering_Democrat
(I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
To: Momaw Nadon
I'll even say that these are the numbers before most of America has taken a look at John Kerry.
46
posted on
03/01/2004 3:13:45 PM PST
by
atomicpossum
(I wish I had time for a nervous breakdown.)
To: LincolnLover
Why does Texas rank below a few states with only 93%?
One word, Austin.
47
posted on
03/01/2004 3:18:12 PM PST
by
stoney
To: Tall_Texan
if Gephardt gets the Veep nod Truthfully, I'd rather see Gephardt get the nod than Edwards. What do you all think?
48
posted on
03/01/2004 3:37:38 PM PST
by
pctech
To: GiveEmDubya
I wonder, is the major media going to forego their predictions until all the votes are counted this time???
49
posted on
03/01/2004 3:39:11 PM PST
by
pctech
To: Tall_Texan
Particularly Missouri if Gephardt gets the Veep nod. Gephardts never held statewide office here. His congressional district has been gerrymandered so the demographics always favored him. He would get little support outside the St. Louis and KC areas.
If President Bush were to lose Missouri, he would have probably lost other close states like Ohio, West Virginia, New Hampshire, and maybe even Florida.
50
posted on
03/01/2004 3:54:35 PM PST
by
Missouri
To: pctech
I wonder, is the major media going to forego their predictions until all the votes are counted this time??? Who knows. In 2000, they were reckless with making and pulling back calls. In 2002, they were much more controlled. They may or may not be any better this time.
51
posted on
03/01/2004 3:55:40 PM PST
by
GiveEmDubya
(John Kerry has more baggage than a Samsonite warehouse)
To: donozark
However, in 2002 election, AG Ashcroft and Sec. of State Matt Blunt had "observers" present. Read:FEC/FBI/MO HP,etc. They let it be known beforehand that said "observers" would be present. Very little fraud occurred. Such will be the case again in November... This is true. In 2000, Jim Talent lost by about 20,000 votes. In 2002, Jim Talent won by about 20,000 votes. Taming the St. Louis voter fraud machine made the difference in IMHO.
52
posted on
03/01/2004 4:00:06 PM PST
by
Missouri
To: Momaw Nadon
Hasn't moved one iota. In fact, this is exactly the same as 2000, given that the GOP gained 7 electoral votes in redistricting.
53
posted on
03/01/2004 4:07:40 PM PST
by
LS
(CNN is the Amtrack of news.)
To: Diddle E. Squat
Note that this gives Bush NM (which he lost in 2000) and takes away W VA which he won.
54
posted on
03/01/2004 4:09:02 PM PST
by
LS
(CNN is the Amtrack of news.)
To: Only1choice____Freedom
Just remember, this is a snapshot taken before Bush has even started to run and Kerry is barely known to most states. Bingo! Just wait until Kerry starts spewing his garbage for all the country to hear. I bet even some Dims will either flip to Bush or sit out the presidental vote.
To: Missouri
The St.Louis vote "manipulations" have kept us down for years. The CCW map (available @ moccw.org) shows how instrumental they were in defeating the 1999 attempt to pass CCW. 5 years later we are still hassling with it.
If Dems ever get control of DOJ again, we are screwed...This is how they beat Ashcroft, Talent,etc. in years past. Many other state wide candidates fell victim to this Third World mass of corruption in St.L. My regret is that Democrat officials didn't go to prison over it...
56
posted on
03/01/2004 4:36:13 PM PST
by
donozark
To: Diddle E. Squat
While I agree that Oregon is winnable state for Bush, IMHO Washington is a loss.
57
posted on
03/01/2004 4:38:33 PM PST
by
CyberCowboy777
(We should never ever apologize for who we are, what we believe in, and what we stand for.)
To: Momaw Nadon
From the "What if Department"
What if Dick Cheney retires to hunt in Wyoming and Rudy Giuliani becomes the VP candidate. How do you folks think these EV numbers change?
58
posted on
03/01/2004 5:11:37 PM PST
by
Pit1
To: GiveEmDubya
Yeah, but 2002 wasn't a presidential election. With their hatred of Bush well publicized, I wouldn't put it past the major networks to do what they did last time out.
59
posted on
03/01/2004 7:06:25 PM PST
by
pctech
To: pctech
There was such a big deal made about it last time. Though I would not put it past them either, to call states again before the polls close would be stupid on their part.
I hope less people fall for it this time and still vote for Bush.
60
posted on
03/01/2004 7:12:05 PM PST
by
GiveEmDubya
(John Kerry has more baggage than a Samsonite warehouse)
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