Why Is Trump Gaining With Black and Hispanic Voters?

The New York Times ^ | Oct. 13, 2024 Updated 8:58 a.m. ET | Nate Cohn

[E. Pluribus Unum]

In 2016, Donald J. Trump became the Republican nominee and ultimately won the presidency after calling many Mexican immigrants rapists and falsely claiming that Barack Obama was not born in the United States.

Eight years later, the polls suggest that he might well return to the White House by faring better among Black and Hispanic voters combined than any Republican presidential nominee since the enactment of the Civil Rights Act in 1964.

How is this possible? It’s a question I get often, and the latest New York Times/Siena College polls of Black and Hispanic voters nationwide represent our best effort at answering it.

Like our other surveys this cycle, the polls find Mr. Trump faring unusually well for a Republican among Black and Hispanic voters. Overall, Kamala Harris is ahead, 78 percent to 15 percent, among Black voters, and she’s leading, 56-37, among Hispanic voters.

Almost any way we can measure it, Mr. Trump is running as well or better among Black and Hispanic voters as any Republican in recent memory. In 2020, Joe Biden’s Black support was 92 percent among major-party voters; his Hispanic support was 63 percent, according to Times estimates.

The poll offers plenty of insight into Mr. Trump’s strengths and Ms. Harris’s weaknesses, but it does not offer a simple, definitive answer. This may be unsatisfying, but it should not be surprising. After all, analysts are still debating whether Mr. Trump’s strength among white working-class voters is attributable to the economy, racism, ideology, sexism, Hillary Clinton’s liabilities or one of countless other theories. There still isn’t a definitive answer, even with the benefit of the final results and almost a decade of research.

[right way right]

Perhaps Trump support is growing among all groups of people?

[MinorityRepublican]

Now Trump is peaking. Perhaps at the right time (like 2016?)

He need to continue to do rallies. Podcasts with Trump friendly hosts are fine.

No interviews with hostile reporters.

[HIDEK6]

...and falsely claiming ...

We're all getting tired of this bullshit.

[joshua c]

dem policies suck?

no

no

that cant be it

messaging

its got to be messaging

[Pollard]

Why Is Trump Gaining With Black and Hispanic Voters?

Why Is Trump Gaining With actual US citizen Voters?

[Harmless Teddy Bear]

The NYT sure does hate "working-class" people.

Yes.

Which is why they are missing the obvious.

If you are a native born American of what ever ethnicity or shade, you have a target on your back.

They want to replace you with "new people" that will be dependent on them.

To this end they are importing these "new people" and moving them to the front of the line for jobs, housing, medical care, education and government services.

Springfield Ohio is a prime example of this. Native born Americans under Middle Class has been pushed aside completely and those under Upper Middle Class are being told that they must accept being the prey of these "New People".

Upper Middle Class and Rich of course live in gated communities that, thanks to deliveries, they need never leave.

[WeaslesRippedMyFlesh]

Because they are tired of being shit on.

(shouldn’t have tried to kill Trump twice, you woke a lot of people up)

Also, as an aside when does wolf blitzer spontaneously combust?

[Yardstick]

So, what is Cohn’s explanation? The paywall blocked me.

Interesting how much weight the lefties give to Trump doubting Obama’s birth certificate. That’s about all they’ve got to show Trump’s alleged racism. Super flimsy evidence yet it’s what they used to give themselves permission to call him a racist. If Trump were really a racist, they would have something stronger and more recent than that stupid birth certificate thing to point to. But he’s not, so they don’t.

[WeaslesRippedMyFlesh]

Messaging. LOL

Only because they can’t kill everyone who disagrees with them.

Even if they could, who’s gonna work the mines?

[Vaduz]

Only the New York Times has to ask that question staff scratches ass and picks nose.

[Languager]

“Perhaps Trump support is growing among all groups of people?”

That’d be my first guess.

[mass55th]

Because the only black DNA Kamala Harris ever had was what she sucked out of Willie Brown all those years ago.

[mass55th]

"The Democratic Party used to represent the working class."

My father was an FDR Democrat. He used to say that the Democrat Party is the party of the working class. As I got more politically savvy, I told him that the Democrat Party is the party that takes from the working class, and gives it to the people who don't want to work. He died in 1979, and if he was alive today, he wouldn't recognize the RAT party, let alone belong to it.

[flair2000]

On my area, the Trump campaign is airing a hard-hitting ad showing Kamala, in her own words, demanding taxpayer funded sex change operations for convicted murders and illegals.

Pretty much everyone either has experienced some sort of medical expense hardship, or knew someone that did. This ad puts into perspective how little she cares about regular Americans.

[thecodont]

Fewer and fewer people “hate” Trump, and Trump hatred is the strongest arrow in Kam’s quiver.

Those of us who support Trump are now called "cultists." It's their new word.

[thecodont]

The Democrat party is now the party of inherited and windfall wealth. They live off the sweat and toil of their ancestors, parents, and ex-husbands.

They are the Parasite Party, whose appropriate symbol is not the kicking jackass, but the tick buried in someone's arm.

[jmacusa]

“The waking of the reveler from his opium dream; the hideous dropping of the veil''- Edgar Allen Poe.

[Harmless Teddy Bear]

The Democratic Party used to represent the working class. And you had Country Club folks (like George W. Bush) in the Republican Party.

Ah yes, Franklin Delano Roosevelt was Working Class. As was Thomas Woodrow Wilson and John Fitzgerald Kennedy.

Would you like to pull the other leg?

It has bells on it.

[Disambiguator]

Kamala isn’t getting less popular, no no no.

It’s just that her appeal is becoming more selective.

[packrat35]

They hate white people too.