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There's a Reason 90% of Drugs Fail Clinical Trials, And We Can Fix It
https://www.sciencealert.com ^ | February 24, 2022 | DUXIN SUN

Posted on 02/25/2022 5:47:24 AM PST by Red Badger

It takes 10 to 15 years and around US$1 billion to develop one successful drug. Despite these significant investments in time and money, 90 percent of drug candidates in clinical trials fail.

Whether because they don't adequately treat the condition they're meant to target or the side effects are too strong, many drug candidates never advance to the approval stage.

As a pharmaceutical scientist working in drug development, I have been frustrated by this high failure rate. Over the past 20 years, my lab has been investigating ways to improve this process.

We believe that starting from the very early stages of development and changing how researchers select potential drug candidates could lead to better success rates and ultimately better drugs.

How does drug development work? Over the past few decades, drug development has followed what's called a classical process. Researchers start by finding a molecular target that causes disease – for instance, an overproduced protein that, if blocked, could help stop cancer cells from growing.

They then screen a library of chemical compounds to find potential drug candidates that act on that target. Once they pinpoint a promising compound, researchers optimize it in the lab.

VIDEO AT LINK........................

Drug optimization primarily focuses on two aspects of a drug candidate.

First, it has to be able to strongly block its molecular target without affecting irrelevant ones. To optimize for potency and specificity, researchers focus on its structure-activity relationship, or how the compound's chemical structure determines its activity in the body.

Second, it has to be "druglike," meaning able to be absorbed and transported through the blood to act on its intended target in affected organs.

Once a drug candidate meets the researcher's optimization benchmarks, it goes on to efficacy and safety testing, first in animals, then in clinical trials with people.

Why does 90 percent of clinical drug development fail? Only one out of 10 drug candidates successfully passes clinical trial testing and regulatory approval. A 2016 analysis identified four possible reasons for this low success rate.

The researchers found between 40 percent and 50 percent of failures were due to a lack of clinical efficacy, meaning the drug wasn't able to produce its intended effect in people.

Around 30 percent were due to unmanageable toxicity or side effects, and 10-15 percent were due to poor pharmacokinetic properties, or how well a drug is absorbed by and excreted from the body. Lastly, 10 percent of failures were attributed to lack of commercial interest and poor strategic planning.

This high failure rate raises the question of whether there are other aspects of drug development that are being overlooked. On the one hand, it is challenging to truly confirm whether a chosen molecular target is the best marker to screen drugs against.

On the other hand, it's possible that the current drug optimization process hasn't been leading to the best candidates to select for further testing.

(Duxin Sun and Hongxiang Hu)

Above: With each successive step of the drug development process, the probability of success gets increasingly smaller.

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Drug candidates that reach clinical trials need to achieve a delicate balance of giving just enough drug so it has the intended effect on the body without causing harm. Optimizing a drug's ability to pinpoint and act strongly on its intended target is clearly important in how well it's able to strike that balance.

But my research team and I believe that this aspect of drug performance has been overemphasized. Optimizing a drug's ability to reach diseased body parts in adequate levels while avoiding healthy body parts – its tissue exposure and selectivity – is just as important.

For instance, scientists may spend many years trying to optimize the potency and specificity of drug candidates so that they affect their targets at very low concentrations.

But this might be at the expense of ensuring that enough drug is reaching the right body parts and not causing harm to healthy tissue. My research team and I believe that this unbalanced drug optimization process may skew drug candidate selection and affect how it ultimately performs in clinical trials.

Improving the drug development process:

Over the past few decades, scientists have developed and implemented many successful tools and improvement strategies for each step of the drug development process.

These include high-throughput screening that uses robots to automate millions of tests in the lab, speeding up the process of identifying potential candidates; artificial intelligence-based drug design; new approaches to predict and test for toxicity; and more precise patient selection in clinical trials.

Despite these strategies, however, the success rate still hasn't changed by much.

My team and I believe that exploring new strategies focusing on the earliest stages of drug development when researchers are selecting potential compounds may help increase success.

This could be done with new technology, like the gene editing tool CRISPR, that can more rigorously confirm the correct molecular target that causes disease and whether a drug is actually targeting it.

And it could also be done through a new STAR system my research team and I devised to help researchers better strategize how to balance the many factors that make an optimal drug.

Our STAR system gives the overlooked tissue exposure and selectivity aspect of a drug equal importance to its potency and specificity. This means that a drug's ability to reach diseased body parts at adequate levels will be optimized just as much as how precisely it's able to affect its target.

To do this, the system groups drugs into four classes based on these two aspects, along with recommended dosing. Different classes would require different optimization strategies before a drug goes on to further testing.

(Duxin Sun and Hongxiang Hu)

Above: The STAR system provides a systematic way to approach drug candidate selection, taking into account different factors that play a role in how clinically successful a drug may be.

**********************************************************************************************

A Class I drug candidate, for instance, would have high potency/specificity as well as high tissue exposure/selectivity. This means it would need only a low dose to maximize its efficacy and safety and would be the most desirable candidate to move forward.

A Class IV drug candidate, on the other hand, would have low potency/specificity as well as low tissue exposure/selectivity. This means it likely has inadequate efficacy and high toxicity, so further testing should be terminated.

Class II drug candidates have high specificity/potency and low tissue exposure/selectivity, which would require a high dose to achieve adequate efficacy but may have unmanageable toxicity. These candidates would require more cautious evaluation before moving forward.

Finally, Class III drug candidates have relatively low specificity/potency but high tissue exposure/selectivity, which may require a low to medium dose to achieve adequate efficacy with manageable toxicity. These candidates may have a high clinical success rate but are often overlooked.

Realistic expectations for drug development Having a drug candidate reach the clinical trial stage is a big deal for any pharmaceutical company or academic institution developing new drugs. It's disappointing when the years of effort and resources spent to push a drug candidate to patients so often lead to failure.

Improving the drug optimization and selection process may significantly improve success of a given candidate.

Although the nature of drug development may not make reaching a 90 percent success rate easily achievable, we believe that even moderate improvements can significantly reduce the cost and time it takes to find a cure for many human diseases. Duxin Sun, Professor of Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Michigan.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Health/Medicine; History; Science
KEYWORDS: bigpharma; clinicaltrials
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To: riri
Female psychology is interesting, if nothing else

And it takes a damn long time to get the hang of it.

Too soon old, too late smart.

21 posted on 02/25/2022 8:17:57 AM PST by Jim Noble (Who saves the nation breaks no law)
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To: Old Yeller

It’s not going to hurt, any road. There are all kinds of garlic capsules, gels, tablets, etc, available in the vitamins aisle at the grocery store. I didn’t say “And your hair will grow back!” - that was just something that happened as well. I told him to take garlic because it will keep you from getting sick during flu season. He didn’t believe me and wouldn’t take it - or any other vitamin - at first. But the thing is, he used to get sick - like, really sick with URI symptoms - a couple of times a year. He saw that even though I was constantly exposed to him, I didn’t get sick. He started taking garlic on a daily basis and he stopped getting sick so much - when he does get something like a cold, it only lasts for a day or two. He’s around gobs of people all day at his job and has a lot of toxic and dust exposures.

His hair growing back was just something else that happened. It’s nice healthy hair where there was only baldness in 2010 when I moved in here. Like I said, he looks like Beethoven now.

Your doctor may tell you not to take garlic because it thins your blood. If you’re on a blood thinning agent it could conceivably cause a problem. However, getting sick with colds and flu on a regular basis is, I think, quite bad for your overall health. Just my non-medical opinion based on available evidence.

A friend’s grandmother in her 80s started taking garlic at his suggestion, however - this may interest you as well - and she also experienced regrowth of her thinning hair. She reported that some of the hair that was growing back was its original color.

If you complain of thinning hair to a medical doctor, he might put you on anabolic steroids - hormones, in other words. These are very powerful drugs. Garlic might make your breath smell kinda rank - most of the capsules they have now have no odor however. It might make you feel pukey if you take more than one capsule a day. But steroids.....


22 posted on 02/25/2022 8:18:09 AM PST by Scarlett156 (Vaping is for homosexuals. )
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To: BipolarBob

Diamonds are a girl’s best friend.


23 posted on 02/25/2022 8:19:06 AM PST by Scarlett156 (Vaping is for homosexuals. )
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To: Scarlett156

Best Broadway line:

“But stiff back or stiff knees you stand straight at Tiffany’s”


24 posted on 02/25/2022 8:21:06 AM PST by Jim Noble (Who saves the nation breaks no law)
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To: Scarlett156

https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/N6uEMOeDZsA?playlist=N6uEMOeDZsA&autoplay=1&iv_load_policy=3&loop=1&modestbranding=1&start=


25 posted on 02/25/2022 8:51:29 AM PST by BipolarBob (The roar of the masses could be "Let's Go Brandon".)
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To: Red Badger

Where does this piece fit in: It has to be patentable?


26 posted on 02/25/2022 8:54:19 AM PST by Honest Nigerian
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To: Honest Nigerian

If it isn’t anybody could make it, even if they stole it from your lab.............


27 posted on 02/25/2022 8:58:21 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Red Badger

I remember reading, years ago, that new cancer drugs can only be tested on patients, AFTER they have undergone chemo treatments. Don’t know if that is still true.


28 posted on 02/25/2022 9:49:06 AM PST by aimhigh (THIS is His commandment . . . . 1 John 3:23)
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To: Red Badger
There's a Reason 90% of Drugs Fail Clinical Trials

90% of everything is crap, including this article. Similar to Pareto's 80/20 principle, it's a built-in feature of the Universe and can't be fixed. Starting long before the event of "getting lucky", everything that follows is also a Hail Mary pass. Knowing this, and with God's blessing, the secret of success is to keep trying and never give up.

29 posted on 02/25/2022 9:53:30 AM PST by Reeses
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To: EEGator
There is a reason I have an herb garden. And a flower garden.

About the only thing you can not reasonably make is antibiotics and steroids.

Mild pain killers are also hard to make. Never understood why people in those Apocalypse stories are always so delighted by finding opiates. I can whip up some "knock you for a loop" pain killers in no time.

What is hard is coming up with something like ibuprofen that will take care of aches and pains without leaving you looping or tossing your cookies.

30 posted on 02/25/2022 10:03:32 AM PST by Harmless Teddy Bear (It is better to light a single flame thrower then curse the darkness. A bunch of them is better yet)
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To: Harmless Teddy Bear

Sort of off topic, but I started University majoring in Chemical Engineering.
In one of my labs, it came with a book with lab instructions.
In the book it showed the final chemical formulas for TNT, Cocaine, LSD, and some other chemical compounds.
I found it odd that this was given to creative and intelligent males in their 20’s...


31 posted on 02/25/2022 10:11:27 AM PST by EEGator
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To: EEGator
Same reason the high school texts used to show you how to make stink bombs and small explosives?

It got you interested.

Now it is all so deadly dull. You never get any sparks or small booms. Everything is "safe".

I have noticed a lack of ability to improvise in young people.

It does not even cross their minds that if you do not have a certain tool that another might get the job done. Not sure if it is schools or video games.

Video game crafting is dependent on you having the exact right stuff to make something. You don't have a camera you can not make a sniper rifle. There is no way to jury rig something that will work or any alternatives. I understand because it is a game and there are limits but it seems to have limited their imagination as well.

32 posted on 02/25/2022 11:29:04 AM PST by Harmless Teddy Bear (It is better to light a single flame thrower then curse the darkness. A bunch of them is better yet)
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To: BipolarBob

I want a new drug.
Because I’ve tried all the others and, well....


33 posted on 02/25/2022 2:30:19 PM PST by Scarlett156 (Vaping is for homosexuals. )
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