Top US health official says the coronavirus is 10 times more lethal than the seasonal flu
that 10 times figure actually brings the new coronavirus’ fatality rate lower than official estimates, which hover around 3 percent...
Which means we will ALL LIVE if we get it and we’re under 80 and don’t have another condition, with VERY FEW exceptions.
But let the panicking begin.... :)
technically speaking we probably can not pin point what the exact rate is since it’s different in every country. But I believe it is pretty high.
I think they know this is an extinction level event. They only need to keep us calm for another week or so, by then we’ll all be dead, Dead...DEAD!
Based upon the known cases. Many more unknown because of little testing.
How many in the US are affected and how many have dies so far? Minuscule compared to the deaths from regular flu this season so which is the more virulent?
Cold and Flu season basically ends in April. Its reasonable to expect this to start winding down soon.
But what is impossible to factor in is the number of people with cases so mild they think they have a cold and never see the doctor or get tested.
Read my tagline. About this time last year I got the damn Norovirus. Remember that? Same news stories about cruise ships (I refused to EVER do a cruise ship gig), two schools in town closed. Got a note from the doctor saying I couldn’t return to work until a specified date.
https://www.businessinsider.com/south-korea-coronavirus-testing-death-rate-2020-3?op=1
Meanwhile the regular old flu always kills thousands every single year. Here's a CNN link from 2018, when 80,000 people died of the yearly flu in one year, in the US alone. I can't remember...did we run out of toilet paper then?
https://www.cnn.com/2018/09/26/health/flu-deaths-2017--2018-cdc-bn/index.html
Here's a key quote form the CNN article:
In previous seasons, flu-related deaths have ranged from a low of about 12,000 during the 2011-2012 season to a high of about 56,000 during the 2012-2013.
10x the mortality presumably means 10x the ICU beds needed. During a bad flu season, ICU’s are stretched to the breaking point. The following is what happened in 2018:
We are pretty much at capacity, and the volume is certainly different from previous flu seasons, says Dr. Alfred Tallia, professor and chair of family medicine at the Robert Wood Johnson Medical Center in New Brunswick, New Jersey. Ive been in practice for 30 years, and its been a good 15 or 20 years since Ive seen a flu-related illness scenario like weve had this year.
Tallia says his hospital is managing, but just barely, at keeping up with the increased number of sick patients in the last three weeks. The hospitals urgent-care centers have also been inundated, and its outpatient clinics have no appointments available.]
So its about the same threat level as the Spanish Flu. A once in a century pandemic.
The world won’t end, but things are going to change for a year or two.
It sounds like this is the meeting that PDJT didnt attend this morning because of an emergency White House meeting on the same issue.
Trump calls emergency meeting with top US health officials at the White House Wednesday
So Dr. Anthony Fauci probably wasnt directing his concern about coronavirus to PDJTs ear.
Corrections welcome.
Trump obviously planted him to take down Trump! Man, this conspiracy is a complicated one, even Trump’s in on it!!
PROBABLY...HMMMM.
They don't know shit because the pool is so low that valid stats are just a guess.
They will always over hype the bad, just to cover their own ass, in case it is bad.
They do not know, and the media will take the uncertainty and over blow it, because Trumpvirus bad.
well... it mostly kills old men.. so... I suggest all older men simply start identifing as women!
ROFL
Hey! Liberals say that’s all it takes!
That would put it at 1%, mostly people over 80.
At 1% death rate, if it infected as many as flu typically does, coronavirus would kill between 90,000 and 450,000 in the USA if no special countermeasures were taken.
I’m thinking it’s far lower than 1%, but it seems to be very contagious like norovirus, more than flu.
I’d guess # of infections badly underestimated, death rate badly overestimated.
10x more lethal than flu.
Seasonal flu is about .1%
So this puts it under 1%.
There are 20,000 deaths from normal ‘flu’ season.
This is 10 times more deadly, and 17 times more contagious.
20,000 x 10 x 17 = 3,400,000.
That’s a bunch of people.