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Universe’s Expansion Defies Explanation: New Data Shatters Cosmological Models
Scitech Daily ^ | January 19, 2025 | Marie Claire Chelini, Duke University

Posted on 01/20/2025 6:10:09 AM PST by Red Badger

The Hubble tension grows: new data shows the Universe’s expansion defies current physics models, suggesting our understanding of cosmology may need a major overhaul. Credit: SciTechDaily.com

New research confirms the Universe is expanding faster than theoretical models predict, intensifying the Hubble tension.

Using precise measurements of the Coma cluster, scientists recalibrated the cosmic distance ladder, suggesting flaws in existing cosmological models.

Expanding Universe: A Startling Discovery

The Universe appears to be expanding faster than expected — faster than theoretical models predict and beyond what our current understanding of physics can explain.

New measurements have confirmed earlier, highly debated results showing this unexpected rate of expansion. The gap between these findings and established models is known as the Hubble tension. Now, research published in Astrophysical Journal Letters offers even stronger evidence that the Universe is growing at a faster pace.

“The tension now turns into a crisis,” said Dan Scolnic, who led the research team.

Intensifying Cosmic Dilemma

Since Edwin Hubble’s 1929 discovery that the Universe is expanding, determining the precise rate of this expansion — called the Hubble constant — has been a cornerstone of cosmological research.

Scolnic, an associate professor of Physics at Duke University, explains it as trying to build the Universe’s growth chart: we know what size it had at the Big Bang, but how did it get to the size it is now? In his analogy, the Universe’s baby picture represents the distant Universe, the primordial seeds of galaxies. The Universe’s current headshot represents the local Universe, which contains the Milky Way and its neighbors. The standard model of cosmology is the growth curve connecting the two. The problem is: things don’t connect.

Universe’s Expansion Rate Widens With New Hubble Data

This illustration shows the three basic steps astronomers use to calculate how fast the universe expands over time, a value called the Hubble constant. All the steps involve building a strong “cosmic distance ladder,” by starting with measuring accurate distances to nearby galaxies and then moving to galaxies farther and farther away. This “ladder” is a series of measurements of different kinds of astronomical objects with an intrinsic brightness that researchers can use to calculate distances. Credit: NASA, ESA and A. Feild (STScI)

The Broken Model of Cosmology

“This is saying, to some respect, that our model of cosmology might be broken,” said Scolnic.

Measuring the Universe requires a cosmic ladder, which is a succession of methods used to measure the distances to celestial objects, with each method, or “rung,” relying on the previous for calibration.

The ladder used by Scolnic was created by a separate team using data from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), which is observing more than 100,000 galaxies every night from its vantage point at the Kitt Peak National Observatory.

Scolnic recognized that this ladder could be anchored closer to Earth with a more precise distance to the Coma Cluster, one of the galaxy clusters nearest to us.

Coma Cluster Dark Energy Camera

Extremely precise measurements of the distance between the Earth and the Coma cluster of galaxies provide new evidence for the Universe’s faster-than-expected rate of expansion. Credit: CTIO/NOIRLab/DOE/NSF/AURA, Image Processing: D. de Martin & M. Zamani (NSF NOIRLab)

Precise Measurements Challenge Established Theories

“The DESI collaboration did the really hard part, their ladder was missing the first rung,” said Scolnic. “I knew how to get it, and I knew that that would give us one of the most precise measurements of the Hubble constant we could get, so when their paper came out, I dropped absolutely everything and worked on this non-stop.”

To get a precise distance to the Coma cluster, Scolnic and his collaborators, with funding from the Templeton foundation, used the light curves from 12 Type Ia supernovae within the cluster. Just like candles lighting a dark path, Type Ia supernovae have a predictable luminosity that correlates to their distance, making them reliable objects for distance calculations.

The team arrived at a distance of about 320 million light-years, nearly in the center of the range of distances reported across 40 years of previous studies — a reassuring sign of its accuracy.

“This measurement isn’t biased by how we think the Hubble tension story will end,” said Scolnic. “This cluster is in our backyard, it has been measured long before anyone knew how important it was going to be.”

Using this high-precision measurement as a first rung, the team calibrated the rest of the cosmic distance ladder. They arrived at a value for the Hubble constant of 76.5 kilometers per second per megaparsec, which essentially means that the local Universe is expanding 76.5 kilometers per second faster every 3.26 million light-years.

Bridge Diagram Showing Different Measurements of the Hubble Constant An artist’s impression showing the different measurements of the Hubble constant by different missions and methods. Special thanks to Adam Riess, who invented the original version of this illustratioon. Key: CMB (cosmic microwave background), WMAP (Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe), BAO (Baryonic Acoustic Oscillation), BB (Big Bang) nucleosynthesis, DES (Dark Energy Survey), Lambda CDM (Lambda Cold Dark Matter), TRGB (Tip of the red-giant branch). Credit: NOIRLab/NSF/AURA/J. da Silva

This value matches existing measurements of the expansion rate of the local Universe. However, like all of those measurements, it conflicts with measurements of the Hubble constant using predictions from the distant Universe. In other words: it matches the Universe’s expansion rate as other teams have recently measured it, but not as our current understanding of physics predicts it. The longstanding question is: is the flaw in the measurements or in the models?

Scolnic’s team’s new results adds tremendous support to the emerging picture that the root of the Hubble tension lies in the models.

“Over the last decade or so, there’s been a lot of re-analysis from the community to see if my team’s original results were correct,” said Scolnic, whose research has consistently challenged the Hubble constant predicted using the standard model of physics. “Ultimately, even though we’re swapping out so many of the pieces, we all still get a very similar number. So, for me, this is as good of a confirmation as it’s ever gotten.”

Challenging the Models of Cosmology

“We’re at a point where we’re pressing really hard against the models we’ve been using for two and a half decades, and we’re seeing that things aren’t matching up,” said Scolnic. “This may be reshaping how we think about the Universe, and it’s exciting! There are still surprises left in cosmology, and who knows what discoveries will come next?”

Reference:

“The Hubble Tension in Our Own Backyard: DESI and the Nearness of the Coma Cluster”

by Daniel Scolnic, Adam G. Riess, Yukei S. Murakami, Erik R. Peterson, Dillon Brout, Maria Acevedo, Bastien Carreres, David O. Jones, Khaled Said, Cullan Howlett and Gagandeep S. Anand, 15 January 2025, The Astrophysical Journal Letters.

DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/ada0bd

Scolnic, D., Riess, A.G., Murakami, Y.S., Peterson, E.R., Brout, D., Acevedo, M., Carreres, B., Jones, D.O., Said, K., Howlett, C. and Anand, G.S., 2025. The Hubble Tension in our own Backyard: DESI and the Nearness of the Coma Cluster. The Astrophysical Journal Letters, 979, L9. DOI 10.3847/2041-8213/ada0bd

This work was conducted with funding from the Templeton Foundation, the Department of Energy, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the Sloan Foundation, the National Science Foundation and NASA.


TOPICS: Astronomy; History; Science; Weird Stuff
KEYWORDS: astronomy; astrophysics; bigbang; darkenergy; darkforce; darkmatter; physics; science; speedofdark; steadystate; stringtheory
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1 posted on 01/20/2025 6:10:09 AM PST by Red Badger
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To: MtnClimber; SunkenCiv; rktman; mowowie; SuperLuminal; Cottonbay

The Universe is expanding faster that they thought.

But what is it expanding into?..................


2 posted on 01/20/2025 6:10:57 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger

The universe is too big. We’re going to run out of space!


3 posted on 01/20/2025 6:13:41 AM PST by Larry Lucido (Donate! Don't just post clickbait!)
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To: Red Badger

Only God Almighty knows...


4 posted on 01/20/2025 6:14:44 AM PST by woweeitsme
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To: Red Badger

hubble hubble toil and trouble


5 posted on 01/20/2025 6:15:03 AM PST by Bob434
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To: Red Badger

If it can expand it must be finite. If it’s finite what’s around it making it finite? Nothingness? How can nothingness contain (surround) somethingness?
Is a puzzlement.


6 posted on 01/20/2025 6:15:17 AM PST by Buttons12 ( )
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To: Red Badger

My question exactly. If I could fly fast enough to get to the edge of the universe, where would I be?


7 posted on 01/20/2025 6:15:31 AM PST by redangus ( )
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To: Red Badger

Stacy abrams?


8 posted on 01/20/2025 6:15:56 AM PST by Bob434
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To: Red Badger

When they did their calculations, they forgot to carry the two.


9 posted on 01/20/2025 6:18:26 AM PST by Jonty30 (If you ate your twin in the womb, your pronouns should be we/us.)
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To: Red Badger

Job 38: 1-7
Then the Lord spoke to Job out of the storm. He said:

2 “Who is this that obscures my plans
with words without knowledge?
3 Brace yourself like a man;
I will question you,
and you shall answer me.
4 “Where were you when I laid the earth’s foundation?
Tell me, if you understand.
5 Who marked off its dimensions? Surely you know!
Who stretched a measuring line across it?
6 On what were its footings set,
or who laid its cornerstone—
7 while the morning stars sang together
and all the angels[a] shouted for joy?


10 posted on 01/20/2025 6:19:03 AM PST by xp38
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To: redangus

Undefined, because space can only defined where there is matter.


11 posted on 01/20/2025 6:19:07 AM PST by Jonty30 (If you ate your twin in the womb, your pronouns should be we/us.)
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To: redangus

How would you know when you got there?...............


12 posted on 01/20/2025 6:19:26 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Buttons12

There is an old adage about a campfire.

The bigger the fire the further you can see into the darkness.

That is where we are right now—learning enough to realize we really have no clue what is going on...


13 posted on 01/20/2025 6:19:45 AM PST by cgbg (It is time to pull the Deep State out of the mass media--like ticks from a dog.)
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To: Red Badger

THOUSANDS of years, not billions and billions and billions.


14 posted on 01/20/2025 6:19:59 AM PST by faucetman (Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts )
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To: xp38; Jonty30

15 posted on 01/20/2025 6:20:38 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Bob434

Dark Matter.........................


16 posted on 01/20/2025 6:21:25 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger

until it stops and starts contracting (meaning more creation matter=energy). The Cabalists called it tzimtzum.


17 posted on 01/20/2025 6:21:36 AM PST by Eli Kopter (Gentle elves set light to lead the Faroes on the starry way from age to age - U. of Faroe Islands)
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To: Red Badger

Given the extent of galaxies and other structures plainly visible in the universe with the Web telescope, the issue of expansion is not really relevant any more.

The concept of the red shift becomes meaninglessly irrelevant given the now visible an infinite number of galaxies containing infinity to the infinity power of stars.


18 posted on 01/20/2025 6:22:09 AM PST by bert ( (KE. NP. +12) Where is ZORRO when California so desperately needs him?)
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To: Red Badger

Is it okay to question the science now?

I must have missed the memo.


19 posted on 01/20/2025 6:23:57 AM PST by cockroach_magoo (In the land of the deaf, the one-eared man is king.)
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To: Eli Kopter

Some theorize the Universe is like a yo-yo on a rubber band...............


20 posted on 01/20/2025 6:24:35 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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