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Tropical Storm Rafael formed south of Jamaica in the Caribbean Sea. The forecast anticipates strengthening into a hurricane south of Western Cuba, before advancing northwest into the Gulf of Mexico later this week. Given significant uncertainties in the long-range forecast track and intensity, it is too soon to determine what, if any, impacts could occur. Watches and warnings have been issued for the Lower and Middle FL Keys, Cayman Islands, Jamaica, and Western Cuba. Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating. NHC Public Advisories NHC Discussions Tropical Tidbits by Levi Cowan News: NOLA.comFL Keys NewsWLOX...

A​ tropical storm is expected to form in the northwest Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico and eventually head toward either Florida or the northern Gulf Coast late this week, but details on its potential intensity, track and timing remain uncertain. Interests along the entire U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the situation closely and stay updated on how the forecast unfolds in the days ahead.

The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season is finally heating up. The tropical system which could be Francine is developing in the Bay of Campeche. The storm is forecast to move toward the NW Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the Texas and Louisiana coastline should monitor the progress of Potential Tropical Cyclone Six, and additional watches or warnings could be required later tonight or tomorrow. All links and images are self-updating Mash images to enlarge Public AdvisoriesNHC DiscussionsNWS Lake Charles, LANWS Houston/Galveston

Tropical Storm Beryl is making a slow, ruinous passage out of Houston, where it is flooding highways and knocking out power lines. As of 3 p.m. local time Monday, as the eye of the storm moved over the western Houston suburbs, more than 2.7 million Texans were without power, according to tracking site PowerOutage.us. Much of the already flood-prone city has experienced 5 to 8 inches of rain, with some particularly unlucky neighborhoods experiencing more than 10, according to Harris County’s Flood Warning System. Homes in Houston’s lower-income northeast have flooded, one nonprofit told The Hill, as have many of...

T​ropical Storm Alberto will track into Mexico through Thursday, while also spreading heavy rain, coastal flooding, rip currents, high surf and isolated tornado impacts into parts of Texas. Here's where this system is located now and where it's headed: Alberto formed a few hundred miles south-southeast of Brownsville, Texas, late Wednesday morning. It won't stay over water much longer and is expected to track into Mexico by Thursday morning with little strengthening anticipated. Alberto is centered just under 300 miles south-southeast of Brownsville, Texas, and is moving to the west.

The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes. Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images...

The National Hurricane Center has issued Tropical Storms Watches for parts of Florida and Cuba as all eyes are focused on the Potential Tropical Cyclone One in southern Gulf of Mexico.Whether the system organizes into a tropical storm or not, the Florida Peninsula and the Keys will see heavy rain and gusty winds beginning tonight as the system tracks in the direction of the Sunshine State....On the forecast track, Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Alex before landfall on Saturday in Southwest Florida.

Tropical Storm Mindy has formed in the NE Gulf of Mexico Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating. GOES Satellite NHC Public Advisories NHC Discussions Tropical Tidbits by Levi Cowan FL Radar

Henri formed in the mid-Atlantic. After initially following a loopy southward and westward track, Henri is forecast to move northward toward New England. Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating. GOES Satellite Floater NHC Public Advisories NHC Forecast Discussions Buoy Info Tropical Tidbits by Levi Cowan NWS Radar

Residents of New England and the Northeastern coast should closely monitor what is forecast to become Hurricane Henri for potential impacts on Sunday. As of 0500 ET, Tropical Storm Henri was located about 500 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and approximately 800 miles south of Nantucket, Massachusetts. The storm has maximum sustained winds of around 70 mph and is moving west at nine mph. It’s likely the storm could be upgraded to a hurricane Friday afternoon. The latest National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) cone of uncertainty model of Henri forecasts the storm to take a sharp turn north Thursday...

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring Potential Tropical Cyclone 6, which is set to become Tropical Storm Fred as early as Tuesday. As of 0500 ET, Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 is 65 miles southwest of Guadeloupe, an island group in the southern Caribbean Sea. NHC states the storm has a 90% chance of developing into a tropical storm over the next 48 hours. WFTV Orlando’s Meteorologist Brian Shields expects Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 to be upgraded to Tropical Storm Fred “soon.” He expects the storm will soon “impact Puerto Rico as a tropical storm, and then move into the Dominican...

A trio of tropical disturbances are developing in the Atlantic basin and should be closely watched next week. Two of the disturbances have the chance of forming into tropical depressions in the next five days. July was a quiet period after an active start (June 1) to the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, but statistically, the busiest part of the hurricane season begins on Aug. 20. It seems a significant uptick in storms is ahead. The first disturbance is a low-pressure system over the west-central Atlantic. The second disturbance is more east and is moving westward in the central tropical Atlantic....

At least 50 million Americans are under flash flood watch Friday morning as Tropical Storm Elsa traverses the East Coast, unleashing torrential rains and tropical force winds. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), as of 0500 ET, Elsa was about 5 miles east of Atlantic City, New Jersey. As Elsa moves near Long Island and southern and coastal New England today, heavy rainfall could lead to considerable flash and urban flooding. Tropical storm conditions should continue along portions of the mid-Atlantic coast early this morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the southern New England states and...

Tropical Storm Elsa has developed in the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, about 2500 miles east of the U.S. mainland. Interests in Florida should monitor updates to the forecast for this system, but it is too soon to determine what, if any, impacts could occur there next week given the uncertainty in the long-range forecast.Elsa is moving at a rapid clip, which may limit strengthening in the short term. Also, the potential interaction of the storm with the mountainous land masses of the Greater Antilles later in the forecast period could disrupt the circulation somewhat. Mash the graphics below to enlarge....

The National Hurricane Center has issued a tropical storm warning for parts of the South Carolina coast due to the formation of a tropical depression. The warning is for citizens from Edisto Beach northeastward to South Santee River. The warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected this evening, within the next 12 hours. The weather service said some slight strengthening is expected today, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before it makes landfall. Rapid weakening is forecast after landfall occurs. Heavy rainfall is possible from coastal southern South Carolina and Georgia, inland across the Piedmont...

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is tracking three tropical disturbances, one off the coast of North Carolina, one in the Gulf of Mexico, and another off the western African coast. The Atlantic hurricane season began on June 1 and extends into late November. On Monday, NHC’s focus is on “Disturbance 1,” located about 90 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The disturbance has a 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours. NHC said the disturbance “is acquiring more tropical characteristics.” However, the system could move northeastward away from the US to colder waters south of Nova Scotia on...

There have never been two hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico at the same time before. Next week for the first time on record, two hurricanes could hit the Gulf of Mexico at the same time. Twice before, in 1959 and 1933, two tropical storms have entered the Gulf at the same time. But never before have both been hurricanes.

Just heard on the Weather Channel that there are 2.6 million power outages from NC to NY. Ugly! No article link.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to become the first hurricane of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season east of the Lesser Antilles, but its forecast once it reaches the Windward Islands this weekend is highly uncertain. Gonzalo is located over 1,000 miles east of the southern Windward Islands, moving west. A hurricane watch has been issued for Barbados, where hurricane conditions are possible on Saturday.

Summary of upcoming weather with a detailed explanation.