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Keyword: probability

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  • Baby Beagles

    02/15/2003 10:33:37 AM PST · by lockeliberty · 23 replies · 100+ views
    Myself
    A shopkeeper says she has two new baby beagles to show you, but she doesn't know whether they're male, female, or a pair. You tell her that you want only a male, and she telephones the fellow who's giving them a bath. "Is at least one a male?" she asks him. Yes! she informs you with a smile. What is the probability that the other one is a male?
  • So God's really in the details?

    06/29/2002 7:42:38 PM PDT · by Illbay · 7 replies · 59+ views
    New York Times via The Houston Chronicle ^ | June 29, 2002 | Emily Eakin
    So God's really in the details?By EMILY EAKINNew York Times Economists use probability theory to make forecasts about consumer spending. Actuaries use it to calculate insurance premiums. Recently, Richard Swinburne, a professor of philosophy at Oxford University, put it to work toward less mundane ends: He invoked it to defend the belief that Jesus was resurrected from the dead. "For someone dead for 36 hours to come to life again is, according to the laws of nature, extremely improbable," Swinburne told an audience of more than 100 philosophers who had convened at Yale University for a conference on ethics and...