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>>>SEE PAST PROJECTIONS. THE MOST EXTENSIVE POLL AVERAGES, PERIOD. Political Ref's Poll AverageHarris +0.2Harris 48.3, Trump 48.1Sample Size: 39,900 VOTERSTheoretical Margin of Error: 0.5% Sample Model: 2020 Exit Poll Turnout Model (Polls that did not use 2020 Exit Poll model were adapted to it, justifying a margin of error)LATEST NATIONAL POLLS POLL RESULT SUMMARY (SEE FULL RESULTS & EXPLANATIONS BELOW)Poll & Average Error Over Last Two Presidential ElectionsDateSample + ID Bias AdjustmentsHarrisTrump MarginPollster AvgRef's AvgNYT / SIENNA10/20-10/232516LV. Party ID: 31D/30I/32R. Gender ID: 48/51 M/F. Education ID: 40/60 BA+/NoBA. Racial ID: 65/9/11/3/3 W/B/L/A/O. Age ID: 13/22/33/29 18-30-45-65+. Regional ID: 22/20/35/24 N/M/S/W....

These poll averages look at every poll's sample and cross-tabs. Nothing goes into the average without determining exactly where bias exists. Bias is corrected before including. *LATEST HEADLINES 24/7Current Electoral Projection: Trump 296 TOSSUP 16 Harris 226 ALL BATTLEGROUND STATE LINKS:AZ - GA - NC - MI - PA - WI - NVClick Here to See My Turnout AssumptionsBattleground StatesPOLITICAL REF'S AVERAGES (48/50)POLLSTER AVERAGES-LIKELY DEMLEAN DEMTOSSUPLEAN GOPLIKELY GOPARIZONA Trump +2.8Trump +2.8GEORGIA Trump +1.5Trump +1.6MICHIGAN Trump +1.7Trump +1.6NEVADA TIEDHarris +0.3N. CAR.Trump +1.8Trump +1.2PENN.Trump +1.1Trump +0.7WISCONSIN Trump +0.4Harris +0.2POLLS ARE ONLY ONE FACTOR, additional factors include my assessment of turnout, 2020 results...