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the obvious sampling bias in the latest ABC / Washington Post poll that showed a 12-point national advantage for Hillary. Like many of the recent polls from Reuters, ABC and The Washington Post, this latest poll included a 9-point sampling bias toward registered democrats. ... for all of you out there who still aren't convinced that the polls are rigged, we present to you the following Podesta email, leaked earlier today, that conveniently spells out, in startling detail, exactly how to rig them. The email starts out with a request for recommendations on "oversamples for polling" in order to "maximize...

I’ve got good news and bad news for Hot Air readers today. First, the good news: After a few years of embarrassing sample skew problems in the CBS/NYT polls, the two media outlets have partnered with Quinnipiac, at least for this week’s look at three swing states — Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.  The bad news?  I’m not sure the new partnership improved things. First, let’s look at CBS’ lead on the new poll numbers, which they tout as good news for Barack Obama and bad news for Mitt Romney: President Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely voters in Ohio and...

Bush Victory Portents Five months before the election, President Bush has been taking a pounding in the press, and his poll numbers are suffering. Scott Elliott's ElectionProjections.com--which estimates the probable 2004 results by applying a formula that adjusts each state's 2000 margin based on current national opinion polls--shows Kerry beating Bush, 337 electoral votes to 201, with a popular vote total of 52.87% to Bush's 45.3%. Elliott's formula has Kerry picking up six of 2000's red states--Arizona, Florida, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire and Ohio--along with every state Gore won. Of course, late-spring polls don't necessarily predict the election outcome. In...