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Keyword: exitpolls

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  • McCain Voters Less Likely To Respond To Exit Pollsters

    10/31/2008 6:52:03 AM PDT · by Numbers Guy · 32 replies · 958+ views
    National Review Online ^ | 10/31/2008 | Jim Geraghty
    Obviously, it's tough to measure the attitudes of those who refuse to talk to pollsters, but this question in Fox News' latest survey confirms a long-held suspicion: 40. Every election, the television networks conduct exit polls of people as they leave their polling places on Election Day. If you were asked to participate, how likely is it you would be willing to spend 10 minutes filling out a questionnaire? Obama voterswho responded very likely/somewhat likely: 77 percent. McCain voters who responded very likely/somewhat likely: 64 percent. Obama voters who responded not very likely/not at all likely: 20 percent. McCain voters...
  • Analysts Eye Possible Exit Poll Overstatement Of Obama Support

    10/25/2008 5:02:33 AM PDT · by HalfFull · 111 replies · 2,537+ views
    Sinchew.com ^ | October 24, 2008 | Sinchew
    WASHINGTON, DC: On presidential election day, November 4, all eyes will be on what exit polls say voters did, and analysts fear they could give a rosier view of support for Democrat Barack Obama than reality. The combination of the exclusion of early voting, and the greater tendency of young voters--more often Obama supporters--to take part in the surveys, could skew the results of the exit polls, which, taken just as voters leave polling booths, are the closely-watched first indicators of how the election is going. In a National Journal article in March, Mark Blumenthal of pollster.com stressed that overestimation...
  • News outlets sweat over exit poll accuracy

    10/21/2008 10:17:32 AM PDT · by AngelesCrestHighway · 37 replies · 988+ views
    Politico ^ | Mon Oct 20, 2008 | David Paul Kuhn
    Media outlets are preparing for the possibility that their Election Day surveys could be skewed because of overstated support for Barack Obama, largely because of the enthusiasm of his supporters. While exit polling is a notoriously inexact science—early exit poll results suggested John Kerry would be elected president in 2004—the introduction of several new variables, ranging from the zeal of Obama’s supporters to his racial background to widespread early voting, is causing concerns among those who charged with conducting the surveys and the networks that will be reporting them. “It’s in some ways the flip side of non-cooperation,” said one...
  • Election Day Exit Polls: Already Slanted for Dems

    10/21/2008 8:20:09 AM PDT · by Bill Dupray · 6 replies · 623+ views
    The Patriot Room ^ | October 21, 2008 | Bill Dupray
    The best way to avoid shock and demoralization from a repeat of the 2004 exit poll nightmare is to expect it again this year and ignore it. Remember that pleasant afternoon on Election Day 2004 when the exit polls were leaked showing a Kerry blowout in the making? Politico. More recently, in 2004, exit poll data that began circulating early in the afternoon led to short-lived Democratic elation and deep Republican anxiety. By evening, some of President George W. Bush’s key strategists were frantic, emailing reporters at polling organizations to better understand the gap between what they were finding on...
  • Exit polls offer some concerns for networks

    10/03/2008 2:00:13 PM PDT · by NormsRevenge · 31 replies · 1,245+ views
    AP on Yahoo ^ | 10/3/08 | David Bauder - ap
    NEW YORK - Barack Obama's tendency through the Democratic primaries to perform better in exit polls than he actually does at the ballot box has some media organizations nervous heading into Election Night. Television networks want to avoid having their performance become an issue for the third straight presidential election. Their political experts hope that experience gained during the primaries will help things run smoothly Nov. 4. ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, Fox News Channel and The Associated Press pool resources to conduct exit polls in select precincts, hoping to glean information about why people vote the way they do and...
  • Networks Nervous Over Election Night Exit Polls

    10/03/2008 1:16:16 PM PDT · by John W · 60 replies · 1,864+ views
    MSNBC ^ | October 3, 2008 | AP
    Polling place surveys frequently overstated Obama vote during primaries NEW YORK - Barack Obama’s tendency through the Democratic primaries to perform better in exit polls than he actually does at the ballot box has some media organizations nervous heading into Election Night. Television networks want to avoid having their performance become an issue for the third straight presidential election. Their political experts hope that experience gained during the primaries will help things run smoothly Nov. 4.
  • Polls Closed; Fox reporting exit polls overstated Obama support.

    04/22/2008 5:31:54 PM PDT · by milwguy · 67 replies · 161+ views
    abc ^ | 4/23/2008 | abc
    Polls have closed in Pennsylvania where a high turnout of voters is expected to weigh in on a gruelling primary battle between Sens. Barack Obama, D-Ill., and Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y. At this point, ABC News does not have enough information to project a winner in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary.
  • Exit poll: Divide over race, gender in Ohio Democratic primary

    03/05/2008 1:38:35 PM PST · by mdittmar · 15 replies · 106+ views
    Akron Beacon Journal ^ | Mar 05, 2008 | JOHN SEEWER Associated Press Writer
    Though rarely mentioned on the campaign trail, race and gender weighed heavily on the minds of some voters in the Democratic presidential primary.The sharp divide among blacks and whites and women and men showed that it wasn't just the economy and the Iraq war that mattered to voters on Tuesday. Hillary Rodham Clinton won Ohio's primary, as well as the voting in Texas and Rhode Island.When asked how much race influenced their vote, 20 percent of Ohio voters said it was an important issue and three in five voted for Clinton, according to exit polls for The Associated Press and...
  • After Super Tuesday, parties, religious voters still divided

    02/06/2008 8:15:17 PM PST · by Alex Murphy · 146+ views
    Associated Baptist Press ^ | February 6, 2008 | Robert Marus
    WASHINGTON (ABP) -- About the only thing the Feb. 5 "Super Tuesday" primaries made clear is that religious voters are as conflicted as the general electorate over who the next president should be. By the afternoon of Feb. 6, with results in from almost all of the states that held Republican and Democratic contests on the largest primary day in American history, neither party had a candidate with a prohibitive lead in delegates. Moreover, according to exit-poll data, no GOP candidate had a clear advantage among self-described evangelical voters, and no Democrat had a clear advantage among those who attend...
  • McCain carries all California Congressional Districts, except 3 (5 CDs still counting)

    02/06/2008 12:56:45 PM PST · by GraniteStateConservative · 80 replies · 207+ views
    California Secretary of State ^ | 2-6-08 | California Secretary of State
    California 21 (all of Tulare County and the eastern half of Fresno County) Mitt Romney, 18,477 (36.1) John McCain, 18,261 (35.7) California 49 (much of Northern San Diego County and southwestern Riverside County) Mitt Romney, 24,264 (38.8) John McCain, 23,608 (37.7) California 52 (parts of Imperial and San Diego counties) Mitt Romney, 30,034 (40.3) John McCain, 27,844 (37.4) District 25: Romney down 1.9% (91% reporting) District 26: Romney down 7.4% (83.8% reporting) District 41: Romney down 5.7% (76.5% reporting) District 42: Romney down 0.2% (97.6% reporting) District 43: Romney down 11.2% (68.4% reporting) If things stay this way, the tally...
  • Alaska Republican Party Caucus (Mitt Romney-Winner)

    02/06/2008 12:26:46 AM PST · by Checkers · 44 replies · 184+ views
    Mitt Romney 5,032 44% Mike Huckabee 2,492 22% Ron Paul 1,896 17% John McCain 1,767 16% Uncommitted 187 2
  • Fox News: McCain and Clinton Win California

    02/05/2008 9:14:10 PM PST · by Aristotelian · 395 replies · 359+ views
    Feb. 6, 2008
    Fox News projects Hillary Clinton and John McCain the winners in California primaries.
  • Obama Wins Alaska, Predicts Fox News

    02/05/2008 9:42:22 PM PST · by Aristotelian · 31 replies · 13,196+ views
    Fox News | Feb. 6, 2008
    Barack Obama has won in Alaska, according to Fox News.
  • Fox News Projects Missouri for Obama (Contradicting AP)

    02/05/2008 9:36:08 PM PST · by Aristotelian · 35 replies · 11,381+ views
    Fox News | Feb. 6, 2008
    Fox News calls Missouri for Barack Obama, contradicting AP's projection, which earlier gave the bellwether state to Clinton.
  • Exit Poll: McCain, Romney nearly tied in California (Edge to McCain?)

    02/05/2008 9:03:44 PM PST · by dangus · 69 replies · 110+ views
    CNN ^ | 2/6/08 | none
    Looks like McCain is up about 2-3%. He leads among men, 41-35. Romney leads among women, 38-34. Here's how stupid Californians are: Giuliani is getting about 5%. This is NOT a winner-take-all state. Rather, it's like 53 separate elections, one in each congressional district. What's outrageous is that some districts have 20 times more Republicans than others. My fear is that McCain will win these. Either way, the battle will last for months to come.
  • McCain Wins Missouri: Fox News

    02/05/2008 8:55:05 PM PST · by Aristotelian · 58 replies · 19,974+ views
    Feb 5 2008
    Fox News projects John McCain the winner in Missouri.
  • CNN Calls Colorado for Romney

    02/05/2008 8:50:25 PM PST · by Aristotelian · 22 replies · 203+ views
    CNN ^ | Feb 5 2008
    CNN projects Mitt Romney the winner in Colorado.
  • Fox News: Clinton Wins Arizona

    02/05/2008 8:43:58 PM PST · by Aristotelian · 7 replies · 162+ views
    Fox News | Feb 5 2008
    Hillary Clinton has won Arizona, projects Fox News.
  • CNN projects Romney winner in Minnesota

    02/05/2008 8:20:27 PM PST · by Aristotelian · 77 replies · 20,507+ views
    CNN ^ | Feb 5 2008
    CNN projects Mitt Romney the winner in Minnesota.
  • Obama Takes Idaho Caucuses, Fox News Projects

    02/05/2008 8:16:43 PM PST · by Aristotelian · 15 replies · 168+ views
    Fox News | Feb 5 2008
    Fox News projects Barack Obama the winner of the Idaho Democrat caucuses.