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Clinton Pollster's Exit Poll Shows Hugo Chavez LOST the recall vote 59% to 41%

CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) - A U.S. firm's exit poll that said President Hugo Chavez would lose a recall referendum has landed in the center of a controversy following his resounding victory. "Exit Poll Results Show Major Defeat for Chavez," the survey, conducted by Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates, asserted even as Sunday's voting was still on. But in fact, the opposite was true - Chavez ended up trouncing his enemies and capturing 59 percent of the vote. Any casual observer of the 2000 U.S. presidential elections knows exit polls can at times be unreliable. But the poll has become an...

WASHINGTON - Voters in four primaries Tuesday were older and more liberal than those from earlier Southern contests, and were eager to see U.S. troops brought home from Iraq, according to exit polls. With little doubt that John Kerry, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee would carry the day, voters who went to the polls were particularly dedicated and had the free time to make the trip. The exit polls of voters were conducted in Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas for The Associated Press and the TV networks by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International. Almost eight in 10 voters on...

<p>Voters in four primaries Tuesday were older and more liberal than those from earlier Southern contests, and were eager to see U.S. troops brought home from Iraq, according to exit polls.</p> <p>With little doubt that John Kerry, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee would carry the day, voters who went to the polls were particularly dedicated and had the free time to make the trip.</p>

<p>Iowa (AP) -- The Iowa Democratic Party, worried that caucus-goers could be swayed, asked a media consortium Wednesday to delay reporting entrance poll results the night of the Iowa caucuses.</p> <p>In a letter to members of the National Election Pool, an exit poll consortium, Jean Hessburg, the state party's executive director, asked that reporting of entrance poll results be delayed at least 30 minutes after the caucuses are under way Monday night.</p>

<p>The missing exit polls for the 2002 mid-term elections have finally been released and they offer strong evidence that the country is not as politically polarized as generally alleged. Rather, the national consensus has been shifting steadily to the right.</p>

<p>Those polls show Schwarzenegger with 47 percent of womens' votes, while his nearest competitor, Democratic Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante, received the support of 37 percent of female voters.</p> <p>Men voted heavily for Schwarzenegger, the exit poll results showed.</p> <p>Schwarzenegger's campaign had been dogged over the past six days by allegations from at least 15 women that he groped and sexually harassed them in incidents as recent as 2000 and stretching back three decades.</p>

They're baa-a-a-c-k. The exit polls, that is. After embarrassing misfires in predicting election results in 2000 and 2002, the and five major television networks disbanded the Voter News Service consortium that had administered exit polls in both of those votes. But they didn't abandon the idea of exit polls themselves, and they returned to the field with a new polling service for yesterday's California gubernatorial recall election. "There is nothing unreliable about exit polls," says Warren Mitofsky, a consultant who helped usher in surveys of voters leaving polling places more than three decades ago at CBS News. Mr. Mitofsky's firm...

Californians banished Gray Davis on Tuesday, capping an extraordinary political melodrama by recalling the governor just 11 months after they re-elected him. Exit polls indicated Hollywood action hero Arnold Schwarzenegger was leading the field of candidates to replace him. Davis became the first California governor pried from office and only the second nationwide to be recalled, in a remarkable campaign that featured one of the planet's best-known entertainers and captivated an international audience. Davis became the first California governor pried from office and only the second nationwide to be recalled, His ouster capped a remarkable campaign that featured one of...

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Although they wont release the actual voring results, 72% of actual voters polled in in the exit poll had an unfavorable opinion of Gray Davis. That's gotta be good news for Arnold and the Repubs. CNBC says polling reflects people are fed up with Dems and spending $$$$. Take note Republican Congress! And Pres. Bush!

EXIT POLLS SHOW LANDSLIDE: RECALL, SCHWARZENEGGER POISED FOR EASY WIN

Heard about 3:10 Pacific time: Recall Davis 57% Yes Schwarzenegger 47% Bustamante 34% McClintock 12%

I thought it would be fun to have people report back after voting. My neighborhood is comprised of middle-aged to older voters. Judging by the breakdown given to me by the Republican Party (I'm a poll watcher today) the area is predominantly Democrat. The workers said that for the first time they could remember there was a line out the door when they opened this morning! The only thing I'm a little nervous about is with all the Schwartzenegger buzz, people are forgetting to vote YES on the recall. It's the first question on the first page and since Arnie...

Apparently Leaked Exit Polling Says... Armed Prophet here, with what I believe is a major scoop, though it may not be entirely surprising. That is, I'm hearing that early exit polling -- which includes absentees -- already shows the recall and Arnold both with "double digit" leads. (I'm a bit surprised to hear that those numbers are already being tabulated, but this is what I'm told.) Speculation is the race may be called within a few hours of the polls closing. I obviously can't vouch for it myself -- I'm in DC -- but the source I'm hearing this from...

I know that Drudge and National Review online does it sometimes. Does anyone know anywhere else?

Voter News Service Ends After Failures Email this Story Jan 13, 1:09 PM (ET) By DAVID BAUDER NEW YORK (AP) - Six major news organizations announced Monday they are disbanding Voter News Service, the consortium they had built to count votes and conduct surveys on Election Day. The decision follows two major election-night failures in a row by VNS. Given the expense of mounting such operations on their own, ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, Fox News Channel and The Associated Press said they were considering other options for sharing vote counts and exit poll surveys. But it will no longer be...

We heard last night that VNS decided its exit polling models were unreliable; hence, no races would be called until the raw vote provided substantial-enough evidence to warrant a prediction. Based on the final result, is there any doubt at all that VNS looked at the predictions and decided it simply wasn't possible the GOP would pickup 3-5 Senate seats and 5-15 House seats? I submit the models worked just fine, but when they didn't play into the media's preconceived notions the evidence was rejected as unreliable. Perhaps it's understable; let's take a look at the Florida gubernatorial contest. The...

VNS Scraps National Exit Poll Work 40 minutes ago By DAVID BAUDER, AP Television Writer NEW YORK (AP) - Voter News Service abandoned its state and national exit poll plans for Election Night, saying it could not guarantee the accuracy of the analysis which media organizations use to help explain why people voted as they did. AP Photo Election Special Coverage News, tools, results and more. Go now. The decision did not affect VNS' separate operation for counting the actual vote. VNS also hoped to have limited information from the exit poll surveys to give its members guidance in projecting...

Hooray: Voter News Service, the exit polling system misused by media organizations to try to call elections, failed today, so there won't be a repeat of the kind of phony pro-Gore guesstimates that marred the 2000 election. News networks announced that they would not call races except, shockingly, on the basis of votes actually counted. VNS, a consortium consisting of ABC, CBS, NBC, Fox and the Associated Press, said in a statement that its new computer system was not properly analyzing exit poll data, and that the system's output could not be considered reliable. It said it hoped that some...