Free Republic

One of the most striking things about following this campaign is the fact that election projections are all over the place. I was chatting with a political science professor friend of mine, and he was projecting a 1980 Reagan-style victory for Trump--an assessment I tend to agree with--while the online analysts are showing a dead heat with a slight advantage to Kamala Harris. While Nate Silver has been more Trump-bullish, even his latest projection shows a very slight advantage for Harris. The answer, of course, comes down to the polls and what you take away from them. Most of the...

Long Term Treasury Yields: Someone Is Going To Be Wrong Submitted by thetechnicaltake on 08/26/2009 00:12 -0500 10 Year Treasury Economic Recovery Equities REAL Trade Treasury Treasury Bonds Treasury market Unemployment For over 8 months now, I have been chronicling the plight of the 10 year Treasury bond. Based upon the "next big thing" indicator it was my expectation that yields on the 10 year Treasury bond would rise once there was a monthly close above a yield of 3.342%. This occurred at the end of May, 2009. See figure 1 a monthly chart of the yield on the 10...